Forums
Welcome to Live View – Take the tour to learn more
Start Tour
There is currently 1 person viewing this thread.
Gaze733
22 Feb 21 21:33
Joined:
Date Joined: 15 Mar 12
| Topic/replies: 31,916 | Blogger: Gaze733's blog
You guys don't believe I'm the supreme mega god of BSP lays so I'm gonna show ya. I can lay both favs and nags but I'll focus on shorties here. I'm gonna transfer the stats from my odds on thread and continue here so I can lay higher than odds on. Same rules, 100 pt bankroll, each lay is to win 5(4.9). If I don't get to +100 profit I will eat raw spaghetti.

3-0 +14.7
Show More
Loading...
Report TameTheTiger February 26, 2021 2:18 PM GMT
Layed Byford 13/8
Report Gaze733 February 26, 2021 2:24 PM GMT
Dude, Byford was good. https://snipboard.io/NtLAFR.jpg
Report Gaze733 February 26, 2021 2:26 PM GMT
Though you could've greened up if you do that kind of thing.
Report Gaze733 February 26, 2021 2:27 PM GMT
A very good expert I follow had Crimewave as a 2 pt Nap but I knew he's trash.
Report TameTheTiger February 26, 2021 2:27 PM GMT
Layed Crimewave 2/1 to soften the blow
Report Gaze733 February 26, 2021 2:50 PM GMT
Momella steamed from 4th fav to fav at BSP 3.83; 40 IR. I knew it would happen, late steamers never lose, the only mystery is why they drift by 100% during the day if they're so good. Midnight lost at 1.03. I backed Midnight and greened up at 1.06 so I didn't lose much.

BSP 3.83 -14.15
Report knoxville February 26, 2021 2:53 PM GMT
laying favs will put you in the poorhouse quicker than backing them!
Report Gaze733 February 26, 2021 2:56 PM GMT
I know, I've been saying the same thing, but it's only true if you're new to laying. As you can see I'm in profit so far.
Report Gaze733 February 26, 2021 2:58 PM GMT
I made a thread some time ago saying that like 50% of favs are good value, 25% neutral value, 25% bad value. I'm trying to post the third group here.
Report TameTheTiger February 26, 2021 3:01 PM GMT
backed Momella 7/2 and One More Flurrie 7/2 I dont bet in running
Report TameTheTiger February 26, 2021 3:02 PM GMT
back the late steamers before they steam, more profit
Report Gaze733 February 26, 2021 3:04 PM GMT
More like back early drifters before they steam back in.
Report Gaze733 February 26, 2021 3:06 PM GMT
Every day there's some horse going from 3.5 to 11 to 5 and winning.
Report Gaze733 February 26, 2021 3:06 PM GMT
Turns out when they opened as favs they should have stayed as favs.
Report TameTheTiger February 26, 2021 3:16 PM GMT
Rose 6/5 lay
Report knoxville February 26, 2021 3:21 PM GMT
its a tad easy for the favs today
Report Gaze733 February 26, 2021 3:22 PM GMT
Yeah I backed Jackson blindly IR lol.
Report knoxville February 26, 2021 3:28 PM GMT
another handy day for fav backers
too common these days
Report Gaze733 February 26, 2021 3:29 PM GMT
Tricky race but I was right with Sheneededtherun https://snipboard.io/h2BAcf.jpg

Favs never lose.
Report Gaze733 February 26, 2021 3:30 PM GMT
Mercurist is interesting, I lean towards lay but no bet.
Report knoxville February 26, 2021 3:31 PM GMT
1/2 for a place is free money
Report Gaze733 February 26, 2021 3:33 PM GMT
Haha, 10 IR, favs truly never lose.
Report Gaze733 February 26, 2021 3:37 PM GMT
I think there's a pattern with these horses like Momella or Mercurist. When they have a win, then don't place, they often win the next race.
Report TameTheTiger February 26, 2021 3:38 PM GMT
+3 backing, -0.8 laying. I'll take that
Report Gaze733 February 26, 2021 3:39 PM GMT
Their odds are good because "last of X" does not inspire confidence such as in Momella's case.
Report TameTheTiger February 26, 2021 3:41 PM GMT
Are you well in profit this week ? when was your last losing day ?
Report Gaze733 February 26, 2021 3:42 PM GMT
Yeah I more than doubled my BR since I started regularly laying.
Report big aitch February 26, 2021 3:43 PM GMT
Midnight lost at 1.03. I backed Midnight and greened up at 1.06 so I didn't lose much.

What does that mean? You backed it at 1.03 and laid it at 1.06 to green up but didn't lose much.

You do understand what greening up is?????
Report Gaze733 February 26, 2021 3:45 PM GMT
OF course I do, I backed it at BSP genius, what kind of clown backs 1.03?
Report TameTheTiger February 26, 2021 3:53 PM GMT
layed Lily 7/4 backed Valse 7/2, happy days
Report big aitch February 26, 2021 4:00 PM GMT
what was the bsp for the horse?
Report Gaze733 February 26, 2021 4:07 PM GMT
Stewards doing their thing but I won again https://snipboard.io/FZ71Al.jpg
Report Gaze733 February 26, 2021 4:08 PM GMT
My PC is freezing up because stupid chrome takes 95% of the 16GB memory and I can't post in time.
Report Gaze733 February 26, 2021 4:10 PM GMT
New race every 5 mins you can barely look at the card.
Report knoxville February 26, 2021 4:19 PM GMT
another easy fav wins
Report TameTheTiger February 26, 2021 4:22 PM GMT
layed top of the bill evens. Layed 6 favourites today and Im in profit. Gotta be selective !
Report TameTheTiger February 26, 2021 4:32 PM GMT
Saaheq 6/4
Report knoxville February 26, 2021 4:33 PM GMT
if you are able to lay six favs out of the ten that didnt win well fair play
Report TameTheTiger February 26, 2021 4:41 PM GMT
two did win, 13/8 and 6/5, 4 lost
Report TameTheTiger February 26, 2021 4:52 PM GMT
make that 5 lost
Report TameTheTiger February 26, 2021 5:13 PM GMT
Mehmo 9/4
Report TameTheTiger February 26, 2021 5:21 PM GMT
Steelriver evens
Report big aitch February 26, 2021 9:50 PM GMT
Midnight lost at 1.03. I backed Midnight and greened up at 1.06 so I didn't lose much.

So you backed it at 3-1 and laid it at 1.06 to green up but didn't lose much.

You do understand what greening up is????? How much did you lay it for?
Report Gaze733 February 27, 2021 9:44 AM GMT
Jesus, why do you care so much about tiny details? I laid one horse at 4.6 and backed another at 4 and cashed it out at 1.06, so yeah technically I didn't green up but the loss was negligible.
Report Gaze733 February 27, 2021 9:46 AM GMT
15-4 +40.15
Report Gaze733 February 27, 2021 9:47 AM GMT
I hate saturdays, stupid early races, no time for anything.
Report top2rated February 27, 2021 9:54 AM GMT
+40.15?  You're taking the piss!



Laugh
Report Gaze733 February 27, 2021 9:56 AM GMT
Btw, the IR odds of the losing lays in this thread were 9; 18.5, and 40. Why does this always happen with my lays? I've been making threads about it for months. The majority of horses that win never even drift above their BSP, but when my lays win they usually drift by 4-10x BSP.

top2rated are you an idiot? Read every post from first to last if you have a problem with the results.
Report GLASGOWCALLING February 27, 2021 10:02 AM GMT
I hate saturdays, stupid early races, no time for anything.


   
Report Gaze733 February 27, 2021 2:01 PM GMT
Moss Gill layerino
Report Gaze733 February 27, 2021 2:10 PM GMT
Clown fav!

16-4 +45.05
Report Gaze733 February 27, 2021 8:16 PM GMT
Headley George at 2.46
Report saxon farm February 27, 2021 8:24 PM GMT
I thought It was illegal for a child to bet?
Report Gaze733 February 27, 2021 8:40 PM GMT
BSP 2.14 stupid imbecile market just wouldn't let go of the fav.

I backed Khatm at 6.6.

17-4 + 49.95
Report Gaze733 February 27, 2021 8:46 PM GMT
It's like Sams Adventure. A tipster I follow sent it as a 3 pt bet, it's extremely rare for him to bet 3 pts. Advised at 4.5, BSP was 11 and it won. The same way useless favs steam, good horses drift.
Report leif February 27, 2021 8:57 PM GMT
Have you been at mother's sherry again Gaze?
Report chavman February 27, 2021 9:20 PM GMT
nice work gaze Cool
Report Gaze733 February 27, 2021 9:47 PM GMT
Thanks, finally someone normal. Pearls before swine, these lays. I'll do 100 pts as promised, halfway there.
Report smirnoff2therescue February 27, 2021 10:10 PM GMT
LaughLaughLaugh he's tekkin the piss gaze ydc LaughLaughLaughCryCryCry
Report saxon farm February 27, 2021 10:57 PM GMT
Extra jelly babies from Auntywhen she visits in the morning!
Report Callisto-moon February 27, 2021 11:16 PM GMT
this is the kinda fella who sticks his finger up his **** and then tells his mates he had ***!!!!
Report Gaze733 February 28, 2021 8:41 AM GMT
Callisto is just jealous he can't lay anything below 15/1, fugging clown.
Report Callisto-moon February 28, 2021 12:00 PM GMT
why does the price matter??
its the result you dunce.

proper mug gambler you are.
Report Gaze733 February 28, 2021 12:18 PM GMT
If the price doesn't matter why can't you lay below 15/1? proper mug gambler you are
Report Gaze733 February 28, 2021 12:23 PM GMT
Imagine someone wants to win 50 quid per lay with a 1k bankroll. They can risk 25-100 to win 50 by laying a fav. They can't risk 2500 to win 50, and even if they had a 2.5k bankroll, risking 100% of the bankroll is crazy.
Report Gaze733 February 28, 2021 12:32 PM GMT
The price is important for scaling too. A 10k bankroll allows laying favs to win 500 quid. Risking 25k to win 500 is not realistic.
Report slickster February 28, 2021 12:58 PM GMT
You have some stamina gaze. How do you find time to eat?
Report Callisto-moon February 28, 2021 1:54 PM GMT
Gaze733
Gaze73328 Feb 21 13:18Joined: 15 Mar 12 | Topic/replies: 3,344 | Blogger: Gaze733's blog
If the price doesn't matter why can't you lay below 15/1? proper mug gambler you are

So I lay 2 losers both for £10 ones 5-1 the other 500-1 what have I gained extra for the 10-1 shot?
Report Callisto-moon February 28, 2021 1:56 PM GMT
the 5-1 shot.
Report Gaze733 February 28, 2021 2:24 PM GMT
Read my posts again you imbecile.
Report chavman February 28, 2021 2:28 PM GMT
nice work gaze Cool
Report Callisto-moon February 28, 2021 2:39 PM GMT
i think you are 100% thick.

the answer is I win £10 less com in both cases so the price does not benefit in any way.

you stick to trying to over think things, did you know over thinking and over analysis is the work of a thicket.
Report Gaze733 February 28, 2021 2:49 PM GMT
Raffles Gitane
Report Gaze733 February 28, 2021 2:51 PM GMT
Ok so you lay to win 10 quid, good for you. What if you wanted to win 50 quid or 100 quid? Do you risk 50000 to win 100 on one donkey?
Report Gaze733 February 28, 2021 2:56 PM GMT
Oh look a fav lost, guess I got lucky.

6 IR, every single time. You won't see me post a single fav that doesn't drift above BSP.
Report Gaze733 February 28, 2021 2:56 PM GMT
Favs never lose.
Report big aitch February 28, 2021 2:59 PM GMT
Your bank must be up to nearly £10 by now
Report Gaze733 February 28, 2021 2:59 PM GMT
If I green up at 3x BSP I have a 95% strike rate with favs.
Report Gaze733 February 28, 2021 2:59 PM GMT
If I don't green up then it's 70%
Report Gaze733 February 28, 2021 3:03 PM GMT
But I see a clear pattern. If I am 100% sure about a lay being good, then I don't need to green up. But if I have ANY doubt at all, they come back from 3X-20X BSP at least half the time.
Report Gaze733 February 28, 2021 3:05 PM GMT
Look at Crooner, I was unsure about him, he drifted to 150+ and won easily.
Report Callisto-moon February 28, 2021 4:07 PM GMT
eaasy to talk after a result ffs you utter cretin.

pop up your next three bets.

herss mine

chelsea=certs
liverpool=certs
slbert bartlet lay cape gentleman as he wont run in this
Report Gaze733 March 1, 2021 1:00 PM GMT
Uncle Alastair    donkey of the day, laying at 3.15
Report Gaze733 March 1, 2021 4:17 PM GMT
Proper donkey indeed, never had a chance.
Report Gaze733 March 2, 2021 11:57 AM GMT
Real Stone is no match for almighty Omar
Report Gaze733 March 2, 2021 12:39 PM GMT
Clown Real stone never had a chance, favs never lose LOL!
Report Gaze733 March 2, 2021 12:41 PM GMT
Raffles Gitane -6.6
Uncle Alastair +4.9
Real Stone +4.9

19-5 + 53.15
Report Gaze733 March 3, 2021 12:38 PM GMT
Skatman 2.06
Report Gaze733 March 3, 2021 12:53 PM GMT
BSP 2.52, 7.4 IR, as always. Like I said every losing lay I post goes to at least 3x BSP.
Report Gaze733 March 3, 2021 1:36 PM GMT
Laid Robins Dream and he went from 10 to 1.2, I swear the IR layers are clowns.
Report Gaze733 March 3, 2021 2:50 PM GMT
Albert Camus
Report Gaze733 March 3, 2021 2:57 PM GMT
150(300 for pennies) in running ladies and gentlemen. How the hell does this keep happening?
Report Gaze733 March 3, 2021 2:59 PM GMT
IR winners in this thead so far from mere 26 selections: 9; 18.5, 40; 6; 7.4; 150
Report Gaze733 March 3, 2021 3:02 PM GMT
My record is 25-1 if greening up at 3x BSP.
Report Gaze733 March 3, 2021 5:28 PM GMT
Be Fair donkey of the day
Report Gaze733 March 3, 2021 5:31 PM GMT
Phoenix Star donkey
Report Gaze733 March 3, 2021 5:43 PM GMT
Rovaniemi donkey
Report Gaze733 March 3, 2021 10:52 PM GMT
Skatman -5.3
Albert Camus -10

3 donkeys +14.7

22-7 +52.55

All I needed for a profitable day was for Camus to not come back from 150.
Report Gaze733 March 3, 2021 10:57 PM GMT
I wonder how many crazy comebacks will there be in the next 30 selections, with my cursed luck at least 4. It's been almost a year since I made the first thread about the lay curse and it never stops.
Report Gaze733 March 3, 2021 11:01 PM GMT
I actually laid the Crooner too which came back from 130 a few days ago. Only I can make 10 lays and have 2 horses come back from 100+.
Post Your Reply
<CTRL+Enter> to submit
Please login to post a reply.

Wonder

Instance ID: 13539
www.betfair.com