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ashleigh
26 Nov 20 20:41
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Date Joined: 23 Aug 02
| Topic/replies: 15,950 | Blogger: ashleigh's blog
notice a strong market for this race on saturday,epatante 4/6 to ev and sceau royal 6/1 to 7/2, is it just the ground causing the change in prices?
epatante got to be fit after her gallop at newbury last week, when she looked to be working all over altior.
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Report sixtwosix November 26, 2020 7:56 PM GMT
I wouldn't take Altior being worked over as as a sign.....he is regularly'worked' over in his races until the tough bit at the end when the opposition usually crumbles.
Report glentoby November 26, 2020 8:03 PM GMT
It is a race that should be avoided at all costs in terms of having a punt,purely from my own experiences going back to Birds Nest,Beacon Light et al.

I think the only profit I ever made was from The French Furze!!! That is mostly true,if all is correct from 7b then the mare should win easily and 4/6 will look a gift after,would I back her at 4/6?

Too late to say no,backed her to a fair loss,7b are convinced she is going for a schooling session,when they feel that confident,short of half a hurdle being stuck in her neck she will win.
Report impossible123 November 26, 2020 8:07 PM GMT
Is this race nrnb? Evens and good ground a bonus for loyal backers, I believe.
Report sixtwosix November 26, 2020 8:13 PM GMT
Evens is a very big price for a horse who hacked up in the Champion ......you have to wonder what the bookies know.
I would have expected 1/2 against this lot.
Report Rico-Dangleflaps November 26, 2020 8:14 PM GMT
poast ya bet

tar
Report glentoby November 26, 2020 8:27 PM GMT
Just post up the evens in the market? Knocked over will be quicker than Dicked over in the cabinet!!
Report impossible123 November 26, 2020 8:36 PM GMT
I'd not worry too much. The ground is ideal, and horse has always performed 1st time out; Sceau Royal has always flattered to deceived (hurdle and fences). Silver Streak was beaten convincingly in March.

If she turns up game over, I firmly believe.
Report longbridge November 26, 2020 8:50 PM GMT
@impossible

"Is this race nrnb"

Not on here.

I'm on Silver Streak @ 8.0, feels like value.
Report impossible123 November 26, 2020 8:54 PM GMT
^^
Silver Streak will like the ground. A bigger danger than Sceau Royal, I believe.
Report G Hall November 26, 2020 9:08 PM GMT
I remember having a decent be etc on Browne's Gazette, maybe 1984/85
Report impossible123 November 26, 2020 9:17 PM GMT
Browne's Gazette? I just about got over him whipping round at the start in the Champion Hurdle; instigated by his jockey and (part) owner?
Report sixtwosix November 26, 2020 9:25 PM GMT
Was that the race Browne's Gazette was killed in ?
Report G Hall November 26, 2020 9:37 PM GMT
No he won that day, rather easily Iirc.
Report saxon farm November 27, 2020 12:38 AM GMT
Of course it’s NRNB including on here. Now a day of race market ffs.
Report Movewiththetimes November 27, 2020 12:47 AM GMT
Got Epatante in alot of antepost, the ground will be NO RISK AT ALL Wink won easily on it.
Report harry callaghan November 27, 2020 7:26 AM GMT
I don’t get a lot of peoples thinking and sometimes think people have been sucking on a gas can when they say horses like epatante should be 2 on in a race like this. Yes she should win but it has to remembered all of her opponents have had a prep run and are fit and aren’t mugs, so she will have to be at her best to win at the odds available on Saturday and fair play if she gets it done off the lay off. Easy money some may feel but the odds available are correct but to say she should be long odds on is a mile off imo
Report longbridge November 27, 2020 11:02 AM GMT
@saxon

"Of course it’s NRNB including on here. Now a day of race market ffs."

Of course it is - I cannot imagine what I was thinking of.  Thanks for the correction.
Report ItsMeSwaddle November 27, 2020 11:39 AM GMT
I do terribly in these higher class races.

But 23/20 looks a very decent price

Newcastle a fair trek for a jog round Devil
Report impossible123 November 27, 2020 3:53 PM GMT
Epatante at 2.02 here could be x'mas come early for her supporters, and punters looking for value; best price 5/6 with bookies with bricks.
Report saxon farm November 27, 2020 4:59 PM GMT
longbridge
No problem.
All the best.
Report buddeliea November 27, 2020 5:22 PM GMT
My free fiver from betfair is going on Silver Streak.
Report layingisthewayforward November 27, 2020 6:59 PM GMT
I'm not normally into backing horses at evens but that looks more than fair against this rabble.
Report ashleigh November 27, 2020 7:04 PM GMT
£645k already matched, some have got serious views on this race.Cool
Report layingisthewayforward November 27, 2020 8:08 PM GMT
I'm having a big bet (for me). Fillet steak or beans on toast tomorrow night.
Report Trusty November 28, 2020 7:40 AM GMT
Aiden is a worry imo, too many bad rides and even Timeform had Ben Jones (3) as a jockey uplift over him. No bet race for me.
Report Tiger Tiger November 28, 2020 11:23 AM GMT
There are not many next time out winners over hurdles to have come out of any of Epatante's hurdle races that she has won, maybe its temopting the bookies to be a bit on the generous side with her price today?
Report impossible123 November 28, 2020 1:21 PM GMT
Sceau Royal is exposed, and won a very week race last time; Silver Streak has ground on his side, but seldom wins. A lack of fitness could be the undoing of Epatante, but trainer has a good record here with his only runner; 2.1 is a good price.
Report ashleigh November 28, 2020 2:01 PM GMT
money coming for epatante now.Wink
Report Tiger Tiger November 28, 2020 2:09 PM GMT
The early prices available were very generous.
Report elise November 28, 2020 2:09 PM GMT
slightly impressive
Report Latalomne November 28, 2020 2:09 PM GMT
Wow
Report Ibrahima Sonko November 28, 2020 2:10 PM GMT
Over the top comms, champion hurdler v a handicapper.
Report ashleigh November 28, 2020 2:10 PM GMT
whoosh.CoolCool
Report maleuk01. November 28, 2020 2:10 PM GMT
wow, super impressive!
Report impossible123 November 28, 2020 2:11 PM GMT
That was impressive, but Sceau Rpyal is exposed and no world beater. Shame about Silver Streak...backers got no run at all.
Report Makybe_Diva November 28, 2020 2:12 PM GMT
Wow. That was a bit scary to watch with Not So Sleepy running all over the place. Shocked

Shame for Silver Streak.
Report 1st time poster November 28, 2020 2:12 PM GMT
race puts to bed all this shoite horsey people tellus about horses loving to jump,not so sleepy ran around every hurdle,LaughLaugh
Report wondersobright November 28, 2020 2:12 PM GMT
winner the only horse not fcked about, bang lay at thin price for champion hurdle imo
Report howard November 28, 2020 2:12 PM GMT
nice to see but mares shouldn't get 7lb imo. Meant a champion hurdler gets it in this race which is stupid.
Report wondersobright November 28, 2020 2:13 PM GMT

Nov 28, 2020 -- 3:12PM, Makybe_Diva wrote:


Wow. That was a bit scary to watch with Not So Sleepy running all over the place. Shame for Silver Streak.


sceau royal was checked at the top of the straight too

Report the wire November 28, 2020 2:13 PM GMT
Does the commentator actually think he's adding to our enjoyment?
Report greenteethnarrabacktroutmoy November 28, 2020 2:13 PM GMT
won well but beat little.
Report ashleigh November 28, 2020 2:13 PM GMT
5/2 with billys for the champion hurdle.Surprised
Report CustomCut November 28, 2020 2:14 PM GMT
Mark Johnson always overdoes the fighting fifth commentary.
Report sageform November 28, 2020 2:15 PM GMT
She has beaten the best 2 mile hurdler so far this season on the bridle. Tell me what you would back to beat her? Tom O'Brien should really have been awake to what Not So Sleepy would do though.
Report CustomCut November 28, 2020 2:15 PM GMT
Stupid to show us the jockey on the ground as they approached the last hurdle first time around, it always looked like something could happen. I feel like a lot of the people who decide camera angles aren't even interested in the sport.
Report wondersobright November 28, 2020 2:17 PM GMT

Nov 28, 2020 -- 3:13PM, ashleigh wrote:


5/2 with billys for the champion hurdle.


around 7/4 on here straight after the race, thanks v much

Report wondersobright November 28, 2020 2:18 PM GMT

Nov 28, 2020 -- 3:15PM, sageform wrote:


She has beaten the best 2 mile hurdler so far this season on the bridle. Tell me what you would back to beat her? Tom O'Brien should really have been awake to what Not So Sleepy would do though.


nothing in ireland bothers you clearly

Report Hayden November 28, 2020 2:18 PM GMT
It's still November
Report sageform November 28, 2020 2:19 PM GMT
15/8 with PP. That is a bit short with so many things that can go wrong in 4 months. I would prefer even money on the day.
Report 1st time poster November 28, 2020 2:20 PM GMT
fitzy wasnt worried about favs drift despite seeing horse all week but went against a hendo horse and put silver streak up ew with 2 places
anyone knowing fitzy no,s that means,EXTREMELY FOOOKING WORRIED about the  drift, LOL
Report duffy November 28, 2020 2:21 PM GMT
greenteethnarrabacktroutmoy 28 Nov 20 15:13 
won well but beat little.


Be saying the same thing in March
Report sageform November 28, 2020 2:21 PM GMT
No wonder, they do not. I would expect Nicky to find one for second place as well. Buveur D'air?
Report Poppydog. November 28, 2020 2:26 PM GMT
ITV really must have a rethink.

Pigs-ear from the second Ed Chamberlain asked about thoughts on any horse but Epatante (after 8 minutes banal Fav analysis)
literally 1 1/2 seconds before the tape went up.
Report wondersobright November 28, 2020 2:27 PM GMT

Nov 28, 2020 -- 3:21PM, sageform wrote:


No wonder, they do not. I would expect Nicky to find one for second place as well. Buveur D'air?


off a long lay off @ age 10...time to get the prayer mat out

Report impossible123 November 28, 2020 2:47 PM GMT
Back 15/8 with 'paddi', lay off here as time progresses; win, win. She'll be a lot shorter on race day for sure as proper opposition is looking very thin even now; 4/6 at best on the day, if showing up. The 7lb allowance is a mega bonus.
Report ItsMeSwaddle November 28, 2020 2:50 PM GMT
Wonders...for once don’t agree.

Make it a fair 2/1 poke for the C Hurdle....

And yes it’s NOV
Report glentoby November 28, 2020 5:56 PM GMT
Some odd reactions about the race,not least about whether she is value for the CH? IMO she is not value at the prices,would want a "with a run" provisio before backing her.

She did what 7b hoped she would do and was very impressive,the runner up is useful as a yardstick and not hard to think she could have won 20L+ had Coleman so wished.As Sageform states "I would rather be on at evens on the day" than backing her now.
Report portmanpark November 28, 2020 5:59 PM GMT
customcut....he is very loud...prefer hoiles
Report portmanpark November 28, 2020 6:03 PM GMT
that 7 ibs makes it awful hard for the geldings....only one i could see giving her a race is honeysuckle but she is not a certain runner
Report wondersobright December 26, 2020 2:37 PM GMT
not so easy is it when everything doesn't go your way Cool
Report wondersobright December 26, 2020 2:37 PM GMT
probably the most flattering eye candy ever epatante's win this day
Report Ibrahima Sonko December 26, 2020 2:39 PM GMT
Cool
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