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09 Nov 20
14:02
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Date Joined:
21 Nov 07
Is this free munee please? I don't mind leaving
it tied up for a while, better than the building society.
it tied up for a while, better than the building society.
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To do what?
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What race is this? I can't find it in the racing post A-Z?
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stewarts rise 09 Nov 20 16:06
To do what? Become President, what did you think/ |
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tis three monet
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Never free money: what if Trump overturned results in the courts - would put nothing past that man's ability to weasel his way out of anything!!
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what if he dies before jan 20 ?
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Besides Trumps refusal to accept defeat, there is always the possibility he'll keel over before he gets sworn in.
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So it aint free money then, what a shame
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1.07/
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per the rules - the markets not for him to become president. it's for him to win the election, which he has.
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drops down dead now, he still won it.
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It is free money but you tie up your stake till someone at Betfair reads a newspaper. If you want to go in at 1.06 then there are plenty of photo finishes where you can get in and out in 30 seconds. Over the weekend Biden was 1.05 so he has actually drifted and that one imagines is because backers wanted to free up funds.
Betfair might settle in half an hour, or they could wait a month before the electoral college meets, or when Trump concedes, or when all the counts and recounts are finished, or when all Trump's lawsuits have been dismissed, or... But yes, it is free munee. |
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hulk23 09 Nov 20 16:19
drops down dead now, he still won it. So only a Trump successful appeal can scupper Biden, yes? |
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trouble with photos is you're not betting on the print finish image.
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Market: Who will be elected to be the next President of the United States of America as a result of the 2020 presidential election?
If Biden dies before EV count is resolved, Harris is imo Projected President -> President elect -> President. |
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results have to be certified
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@Uncle Max -- rules are (from next president market):
This market will be settled according to the candidate that has the most projected Electoral College votes won at the 2020 presidential election. Any subsequent events such as a ‘faithless elector’ will have no effect on the settlement of this market. In the event that no Presidential candidate receives a majority of the projected Electoral College votes, this market will be settled on the person chosen as President in accordance with the procedures set out by the Twelfth Amendment to the United States Constitution. So despite the market's name (next president) the market is not on the next president. If there were a market on the next president, I'd be backing Pence rather than Harris, because it is more likely Trump resigns than Biden dies imo. |
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Thx dave1357: interesting!!
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the only way you do your money if biden drops down dead before jan 20th now with the virus and age you never know
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Rules - Who will be elected to be the next President of the United States of America as a result of the 2020 presidential election?
Biden has been "elected to be". whether he ends up "being" or not is immaterial. so it's weighed in. |
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worth a read ramruma - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Twelfth_Amendment_to_the_United_States_Constitution#Electoral_College_under_the_Twelfth_Amendment
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the rules are:
This market will be settled according to the candidate that has the most projected Electoral College votes won at the 2020 presidential election. Any subsequent events such as a ‘faithless elector’ will have no effect on the settlement of this market. In the event that no Presidential candidate receives a majority of the projected Electoral College votes, this market will be settled on the person chosen as President in accordance with the procedures set out by the Twelfth Amendment to the United States Constitution. The bolded has already occured. |
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BF should settle & open a "keep the race" market.
Seems a bit ridiculous why they haven't settled as yet. |
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its beyond me why are people backing trump in the 1000s between 16-20
I'm sure theres a lot cleverer people on here than me thou |
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Probably the same ones who were backing him at sub 1.3 when postal votes were not yet counted.
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Maybe they're expecting the postal votes in some states might be re-counted. And re-counted differently too.
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Paddy Power has settled. Perhaps they could have a word.
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could settle that market & open another which is actually "who will be the next president". that's not what that market is.
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But wouldn't a re-count potentially change the "projected electoral college votes?
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Any subsequent events such as a ‘faithless elector’ will have no effect on the settlement of this market
They made it a FPTP market. |
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So why is the market still open Dave and why is there 300000 at 1.06 available?
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(I'm not looking for an argument here. My book reads Biden +£0.19 and everyone else +£28.46 and that's where I'm leaving it, thanks - I'm just genuinely trying to understand why everyone's convinced Betfair should be settling this market, when they're not. After all, it's in their interests to settle it asap and get those funds flowing again.)
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@Uncle Max -- the 12th amendment is irrelevant; it could have come into play given a 269-269 tie in the election but that is now impossible.
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Any subsequent events such as a ‘faithless elector’ will have no effect on the settlement of this market
They made it a FPTP market. But subsequent to what? Where is the finishing post for fptp betting here? |
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trump's asked martin bashir to audit the count and do his tax returns
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£570m wagered on the market so far. Betfair not in an enormous rush to settle.
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