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Gaze733
19 Oct 20 15:00
Joined:
Date Joined: 15 Mar 12
| Topic/replies: 7,868 | Blogger: Gaze733's blog
Laid Cocalorum, was considering backing in play @50 but I figured I can't be unlucky with my lays all the time, right? 130 in running, wins.
Yesterday I laid Seelotmorebusiness @6, BSP @7, 40 in running, won.

Literally 30% of my lays that drift to 20+ in running win. I will never let a lay run without greening up ever again.
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Report Gaze733 October 19, 2020 3:01 PM BST
If it only happened once or twice it might've been luck, but out of 40 lays I've had like 15 drift to 20-300 and win.
Report ItsMeSwaddle October 19, 2020 3:02 PM BST
Use software, greens up auto.

Easy.
Report Keefter October 19, 2020 3:04 PM BST
out of 40 lays I've had like 15 drift to 20-300 and win.

If that is true then you should be not only greening up but also sticking a couple of quid of that green on at 50.00 IR. You'll be a millionaire in no time lol
Report Gaze733 October 19, 2020 3:06 PM BST
That was exactly my plan but people said I was just unlucky. But it never stops happening. I literally can't do 4 lays without one of them making a crazy comeback.
Report Gaze733 October 19, 2020 3:07 PM BST
Of course when I actually start putting €2 @50 I'll finally get the 200 losers in a row that I'm due.
Report stewarts rise October 19, 2020 3:21 PM BST
You need to get rid of those negative waves man!
Report The Management October 19, 2020 3:29 PM BST
Graze - you are suffering from Confirmation Bias

(which is no longer politically correct - as some confirmations are easily offended these days).

Apparently the only known and proven cure - is to remove all of your clothing and run down the pet food aisle in the Oxgangs branch of Tesco. GL.
Report 1st time poster October 19, 2020 3:32 PM BST
when did cocolarum ever look a 50,s shot, Confused
Report hulk23 October 19, 2020 4:42 PM BST
when you start leaving the 130's up i/r you'll find the crazy prices aren't there anymore unless the jockeys not on it or its at least half a mile behind ...
Report Gaze733 October 19, 2020 4:50 PM BST
It's not confirmation bias. It's not like I make hundreds of lays and notice only the ones that win. I make 1 lay a day on average.
Report Rico-Dangleflaps October 19, 2020 4:52 PM BST
gaze,billy smarts are recruiting.
Report the old nanny ;-) October 19, 2020 5:40 PM BST
System going well , Send more money .
Report Gaze733 October 19, 2020 6:28 PM BST
Backs are going well you idiot, but I'd have quadrupled the bankroll if I backed all my lays in running. Just proves that the IR market is even more idiotic than BSP. They lay @200 when the horse still has a 10% chance to win.
Report hulk23 October 19, 2020 6:36 PM BST
still has a 10% chance to win .... on the pictures you're watching
Report Gaze733 October 19, 2020 7:00 PM BST
You're telling me if I back a fav IR @200 it has a 0.5% chance to win? No, the clown market is not that efficient. It has 2% at least.
Report Gaze733 October 19, 2020 7:04 PM BST
How do you calculate the true odds of a horse coming back from 10 lengths in a chase, especially when the leaders can fall any time? And you have 2 seconds to do the calculation? You can't.
Report geoff m October 19, 2020 7:08 PM BST
everyday a school day.
Report Rico-Dangleflaps October 19, 2020 9:28 PM BST
gaze,whats twice half of one and a half?
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