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Covers flat & AW racing from March 2016
Have put previous posts on Some Guesses recently, but seem to have a jinx on there as had too many close 2nd's
It may be my way of interpretation of the races though?
So moving on with my own post
Have put previous posts on Some Guesses recently, but seem to have a jinx on there as had too many close 2nd's
It may be my way of interpretation of the races though?
So moving on with my own post
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Yesterday jockey Ben Curtis spoilt my nap by a short head in the last race at Newcastle
Today I'm going with that jockey in the last race at same track WINDFORPOWER 8.45 There are good pointers for 8yo's from past winners of same grade, and distance at all tracks. POS form HORSE and draw DIFF WON 62084 Eland Ally 9 30- WON 23559 Pharoh Jake 1 39- won 93241 Whipphound 5 39- WON 13x02 Novabridge 9 19- WON 3x021 Novabridge 4 17- won 04x53 Temple Road 6 27- 3rd 00552 Roy's Legacy 1 37- won 33542 Roy's Legacy 1 33- unpl 93767 Roy's Legacy 1 38- won 70506 Roy's Legacy 6 37- won 77231 Windforpower 8 29- won 1x775 Ask The Guru 10 30- Two have landed two wins in the period This is the Newcastle Track data POS form HORSE and draw DIFF AGE SEX unpl 93241 Whipphound 5 39- 8 G WON 13x02 Novabridge 9 19- 8 G WON 3x021 Novabridge 4 17- 8 G won 77231 Windforpower 8 29- 8 G |
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What database & version are you using? What do your databases do?
I have one or two databases (north of 50  ) |
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Pinza won't mind me telling you that his Database - is mostly based upon ...
Daily Mirror = Spotform Daily Express = SF The Sun = 2nd in Betting Forecast etc. etc.  |
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Thankyou for your interest Onlooker.
You have mentioned it before but I can take it. Retired Police inspectors take a lot to get riled, so carry on. Anyway the database does not involve those but they still are useful as you will see below (if it comes out) that Natch and Heather Lark had the spots. Ignoring the spots and looking at Career you will note that 2nd place figures significantly in this race but because of the few races had to use both distances. Score DATE TRACK GRADE DIST INFO month SPOT RATING p2score won assist TAB form HORSE and draw DIFF AGE SEX career 02/03/2017 NEWC aw EM 10.0 mdn 3 won p2 2 6x322 On Fire 2 3- 4 G 0-4-7 22/03/2017 Newc aw EM 10.0 . 3 won p3- 3 x293x Lopes Dancer 1 4- 5 G 0-4-8 08/03/2018 Newc AW EM 10.0 BT 3 4 F won . 8 FTO Morning Skye 9 . 3 C 0-0-0 09/03/2018 Newc EM 12.0 3 r1 3 xp0 1 333x0 Kings Gold 2 3- 5 G 0-6-9 09/03/2018 Newc EM 12.0 3 r1 p6- 2 6x Kindler 7 1- 4 G 0-0-1 09/03/2018 Newc EM 12.0 3 5 r1 p7 3 807 Wise Coco 8 3- 5 M 0-0-3 09/03/2018 Newc EM 12.0 3 r1 p4- 4 0044x Lots Ov 4 3- 4 F 0-0-4 09/03/2018 Newc EM 12.0 3 3 r1 p5- 5 55 Banksy's Art 5 2- 3 C 0-0-2 5.5 09/03/2018 Newc EM 12.0 3 Emn SF 2 SF r1 p2 6 422 Natch 3 1- 3 C 0-2-3 09/03/2018 Newc EM 12.0 3 1 F r1 p5 7 35 River Glades 6 1- 3 C 0-1-2 09/03/2018 Newc EM 12.0 3 r1 . 8 FTO Sexy Beast 9 . 3 C 0-0-0 2.5 09/03/2018 Newc EM 12.0 3 Men 4 EW r1 p2 9 23332 Heather Lark 1 1- 3 F 0-6-7 Betting Profit & Loss Horse Racing: £50.89 Total P&L: £50.89 Have a good night |
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In case you are wondering why I preferred Heather Lark it's pretty obvious
won 6x322 On Fire 2 3- 4 G 0-4-7 422 Natch 3 1- 3 C 0-2-3 won 23332 Heather Lark 1 1- 3 F 0-6-7 |
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Well again the nap goes down by short head.
That's the third one in a week!!! Was ready though with my lay button at 1.6 and that saved the outlay. |
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Hi Pinza, You remind me of an Alias called (stablehinter) He used to have some good pointers from his database.
Years of stats can be very useful in this game. Likewise fancied Windforpower, think we were done there by a very willing Ruth Car horse there. Unfortunately i did not lay any off in running. Keep up the Good work. |
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Hi Matt.
Yes it is I. Good to hear from you. I bet you are getting ready for Cheltenham having watched the replays? I'm still sticking to AW & Flat. |
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would you consider yourself eligible for a caution pinza with so many near misses
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Thought so, Yeah Done a lot of homework for Chelts.
Good to hear your still Doing the Flat n AW. I sent you an email hope it reaches you. Be good to catch up again. |
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Going with BROUGHTONS STORY 8.45 Chelm
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After all the short heads losses one would think to back SHORT HEAD in 3.40
But have an ew double with Flirtare (the first one came in) |
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Back to the basics after Cheltenham.
Wolver tonight 5.45: Road To Dubai looks good except for the Long Break (LB) 6.15: Blue Rocks or Tidal Watch 6.45: Captain George or Volturnus 7.15: no bet 7.45: Ifubelieveindreams( Nap) 8.15; Too many possibles. Society Ranger, The Kings Steed, Golden Eye. Lesanti. 8.45: Multiviz or Emigrated |
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Police Inspector
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Ex
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5.45: Road To Dubai looks good except for the Long Break (LB)
6.15: Blue Rocks or Tidal Watch 2nd 6/1 6.45: Captain George or Volturnus (NR) 7.15: no bet 7.45: Ifubelieveindreams( Nap) UNPL 8.15; Too many possibles. Society Ranger, The Kings Steed, Golden Eye. Lesanti. 8.45: Multiviz (3RD) or Emigrated WON 10/1 WIN / EW / PLACE BETS Total P&L: £31.12 |
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Newcastle
6.40 VJ Day 7.15 Exchequer 7.45 PAPARAZZI (nap) 8.15 One of those races to ponder Russian Realm, Razin Hell and Tommy G all have pointers. |
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^* 8.45 gone with the consistent ATHOLLBLAIR BOY gl
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Need to checkout the win rate for horses with w2 form
I have it as a LAY But nothing is certain. I will send a PM |
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Omitted the win race as 4yo in lower grade (E)
pm sent |
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2ND 5 4212 Torreon 10 1+ 5
9 21212 Surewecan 6 12- 4 4 4x212 Mutamid 1 1- 4 6 41212 Sandy Cove 5 3- 5 fav 5 ** 3x212 Rockley Point 4 1- 3 11 56212 Baltic Prince 7 24- 7 won 1 3x212 Final 5 3+ 5 2nd fv 3 x6212 French 1 6- 4 1 212x Rebel Cause 8 2+ 4 7 5x212 Big Tour 6 1+ 3 6 51212 Economic Crisis 8 40- 8 R7 8 3x212 Athollblair Boy 8 10- 5 |
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Cheers Pinza I still think top weights are struggling @ Newcastle
gl  |
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Just DH grade Newc
Some gaps to fill though T1 12 wins T2 6 wins T3 9 wins t4 8 wins t5 3 wins t6 3 wins L2 & L3 3 wins Bt 5 wins |
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Well done Virgin
got the 2nd |
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and the 3rd !!
e/w bets |
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wd Pinza
Tricast 8 - 1 - 11 £47.56  |
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Not a good day yesterday. Used to getting a winner.
Southwell pointers (2016 onwards) 2.00 GALILOE'S SPEAR Top weights have good record Bottom weights have win in sprints but not above 6f. (Di's Gift) |
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3.40 southwell HOLIDAY MAGIC
a good class race for this course The figure 4 age and career make the selection INFO month won form HORSE and draw DIFF AGE SEX career CD T4 BF 1 won 06623 Poyle Vinnie 2 9- 7 G 6-14-41 CD T4 25D 1 won 133x1 Foolaad 4 3+ 7 G 5-7-19 CD T4 7D 3 R4 72692 Holiday Magic 3 12- 7 G 7-9-42 |
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I will be steaming into this won.
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Not much doing today
Equally Fast 3.15 Linga should be there at finish Perfect Lady 6.45 Kempa is in with a shout |
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Uncle Henry 8.00 Dund at around 2/1
Really ought to pick this lot up with the minimum fuss. Shorty Fav i know 2 singles and a double with your Perfect Lady. Good luck Bud. |
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The well backed Equally Fast is out of the 3.15 after being injured in the box.
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It doesn't come out well but the stable do very well at this meeting
Look for the class 4 hcps with 4yo & 5yo runners TRAINER M Ex check mnf Info Fav HORSE Pos S P. DATE course Dist Age sex Age grp 3hc Hcp Richard Fahey z z 3 D3 b* Lady Bear 1 10.00 22/03/2002 DONC 8.0 4 F 4yo+ B Richard Fahey z z 3 .LB T3 Mister Hardy 1 9.00 29/03/2009 DONC 7.0 4 C 4yo+ D Richard Fahey z z 3 LB D T3 fv Irish Heartbeat 1 4.00 27/03/2010 DONC 8.0 5 G 4YO+ B Richard Fahey SF 3 LB D T2 fv Red Jade 1 3.50 27/03/2010 DONC 10.5 5 G 4YO+ D Richard Fahey F 3 LB D Deadly Encounter 1 5.00 28/03/2010 DONC 7.0 4 G 4YO+ D Richard Fahey SF F 3 LB D T2 Kaldoun Kingdom 1 6.00 28/03/2010 DONC 6.0 5 G 4YO+ B Richard Fahey SF 3 LB Brae Hill 1 25.00 31/03/2012 DONC 8.0 6 G 4YO+ B Richard Fahey z z 3 . Yeomanoftheguard 1 14.00 22/03/2013 DONC 12.0 4 G 4YO+ E Richard Fahey z z 3 LB D fv Personal Touch 1 4.00 22/03/2013 DONC 7.0 4 G 4YO+ D Richard Fahey z z 3 LB D Eastern Destiny 1 5.50 30/03/2013 DONC 10.5 4 y 4YO+ D Richard Fahey z z 3 brk BF Docs Legacy 1 3.50 30/03/2013 DONC 10.5 4 G 4YO+ D Richard Fahey z z ag 3 LB CD Brae Hill 1 10.00 29/03/2014 DONC 8.0 8 G 4YO+ B Richard Fahey SF 3 LB D Flyman 1 7.00 30/03/2014 DONC 6.0 4 G 4YO+ C Richard Fahey SF 3 LB L2 Manchestar 1 7.00 30/03/2014 DONC 7.0 4 G 4YO+ D |
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2.00 LINGA
EXPEDIATE |
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Fahey stable strike at Donny
Golconda Prince won (7/1) and Gabrial placed in Lincoln (20/1) Today 2.25; 4 runners makes it tricky but 4yo Right Action possible as the other three are 8yo 3.35; 2 backable runners, Private Matter and Paddy Power 4.45; Cadeau Magnifique 5.20; Ventura Dragon (3yo race) |
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5.25 Naas (Full Moon) Nap
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"Look for the class 4 hcps with 4yo & 5yo runners"
RIGHT ACTION wins another race at Donny for Richard Fahey Put it in your notebook for next year |
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Well done with Right Action n Ventura Dragon.
My nap 2nd  Well backed in the end to no Avail. |
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wd Pinza
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