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Pinza
09 Mar 18 12:00
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Date Joined: 01 May 01
| Topic/replies: 3,395 | Blogger: Pinza's blog
Covers flat & AW racing from March 2016

Have put previous posts on Some Guesses recently, but seem to have a jinx  on there as had too many close 2nd's
It may be my way of interpretation of the races though?

So moving on with my own post

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By:
Pinza
When: 09 Mar 18 12:22
Yesterday jockey Ben Curtis spoilt my nap by a short head in the last race at Newcastle
Today I'm going with that jockey in the last race at same track

WINDFORPOWER 8.45

There are good pointers for 8yo's from past winners of same grade, and distance at all tracks.

POS    form    HORSE and draw    DIFF
WON    62084     Eland Ally 9    30-
WON    23559     Pharoh Jake 1    39-
won    93241     Whipphound 5    39-
WON    13x02     Novabridge 9    19-
WON    3x021     Novabridge 4    17-
won    04x53     Temple Road 6    27-
3rd    00552     Roy's Legacy 1    37-
won    33542     Roy's Legacy 1    33-
unpl    93767     Roy's Legacy 1    38-
won    70506     Roy's Legacy 6    37-
won    77231     Windforpower 8    29-
won    1x775     Ask The Guru 10    30-

Two have landed two wins in the period


This is the Newcastle Track data

POS    form    HORSE and draw    DIFF    AGE    SEX
unpl    93241     Whipphound 5    39-    8     G 
WON    13x02     Novabridge 9    19-    8     G 
WON    3x021     Novabridge 4    17-    8     G 
won    77231     Windforpower 8    29-    8     G 
By:
Stow_judge
When: 09 Mar 18 13:10
What database & version are you using? What do your databases do?
I have one or two databases (north of 50 Blush)
By:
onlooker
When: 09 Mar 18 13:16
Pinza won't mind me telling you that his Database - is mostly based upon ...

Daily Mirror = Spotform
Daily Express = SF
The Sun = 2nd in Betting Forecast

etc. etc.  Happy
By:
Pinza
When: 09 Mar 18 19:36
Thankyou for your interest Onlooker.
You have mentioned it before but I can take it.
Retired Police inspectors take a lot to get riled, so carry on.

Anyway the database does not involve those but they still are useful as you will see below (if it comes out)
that Natch and Heather Lark had the spots.

Ignoring the spots and looking at Career you will note that 2nd place figures significantly in this race but because of the few races
had to use both distances.



Score    DATE    TRACK    GRADE       DIST    INFO    month    SPOT    RATING    p2score    won    assist    TAB    form    HORSE and draw    DIFF    AGE    SEX    career
    02/03/2017    NEWC aw    EM    10.0    mdn    3                won    p2    2     6x322 On Fire 2    3-    4     G     0-4-7 
    22/03/2017    Newc aw    EM    10.0    .    3                won    p3-    3     x293x     Lopes Dancer 1    4-    5     G     0-4-8 
    08/03/2018    Newc AW    EM    10.0    BT    3        4    F    won    .    8     FTO    Morning Skye 9    .    3     C     0-0-0 
    09/03/2018    Newc    EM    12.0        3                r1    3 xp0    1     333x0     Kings Gold 2    3-    5     G     0-6-9 
    09/03/2018    Newc    EM    12.0        3                r1    p6-    2     6x     Kindler 7    1-    4     G     0-0-1 
    09/03/2018    Newc    EM    12.0        3        5        r1    p7    3     807     Wise Coco 8    3-    5     M     0-0-3 
    09/03/2018    Newc    EM    12.0        3                r1    p4-    4     0044x     Lots Ov 4    3-    4     F     0-0-4 
    09/03/2018    Newc    EM    12.0        3        3        r1    p5-    5     55     Banksy's Art 5    2-    3     C     0-0-2 
5.5    09/03/2018    Newc    EM    12.0        3    Emn SF    2    SF    r1    p2    6     422 Natch 3             1-    3     C        0-2-3 
    09/03/2018    Newc    EM    12.0        3        1    F    r1    p5    7     35     River Glades 6    1-    3     C     0-1-2 
    09/03/2018    Newc    EM    12.0        3                r1    .    8     FTO    Sexy Beast 9    .    3     C     0-0-0 
2.5    09/03/2018    Newc    EM    12.0        3    Men    4    EW    r1    p2    9     23332     Heather Lark 1    1-    3     F     0-6-7 


Betting Profit & Loss

Horse Racing: £50.89  Total P&L:  £50.89

Have a good night
By:
Pinza
When: 09 Mar 18 19:44
In case you are wondering why I preferred Heather Lark it's pretty obvious

won 6x322     On Fire 2    3-    4     G     0-4-7 
    422     Natch 3     1-    3     C     0-2-3 
won 23332     Heather Lark 1    1-    3     F     0-6-7 
By:
Pinza
When: 09 Mar 18 22:22
Well again the nap goes down by short head.
That's the third one in a week!!!

Was ready though with my lay button at 1.6 and that saved the outlay.
By:
Mat22
When: 09 Mar 18 23:09
Hi Pinza, You remind me of an Alias called (stablehinter) He used to have some good pointers from his database.
Years of stats can be very useful in this game.
Likewise fancied Windforpower, think we were done there by a very willing Ruth Car horse there. Unfortunately i did not lay any off in running.
Keep up the Good work.
By:
Pinza
When: 10 Mar 18 00:07
Hi Matt.
Yes it is I.
Good to hear from you.
I bet you are getting ready for Cheltenham having watched the replays?
I'm still sticking to AW & Flat.
By:
chavman
When: 10 Mar 18 00:11
would you consider yourself eligible for a caution pinza with so many near misses
By:
Mat22
When: 10 Mar 18 10:05
Thought so, Yeah Done a lot of homework for Chelts.
Good to hear your still Doing the Flat n AW.
I sent you an email hope it reaches you.
Be good to catch up again.
By:
Pinza
When: 10 Mar 18 20:19
Going with BROUGHTONS STORY 8.45 Chelm
By:
Pinza
When: 16 Mar 18 17:33
After all the short heads losses one would think to back SHORT HEAD in 3.40
But have an ew double with Flirtare (the first one came in)
By:
Pinza
When: 17 Mar 18 18:53
Back to the basics after Cheltenham.
Wolver tonight

5.45: Road To Dubai looks good except for the Long Break (LB)

6.15: Blue Rocks or Tidal Watch

6.45: Captain George or Volturnus

7.15: no bet

7.45: Ifubelieveindreams( Nap)

8.15; Too many possibles. Society Ranger, The Kings Steed, Golden Eye. Lesanti.

8.45: Multiviz or Emigrated
By:
Deltâ
When: 17 Mar 18 19:01
Police Inspector Shocked
By:
Pinza
When: 17 Mar 18 19:10
Ex
By:
Pinza
When: 18 Mar 18 15:07
5.45: Road To Dubai looks good except for the Long Break (LB)

6.15: Blue Rocks or Tidal Watch 2nd 6/1

6.45: Captain George or Volturnus (NR)

7.15: no bet

7.45: Ifubelieveindreams( Nap) UNPL

8.15; Too many possibles. Society Ranger, The Kings Steed, Golden Eye. Lesanti.

8.45: Multiviz (3RD) or Emigrated WON 10/1

WIN / EW / PLACE BETS


Total P&L:  £31.12
By:
Pinza
When: 20 Mar 18 14:48
Newcastle
6.40 VJ Day
7.15 Exchequer
7.45 PAPARAZZI (nap)

8.15 One of those races to ponder
Russian Realm, Razin Hell and Tommy G all have pointers.
By:
Virgin
When: 20 Mar 18 15:33
^* 8.45 gone with the consistent ATHOLLBLAIR BOY gl
By:
Pinza
When: 20 Mar 18 16:24
Need to checkout the win rate for horses with w2 form
I have it as a LAY
But nothing is certain.

I will send a PM
By:
Pinza
When: 20 Mar 18 17:00
Omitted the win race as 4yo in lower grade (E)
pm sent
By:
Pinza
When: 20 Mar 18 18:15
2ND    5     4212     Torreon 10    1+    5 
    9     21212     Surewecan 6    12-    4 
    4     4x212     Mutamid 1    1-    4 
    6     41212     Sandy Cove 5    3-    5 
fav    5 **    3x212     Rockley Point 4    1-    3 
    11     56212     Baltic Prince 7    24-    7 
won    1     3x212     Final 5      3+    5 
2nd fv    3     x6212     French 1    6-    4 
    1     212x     Rebel Cause 8    2+    4 
    7     5x212     Big Tour 6    1+    3 
    6     51212     Economic Crisis 8    40-    8 
R7    8     3x212     Athollblair Boy 8    10-    5 
By:
Virgin
When: 20 Mar 18 21:41
Cheers Pinza I still think top weights are struggling @ Newcastle

gl Plain
By:
Pinza
When: 20 Mar 18 22:41
Just DH grade Newc

Some gaps to fill though

T1 12 wins
T2 6 wins
T3 9 wins
t4 8 wins
t5 3 wins
t6 3 wins
L2 & L3 3 wins
Bt 5 wins
By:
Pinza
When: 20 Mar 18 22:50
Well done Virgin
got the 2nd
By:
Pinza
When: 20 Mar 18 22:51
and the 3rd !!
e/w bets
By:
Virgin
When: 20 Mar 18 23:05
wd Pinza Happy

Tricast    8 - 1 - 11    £47.56 Cry
By:
Pinza
When: 21 Mar 18 14:51
Not a good day yesterday. Used to getting a winner.
Southwell pointers (2016 onwards)

2.00 GALILOE'S SPEAR

Top weights have good record

Bottom weights have win in sprints  but not above 6f. (Di's Gift)
By:
Pinza
When: 21 Mar 18 15:55
3.40 southwell HOLIDAY MAGIC

a good class race for this course

The figure 4 age and career make the selection

INFO    month    won    form    HORSE and draw    DIFF    AGE    SEX    career
CD T4 BF    1    won    06623     Poyle Vinnie 2    9-    7     G     6-14-41 
CD T4 25D    1    won    133x1     Foolaad 4    3+    7     G     5-7-19 
CD T4 7D    3    R4    72692     Holiday Magic 3    12-    7     G     7-9-42 
By:
Ekbalco
When: 21 Mar 18 17:35
I will be steaming into this won.
By:
Pinza
When: 23 Mar 18 14:11
Not much doing today

Equally Fast 3.15 Linga should be there at finish
Perfect Lady 6.45 Kempa is in with a shout
By:
Mat22
When: 23 Mar 18 17:10
Uncle Henry 8.00 Dund at around 2/1
Really ought to pick this lot up with the minimum fuss.
Shorty Fav i know 2 singles and a double with your Perfect Lady.
Good luck Bud.
By:
Virgin
When: 23 Mar 18 17:18
The well backed Equally Fast is out of the 3.15 after being injured in the box.
By:
Pinza
When: 24 Mar 18 15:10
It doesn't come out well but the stable do very well at this meeting
Look for the class 4 hcps with 4yo & 5yo runners


TRAINER    M    Ex    check    mnf    Info    Fav    HORSE    Pos    S P.    DATE    course    Dist    Age    sex    Age grp    3hc    Hcp
Richard Fahey             z     z        3    D3 b*         Lady Bear     1    10.00    22/03/2002    DONC    8.0    4    F      4yo+        B
Richard Fahey             z     z        3    .LB T3                                     Mister Hardy     1    9.00    29/03/2009    DONC    7.0    4    C    4yo+        D
Richard Fahey             z     z        3    LB D T3    fv    Irish Heartbeat    1    4.00    27/03/2010    DONC    8.0    5    G    4YO+        B
Richard Fahey    SF            3    LB D T2    fv    Red Jade    1    3.50    27/03/2010    DONC    10.5    5    G    4YO+        D
Richard Fahey        F        3    LB D        Deadly Encounter    1    5.00    28/03/2010    DONC    7.0    4    G    4YO+        D
Richard Fahey    SF    F        3    LB D T2        Kaldoun Kingdom    1    6.00    28/03/2010    DONC    6.0    5    G    4YO+        B
Richard Fahey        SF        3    LB        Brae Hill    1    25.00    31/03/2012    DONC    8.0    6    G    4YO+        B
Richard Fahey             z     z        3    .        Yeomanoftheguard    1    14.00    22/03/2013    DONC    12.0    4    G    4YO+        E
Richard Fahey             z     z        3    LB D    fv    Personal Touch    1    4.00    22/03/2013    DONC    7.0    4    G    4YO+        D
Richard Fahey             z     z        3    LB D        Eastern Destiny    1    5.50    30/03/2013    DONC    10.5    4    y    4YO+        D
Richard Fahey             z     z        3    brk BF        Docs Legacy    1    3.50    30/03/2013    DONC    10.5    4    G    4YO+        D
Richard Fahey             z     z    ag    3    LB CD           Brae Hill    1    10.00    29/03/2014    DONC    8.0    8    G    4YO+        B
Richard Fahey    SF            3    LB D        Flyman    1    7.00    30/03/2014    DONC    6.0    4    G    4YO+        C
Richard Fahey    SF            3    LB L2        Manchestar    1    7.00    30/03/2014    DONC    7.0    4    G    4YO+        D
By:
Pinza
When: 24 Mar 18 15:47
2.00 LINGA

EXPEDIATE
By:
Pinza
When: 25 Mar 18 10:04
Fahey stable strike at Donny
Golconda Prince won (7/1) and Gabrial placed in Lincoln (20/1)

Today
2.25; 4 runners makes it tricky but 4yo Right Action possible as the other three are 8yo
3.35; 2 backable runners, Private Matter and Paddy Power
4.45; Cadeau Magnifique
5.20; Ventura Dragon (3yo race)
By:
Mat22
When: 25 Mar 18 17:42
5.25 Naas (Full Moon) Nap
By:
Pinza
When: 25 Mar 18 18:15
"Look for the class 4 hcps with 4yo & 5yo runners"
RIGHT ACTION wins another race at Donny for Richard Fahey

Put it in your notebook for next year
By:
Mat22
When: 25 Mar 18 18:33
Well done with Right Action n Ventura Dragon.
My nap 2nd Sad
Well backed in the end to no Avail.
By:
Virgin
When: 25 Mar 18 18:36
wd Pinza CoolCool
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