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2017 - FANCIES from the Notebook!

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By:
saddo
When: 07 Apr 17 18:39
WD George.
By:
Virgin
When: 07 Apr 17 18:47
Beat my pick George but well done Cool
By:
Virgin
When: 07 Apr 17 18:47
gl with double ...Excited
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 07 Apr 17 19:02
Ta.

Oh well, shame about the double, would appear to have been flattered in that maiden Sad
By:
saddo
When: 07 Apr 17 19:05
A winning day tho. I had a bet typed in for Flight of Fantasy earlier and never put it on.Sad
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 07 Apr 17 19:06
saddo Cry
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 07 Apr 17 20:18
Six points profit on the day thanks to London Grammar. Disappointed with the other one, but hey, if I could make 6 pts profit each day I wouldn't be complaining!

Running Totals


P/L : +11.95

Win stat: 4/19 (21%)
Place stat: 9/19 (47%)

Points staked so far: 34
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 08 Apr 17 08:21
Haaffa Sovereign, 1pt EW @ 20-1, 8.20 Wolverhampton

Haaffa Sovereign caught my eye back in October over 12f at Newcastle, when he was returning from over two years off the track and making his debut for Kevin Morgan.  He was quite fresh and keen, tracking the pace (first two were held up), but despite looking like he had something to offer, he got no luck in the run, being denied a clear run and losing his position.

Connections then opted to run him in  a maiden at Wolverhampton he had little chance of winning on the figures, but he wasn't disgraced in finishing fourth and the handicapper put him up 5lb to a whopping 48! He then once again caught the eye on Tapeta on his return to handicap company (class 7) over 12f at Wolverhampton, again not getting the clearest of runs and shaping better than the bare result.

His final run for Kevin Morgan wasn't as promising, finishing well held over 11f at Kempton, but perhaps Polytrack and / or going right-handed wasn't to his liking. Two runs so far for Laura Morgan have been over hurdles,  being sent off at 100-1 and pulled up each time.

Haafa Sovereign is a lowly-rated, light-raced 6YO who presumably has had his problems, but his three runs on Tapeta have suggested there may be a low-grade handicap in him, so at rewarding odds, he gets a speculative EW vote.
By:
Knight Commander
When: 08 Apr 17 08:24
WD GeCoolrge Happy
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 08 Apr 17 08:35
Cheers KC. She's obviously got her limitations, but given how she stayed on at both Lingfield and Kempton, looks worth a try over 10f imo.
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 08 Apr 17 08:41
I was reading the trainer's name as Laura Mongan, and did the same with Ted's Brother, another Laura Morgan now trains.

Mind playing tricks on me Crazy
By:
mackies-fc
When: 08 Apr 17 09:20
Good start so far George well done
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 08 Apr 17 10:40
Cheers mackies. If I can maintain a 21% strike rate, I'll be fecking astounded!
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 08 Apr 17 10:40
Wink
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 08 Apr 17 18:56
Sunday's selections

Rosenborg Rider, 1pt win @ 40-1, 2.55 Naas
Rapid Applause, 1pt win @ 8-1, 2.55 Naas

Both of these caught my eye on their latest start at Dundalk

Rosenborg Rider was formerly trained by Ralph Beckett, and he was having his first run for Adrian McGuiness when prominent in the betting on his first run for around 6 months, over 6f at Dundalk in a race won by Lily's Prince (who reopposes here). The race didn't go his way, dropped out well off the pace, taking a keen hold, then not getting the clearest of runs in the straight, before keeping on well to be a never-nearer than at the finish.

He has to prove his effectiveness on turf because two runs on grass for his former yard weren't great, but a chance is taken that he can build on a satisfactory stable debut, with a promising claimer taking 7lb off.

Rapid Applause ran in the same race and he too didn't get much luck in running, being hampered at the start and finding himself well in rear, and then meeting with significant trouble in the straight, before being switched and running on well for fifth.

He has fallen down the handicap having been rated over 100 at one point (runner-up in Group 3 company as a juvenile) and better was clearly expected judging from the market (SPs of 20-1 and 25-1 (twice) at Dundalk prior to going off at 7-1 on his latest start), and with the return to turf not expected to be an issue, a chance is taken for the minimum EW stake.
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 08 Apr 17 18:57
CORRECTION:

Rosenborg Rider, 1pt EW @ 40-1, 2.55 Naas
Rapid Applause, 1pt EW @ 8-1, 2.55 Naas
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 08 Apr 17 20:36
X-rated stuff from this evening's pick, so that's two pulled-ups and a shocker for his new stable from 3 starts. Think I can safely remove that one from the notebook Plain

Running Totals

P/L : +9.95

Win stat: 4/20 (20%)
Place stat: 9/20 (45%)

Points staked so far: 36
By:
mackies-fc
When: 09 Apr 17 13:29
From the race your two selections are in George Midnightmudcrabs is one im interested in this season with some give in the ground. The concern today is she is friendless in the market and when she bolted up last year she was backed off the boards. But im having a little tickle at silly prices on here. Gl with yours, I can see the appeal of both.
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 09 Apr 17 13:42
Good luck mackies.

Rosenborg Rider is out to 50s Blush and just wonder if he'll need further to be seen to best effect, but hopefully a stronger run race will suit.

At the moment the market is suggesting the other one is on a going day.
By:
mackies-fc
When: 09 Apr 17 13:52
The other one was definitely eyecatching last time!
By:
stewarts rise
When: 09 Apr 17 14:23
Good luck with these 2 George, i quite like another one in that race Golden Pearl of Halford. Just had 4 runs so far, tried to give 11lb to the older horse Primo Uomo lto at Dundalk over 5fs, that horse now rated 93. ^lb lower on turf but won on debut over 6fs, Halford in good form, think has a good chance, good luck.
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 09 Apr 17 14:31
Good luck stewarts
By:
stewarts rise
When: 09 Apr 17 14:58
Terrific George!Grin
By:
mackies-fc
When: 09 Apr 17 14:58
Nice Cool
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 09 Apr 17 15:04
Cheers. He was 12-1 when I started typing last night and by the time I'd finished he was into 8s Crazy

I'll have to start doing what robster does and post the picks straight away with a "write-up to follow" Wink
By:
Knight Commander
When: 09 Apr 17 15:10
Great stuff George Happy
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 09 Apr 17 15:12
Ta KC, a relief to be back in the winner's enclosure after yesterday's shocker!
By:
stewarts rise
When: 09 Apr 17 15:16
Class always shines through GeorgeB!
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 09 Apr 17 15:24
Plenty of time for the inevitable losing run, stewarts!

Btw, I was wondering about the Morgan horses and I know you've been a follower in the past, has Kevin retired? Same surname but they appear to be different stables?
By:
stewarts rise
When: 09 Apr 17 15:29
Noticed one or two running for different stables recently George but haven't looked into it as yet!
By:
Virgin
When: 09 Apr 17 16:40
wd George Cool
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 09 Apr 17 16:58
Ta Virgin Wink
By:
madhatters
When: 09 Apr 17 17:37
WD GB
Missed todays Sad
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 09 Apr 17 17:42
You been on a bender, madhatters? Wink
By:
madhatters
When: 09 Apr 17 17:56
You could take that a few ways GB
Safe to say no benders came near me Grin

Got to put in a family day now & then Laugh
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 09 Apr 17 17:58
Obv I meant as in a prolonged drinking session since 7 last night Wink
By:
madhatters
When: 09 Apr 17 18:00
Wrote them down & then got distracted Grin
By:
madhatters
When: 09 Apr 17 18:00
Session started at 9 Laugh
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 09 Apr 17 18:43
As long as you enjoyed yourself, madhatters Wink

I'm not getting any magic vibes for anything tomorrow, so I think I'm going to pass. There is a horse running in the last at Windsor that I selected on this thread the last time it ran, Who Told Jo Jo, and the early betting is suggesting he's going to be a lot more competitive this time than he was that day, when it looked like he could barely raise a gallop, but I'd still rather watch tomoz.

Running Totals

P/L : +19.2

Win stat: 5/22 (23%)
Place stat: 10/22 (45%)

Points staked so far: 40

(Keeping an eye on how much has been lost on multiples so far: -5)
By:
craigie69
When: 10 Apr 17 17:34
thanks for the pointer george, small e/w on jo jo
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