jamesy boy just posted on the footy thread calling james dean

Nice one mart!

Typical George

Might be intersting to see the totals on them all had you followed them over a cliff if above 10/1 or so

You reckon at a guess be ahead?

Be good to see the results George.

Obviously it's all price dependent on each race but your picks are usually decent prices on the whole.
You might be pleasantly surprised!

JD, here's hoping...

Just accentuating the positives, chav'

Infiniti, 1pt win @ 9-2, 6.40 Chelmsford

The notebook run was her handicap debut over 7f at Lingfield (turf) three starts back when she caught the eye late-headway monkey style, running on well for 3rd and going on nicely at the finish; it was low-grade fodder but the couple ahead of her were in reasonable form and a couple that were behind her have won subsequently.

The run two starts back at Salisbury was disappointing but it was possible the ground wasn't to her liking and she raced away from the stands' rail which might have been a disadvantage on the day; she returned to form on her latest start over 7f furlongs at Yarmouth when finishing runner-up in what didn't look a very good race, though that said it was the quickest of the four 7f contests on the card and the winner had the advantage of being ridden by a decent 7lb claimer .

Infiniti has to prove her stamina for a mile on this switch to the AW, but she is half-sister to a dual Polytrack scorer (albeit at a lowly level) and the way she shaped at Lingfield suggested the trip should be fine; shes nicely drawn in 5 and hopefully will get a nice tow into the race from Gladys Cooper and O Dee who are both likely to be ridden forward.

Disappointing, looked on edge beforehand; got a reasonable position relative to the winner but always looked like she was doing a bit too much and found disappointingly little.

Seems to have quite a knee action on her but didn't offer much on soft at Salisbury.

Oh well, bottom line is -1 on P/L sheet. There's always tomorrow...

Lastmanlastround 1pt EW @ 20-1, 5.25 Kempton

This horse is of some interest back on Polytrack given the promise of his debut at Lingfield over 1 mile back in February, when he caught the eye with how well he travelled and perhaps was a shade unfortunate not to win given he didn't get the clearest of runs and was sympathetically handled in the straight; for a winter AW maiden the form didn't work out too badly, with the winner Blacklister now rated in the 80s (albeit he may be better on turf but had run well on the AW off marks in the mid-70s) and the third Ilzam going on to win off 77 on the AW, which all makes Lastmanlastround's mark of 78 look a workable one.

Three runs on turf following a 4-month break have culminated in a win in a weakish maiden over 7f at Thirsk, and it could be despite his pedigree (plenty of stamina on the dam's side), he's proves best at 7f / 1m, given he didn't really see his races out on turf over 9f (though still ran OK).

The draw could have been kinder, but at 20-1, he makes some appeal with the promise of that sole Polytrack start not forgotten.

Mister Music, 1pt EW @ 10-1, 5.25 Kempton

Mister Music is the other to make some appeal at a double figure price in this race, on his second start for Tony Carroll; there were signs of life on his debut for his new yard when finishing fourth at Newmarket towards the end of July, and he's an intriguing runner back on the AW, given he's only had two starts on Polytrack and the last one (albeit back in September 2013) resulted in finishing second in a valuable class 2 handicap off a 19lb higher mark than he races off here.

He's a seven-year-old now and it could be he's just not as good as he was, but he did win off a 2lb higher mark on turf last season in a higher grade, and if the change of scenery sparks an upward revival in form, he's appeals as being potentially well handicapped.

Midnight Man, 1 pt EW @ 7-1, 2.55 Thirsk

Caught the eye on his third run for a mark over 7f at Thirsk, not just finishing off in good style to just miss third, but also as a physical specimen with a good way of going; that run came on soft ground so the rain won't be an issue, and his pedigree suggests the extra furlong will be in his favour.

He's going handicapping off 67 and hopefully this mark won't prove beyond this scopey sort.

Good luck striding'

Hugh T put it lto at Newbury reasoning it had run well on the wrong part of the track at Goodwood, and it looked unlucky again last time, not getting a clear run up the rail.

unlucky striding, good effort

I think Joey got more tired than the horse there

Sunday Discussion - The Dark Art of Notebookering

Now take for example the 2.00 at Ascot on Friday - I'm watching this for the first time this morning, not knowing who the horses are, and I spot one travelling like a travelly thing but looking a bit green, not getting a clear run before running on well enough; now if this is a debutant I'm going to be sorely tempted to give him an entry into the old notebook.

So I look at the paper to see which one it was and I'm almost deflated to discover it's Syncopation, who's already had four goes and last time out was beaten in a Leicester nursery off a mark of 68!

So should he be given an entry into the notebook?

Possibly so, because what was different about Friday's run was that it was his first start at 6f having raced exclusively at 7f thus far, and a quick look at the Leicester close-up reveals : "with leaders, pulled hard", so perhaps we're dealing with a sprinter here?

It's not an exact science, but on balance I think I'm going to risk giving him an entry into the notebook, particularly as if memory serves, this was the horse Hugh T put when it ran at Goodwood, presumably having seen some potential in its debut run, and that's good enough for me!

I'm no great fan of nurseries George unless something at a price has been a bit easy in mdns and this coincides with some positive trainer stat angle.

Kirk not a trainer I like getting involved with too much, find his 3yo handicappers at prices pretty good value when dropped in hcp a few lbs below their peak after an apparent mediocre run or two.

Nursery runners on turf 10-12 winners (Overall record 12-163) (back to 2003) struck in their first 2 nursery runs, runners moved up in trip 1f+ from lto run 2-63 something to be a bit wary of.

Of course as always each horse on it's merits but he's had 2 nursery winners on turf in last 6 years (2-50) an area of sparse pickings!

ran alright but not quite the pace i was expecting not sure going up the rails with no room was a good idea pat certainly did well to get it unplaced.

probably company a bit hot now mate off 80 couldn't resist it

good luck if you get involved, kiw

you back that astrophysics today george?