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Shamus
25 Jun 11 10:15
Joined:
Date Joined: 12 Feb 03
| Topic/replies: 4,382 | Blogger: Shamus's blog
All profits and losses will be calculated using a 1 point system using betfair starting price,successful points will have 5% deducted to allow for commission.

Ok here goes will post selection once matched.
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Report Shamus April 4, 2012 4:34 PM BST
Lesleys Choice (7.59) - 2nd Happy
Report Shamus April 4, 2012 8:29 PM BST
8.30 Wolves - Caramelita (4.3)

8.30 Wolves - Caramelita (2.18) Place lay.
Report Shamus April 4, 2012 8:33 PM BST
Caramelita (3.95) (2.11) - HappySad
Report Shamus April 7, 2012 2:02 PM BST
Afternoon all...

2.05 Kempton - Maverick (7.6)

2.05 Kempton - Maverick (2.86) Place lay.
Report Shamus April 7, 2012 2:11 PM BST
Maverick (9.0)(3.15) - unplaced HappyHappy
Report Shamus April 7, 2012 2:39 PM BST
2.40 Kempton - Raasekha   (MATCHBET)

Night Lily to beat Raasekha.
Report Shamus April 7, 2012 2:51 PM BST
Raasekha (2.04) - won Sad
Report Shamus April 7, 2012 3:19 PM BST
3.20 Muss - Laylas Hero (4.7)

3.20 Muss - Prime Exhibit (5.8)
Report Shamus April 7, 2012 3:26 PM BST
Prime Exhibit (5.79) - 3rd Happy

Laylas Hero (5.3 fav) - unplaced Happy
Report Shamus April 8, 2012 2:49 PM BST
2.50 Muss - Mayoman (5.1 fav)
Report Shamus April 8, 2012 2:58 PM BST
Mayoman (3.6) - won Sad
Report Shamus April 9, 2012 3:34 PM BST
Good afternoon..

3.35 Yarmouth - Spin Again (4.0 fav)

3.35 Yarmouth - Viking Rose (6.0)

3.35 Yarmouth - Caldermud (7.2)

3.35 Yarmouth - Viking Rose   (MATCHBET)

Mister Green to beat Viking Rose.
Report Shamus April 9, 2012 3:45 PM BST
Spin Again (4.38 fav) - unplaced Happy

Caldermud (7.68) - won Sad

Viking Rose (6.12) - 2nd Happy

Viking Rose (1.56) - won Sad
Report Shamus April 10, 2012 2:59 PM BST
Good afternoon.

3.00 Southwell - Ghostwing (3.6)
Report Shamus April 10, 2012 3:07 PM BST
Ghostwing (3.64) - 2nd Happy  Get in there Punching.

Layed Elhamri also bit to high to post.
Report Shamus April 10, 2012 3:29 PM BST
3.30 Southwell - La Capriosa (5.5)

Was tempted to back Gracies Gift for the place in and out of form too much those days for my liking to have a solid punt on is capable if on a good day though think I`ll pass,La Capriosa needs to improve to win this only concern is the first time blinkers fingers xd they don`t have the desired effect can`t see Jurla winning but not confident enough to lay it good luck if your having a go.
Report Shamus April 10, 2012 3:34 PM BST
La Capriosa (9.1) - unplaced Happy

That`ll do for me goodbye and goodluck.
Report Knight Commander April 10, 2012 3:41 PM BST
Well done Shamus Grin
Report Shamus April 11, 2012 3:48 PM BST
Good Afternoon.

Cheers KC. Dogs life innit this laying malarkey.

3.50 Lingfield - Qeethara (4.3)

Think there are other runners with better form that are open to more improvement than the selection won`t be easy either with the extra burden to contend with,good luck if your having ago.
Report Shamus April 11, 2012 3:55 PM BST
Qeethara (7.4) - 2nd Happy

Ran better than I exspected there not sure it was run at a sound pace I will have a look later bye.
Report Shamus April 12, 2012 7:53 PM BST
Evening..

7.55 Wolves - Munsarim (2.26)

You would think this only concerns the top three in the betting all three are closely matched on offical ratings,the fitting of blinkers has proved to have been a good move with Munsarim quickly racking up a four timer on the poly,although the selection beat Standpoint recently over the mile standpoint may be able to reverse those placings over this distance,Kay Gee Bee put in a good effort recently and if it can reproduce that effort on the poly will be hard to pass,Aviso has no chance would be suprised if it placed should be very close at buisness end though think Munsarim is worth taking on at that price so fingers xd and good luck if your having ago don`t look good the weight of money coming for it.
Report Shamus April 12, 2012 8:16 PM BST
Munsarim (2.06) - won Sad

Kind of new my fate there before the off not to worry,entered tomorrow doesn`t seem to be up against much at first glance anyways thats another day goodnight.
Report Shamus April 13, 2012 6:23 PM BST
Evening..

6.25 Wolves - Indian Art (4.6)

Similar to yesterdays claimer this time the top four in the betting are all closely matched on recent form,Spinning Ridge(fav) is a worthy favourite and undoubtably the best horse in the race though is a keen going awkward type that can be hard to settle I do think it may be beatable unlike yesterday I am not going to take it on change of plan decided to give myself a little more leg/room 2/3 lengths hopefully can build up a bit of a winning sequence Indian Art is least favoured and shouldn`t win.Backed Ahlawy win/place hopefully can at least place good luck.
Report Shamus April 13, 2012 6:32 PM BST
Indian Art (4.48) - won Happy 

LOL couldn`t make it up Da Silva tried his best to get Ahlawy unplaced that would of p1ssed me off have another go tomorrow bye.
Report Shamus April 13, 2012 6:39 PM BST
Thought Egan was a up and coming jockey thought he was on Dream Ahead then LOL.
Report Shamus April 15, 2012 2:33 PM BST
Afternoon.

4.00 Leopardstown - Fire Lily (3.0fav)

Fire Lily has some solid group one form to her name and is a worthy fav has the best form as things stand and should go very close,just think there are others in the race that are open to more improvement and may give the fav something to think about,if I were having a bet which I`m not would back UP W/P ran well at Churchhill Downs though on pedigree would probably prefer further,we have yet to see the best of the lightly raced Bulbul and Rubina good luck.
Report Shamus April 15, 2012 6:58 PM BST
Fire Lily (3.05) - 2nd Happy

Just back from match double result.
Report Shamus April 16, 2012 4:34 PM BST
Zafeens Pearl (5.5) - unplaced Happy  Posted lay comp.
Report Shamus April 17, 2012 3:35 PM BST
Afternoon.

4.10 Southwell - All Right Now (4.4)

A very tight handicap All Right Now is now one pound lower than when scoring over course and distance and should run a good race just think there may be one or two that are better treated Sound Amigo ran well at Donny and should be there abouts again Mazovian is improving and wouldn`t be suprised if went in again though is racing off a career high mark and is stepping up in grade,Powerful Presence will need to improve if to win off a mark of 79 and has a 5 month break to overcome fitness unknown,Masai Moon is on a workable mark has some okay-ish form in this grade gonna take a chance and back win and place draw a negative though be suprised if couldn`t at least place good luck if your having a go.x
Report Shamus April 17, 2012 3:57 PM BST
4.10 Southwell - Sound Amigo (4.2 fav)

Should go close hopefully not close enough.
Report Shamus April 17, 2012 4:17 PM BST
All Right Now (5.9) - unplaced Happy

Sound Amigo (4.6 fav) - unplaced Happy

Happy with that shame Masai Moon only got second.
Report Shamus April 18, 2012 2:41 PM BST
Goodafternoon.

3.35 Newmarket - Telwaar (4.5)

Not a bad rake for this listed handicap Redact has the best form on offer ran his best race when second in the mill reef races off 109 today,Zumbi very lightly raced ran well in the acomb stakes good effort considering had to race wide off 101 today sure to improve leading contender could be Stoutes first winner of 2012 campaign,West Leak Diman ran well in the Middle Park stakes only to flop at donny leading contender if he can reproduce Newmarket form Telwaar ok-ish form decided to take this one on needs to improve on last years form to win this though is possible but without inside information hard to know if progressed or regressed so fingers xd good luck if your having ago.x
Report Shamus April 18, 2012 3:41 PM BST
Telwaar (6.0) - won Sad

Fair do`s big improver confidently ridden by Buick.
Report Shamus April 18, 2012 6:52 PM BST
Evening guys..

8.05 Kempton - Loyal N Trusted

8.05 Kempton - Mr Chocolate Drop

Others Prefered Plain

8.05 Kempton - Mr Chocolate Drop  (MATCHBET)

Gallantry to beat Mr Chocolate Drop.
Report Shamus April 18, 2012 8:17 PM BST
Mr Chocolate Drop (7.1) - won Sad

Mr Chocolate Drop (1.57) - won Sad

Loyal N Trusted (7.7) - 2nd Happy

Very bad day got that completely wrong gonna be a bad month.Ah well not the end of the world back tomorrow good luck and goodnight.Blush
Report Shamus April 19, 2012 2:51 PM BST
Afternoon..

3.35 Newmarket - Sirius Prospect (5.2)

3.35 Newmarket - New Planet

3.35 Newmarket - Sirius Prspect    (MATCHBET)

Genki to beat Sirius Prospect hopefully.
Report Shamus April 19, 2012 3:40 PM BST
Sirius Prospect (7.4) - unplaced Happy

New planet(7.98) - unplaced Happy
Report Shamus April 19, 2012 4:01 PM BST
Sirius Prospect (2.48) - won Sad

Giving up on them,maybe the odd front runner no more hold up horses jockey could of gone past decided not to once the race was over no brainer.
Report Shamus April 19, 2012 7:08 PM BST
7.10 Wolves - Almaty Express (4.6)
Report Shamus April 19, 2012 7:13 PM BST
Almaty Express (4.9) - 2nd.

Thats better Grin
Report Shamus April 19, 2012 9:02 PM BST
9.10 Wolves - Marksbury (8.2)

9.10 Wolves - Marksbury   (MATCHBET 2.22)

Just Timmy Marcus to beat Marksbury.
Report Shamus April 19, 2012 9:13 PM BST
Maksbury (12.49) - unplaced Happy

Marksbury (2.22) - Beaten Happy
Report Shamus April 20, 2012 1:23 PM BST
3.35 Newbury - Medicean Man (5.8)

As things stand Confessional appears to have shown the best form to date progressed nicely in 2011 races off 97 today should go close.Captain Dunne is next best in (imo) not sure if he will last home in these conditions though should be there abouts if runs his race,tricky handicap fitness obviously taken on trust so early in season good luck.x
Report Shamus April 20, 2012 1:38 PM BST
Medicean Man (9.0) - unplaced Happy

Went to plan for a change.
Report Shamus April 20, 2012 4:27 PM BST
Evening..

5.00 Bath - Destiny Of Dreams

5.00 Bath - Tidal Run  Win/Place.lay

Only the five fillie in the line up,four have yet to see a racecourse this year,fitness/progression/regression unknow,Destiny Of Dreams has solid form and is the likely pacesetter,the treble seeking Carinya ought to be to strong for Destiny Of Dreams all being well,Night And Dance is lightly raced has shown only moderate form to date should be more to come though stamina doubts,Lady Rosamunde won easily enough when last seen meets different opposition today could be anything,Tidal Run needs to improve on recent run to figure good luck.x
Report Shamus April 20, 2012 5:08 PM BST
Destiny Of Dreams (5.0) - unplaced Happy

Tidal Run (7.6) (3.007)- 2nd Happy Sad

No show from the fav Confused
Report Shamus April 20, 2012 5:11 PM BST
5.10 Southwell - Makhzoon (4.3)
Report Shamus April 20, 2012 5:17 PM BST
Makhzoon (4.44) - 2nd Happy
Report Shamus April 20, 2012 5:37 PM BST
Thats me done.

Perfect time of the year for trainers/owners to have us over and we are non the wise pay up and be cheerful Laugh
Report Shamus April 21, 2012 2:21 PM BST
Afternoon..

3.10 Newbury - Caspar Netscher (4.9)

Non of the runners have encountered ground this soft before Bronterre has shown the best form to date when fourth in the Dewhurst with Spiritual Star only three lengths behind,guessing game trying to predict which would have progressed the most during the winter months obviously you would have to favour Bronterre,though Spiritual Star may reduce the deficit on this fairer track,Caspar Netscher needs to improve if to get the better of these two,what ever the out come pretty confident the winner won`t be as good as last years winner though the form of this race usually holds stead for future races good luck.x
Report Shamus April 21, 2012 2:34 PM BST
2.35 Newbury - Moonstone Magic (5.5)

Impressive winner 1st time out though beat nothing will have to be something special if to get the better of some of these think its worth taking on good luck.
Report Shamus April 21, 2012 2:38 PM BST
Moonstone Magic (5.03) - won Sad

Good horse that.
Report Shamus April 21, 2012 2:40 PM BST
Laugh
Report Shamus April 21, 2012 3:15 PM BST
Casper Netscher (4.33) - won Sad

Oh dear had a feeling I had done my money there.
Report Shamus April 21, 2012 3:46 PM BST
7.15 wolves - Rock Anthen.
Report Shamus April 24, 2012 1:38 PM BST
Rock Anthen (6.0) - unplaced Happy

2.50 Wolves - Spin Again
Report Shamus April 24, 2012 2:53 PM BST
2.55 Wolves - Spin Again (place lay)
Report Shamus April 25, 2012 4:50 PM BST
Spin Again (5.13) (2.61) - unplaced HappyHappy

6.20 Kempton - Queethaara
Report Shamus April 26, 2012 4:47 PM BST
Queethaara (10.69) - 3rd Happy


5.35 Wolves - Jacks Revenge.

5.35 Wolves - Jacks Revenge.   (MATCHBET)

Elijah Pepper to beat Jacks Revenge.
Report Shamus April 26, 2012 4:55 PM BST
5.00 Wolves - Fault   (MATCHBET)

Russian Storm to beat Fault.
Report Shamus April 26, 2012 5:32 PM BST
5.35 Wolves - Hierarch
Report Shamus April 26, 2012 5:44 PM BST
5.40 Brighton - Tinkerbell Will  (MATCHBET)

Byrd In Hand to beat the selection.
Report Shamus April 26, 2012 5:45 PM BST
Off 5.45.17
Report zipper April 26, 2012 5:52 PM BST
Shamus calm down ...your better than that Whoops
Report Shamus April 26, 2012 5:56 PM BST
Okey Dokey Grin
Report Shamus April 26, 2012 6:42 PM BST
6.50 Brighton - Salient  (MATCHBET)

Prince Of Sorrento to beat the selection.

Last one Zip. Promise..x
Report Shamus April 26, 2012 7:50 PM BST
7.55 Brighton - Katmai River.
Report Shamus April 27, 2012 9:52 AM BST
Jacks Revenge (2.04) - won Sad  (MATCHBET)

Jacks Revenge (6.47) - 2nd Happy

Hierarch (5.69) - 3rd Happy

Fault (4.3) - Beaten  (MATCHBET)

Tinkerbell Will (2.38) - Beaten Happy  (MATCHBET)

Salient (2.04) - Beaten Happy  (MATCHBET)

Katmai River (4.3) - won Sad


2.20 Sandown - Questioning  (WIN/PLACE)

2.20 Sandown - Pentinent.

2.20 Sandown - Questioning  (MATCHBET)

Dubawi Gold to beat the selection.
Report Shamus April 27, 2012 12:54 PM BST
3.30 Sandown - Rewarded

5.00 Doncaster - Bouncy Bouncy.    (MATCHBET)

Mayoman to beat the selection.
Report Shamus April 27, 2012 1:15 PM BST
1.15 Sandown - Rafeej
Report Shamus April 27, 2012 5:52 PM BST
Questioning (7.07) (3.0) - 2nd HappySad

Penitent (6.46) - won Sad

Questioning (2.42) - won Sad

Bouncy  Bouncy (2.02) -won Sad

Rafeej (2.24) - unplaced Happy
Report undern April 27, 2012 6:43 PM BST
Shocked
Report Shamus April 28, 2012 10:00 AM BST
5.10 Ripon - Shawkantango
Report Shamus April 29, 2012 1:35 PM BST
Shawkantango (3.44) - unplaced Happy

2.10 Ludlow - Aviso
Report Shamus April 30, 2012 11:01 AM BST
Aviso (8.22) - unplaced Happy

6.55 Wolves - Daniel Thomas
Report Shamus April 30, 2012 7:05 PM BST
Daniel Thomas (6.179) - 2nd Happy

Better go and do the books.

Won`t be good reading. Laugh for me anyways.

Back in a bit.
Report Shamus May 1, 2012 9:49 AM BST
April Summary    Thread total end of March + 24.19 Points.


Points calculated using BSP minus 5 percent commision.


1.01 - 6.0 BSP = 0.95 Point.

6.0 - 16.0 BSP = 0.475 Point.

Thread Total +13.215 points.    -10.975 points on the month Sad
Report Shamus May 1, 2012 3:27 PM BST
4.30 Lingfield - Chimes
Report Shamus May 3, 2012 1:01 PM BST
Chimes - won (4.7) Sad

2.40 Lingfield - Lady Mango
Report Shamus May 4, 2012 10:07 AM BST
Lady Mango (6.4) - unplaced Happy

4.00 Muss - Powerful Presence.
Report greedkillsmybankagain May 4, 2012 10:55 AM BST
Surprised
Report Shamus May 4, 2012 2:39 PM BST
2.40 Wolves - Mizwaaj
Report RioGrande May 4, 2012 2:45 PM BST
came 3rd mate
Report Shamus May 4, 2012 3:59 PM BST
4.00 Muss - Powerful Presence (1.71)   (MATCHBET)

Karaka Jack to beat the selection.

Bit risky on this sharp track but worth a go at the price may pick up late on.
Report Shamus May 9, 2012 6:19 PM BST
6.20 Kempton - Love Your Looks  (7)
Report Shamus May 10, 2012 12:07 PM BST
Powerful Presence (7.22) - won Sad

Powerful Presence (1.71) - won Sad

Mizwaaj (3.49)- Unplaced Happy

Love Your Looks (2.82) - won Sad
Report Shamus May 10, 2012 2:33 PM BST
2-35 Chester - Model Pupil   Win/and the Place lay.
Report Shamus May 10, 2012 2:40 PM BST
Model Pupil (7.0) - 2nd Happy

Model Pupil (3.43) - 2nd Sad
Report Shamus May 11, 2012 8:18 PM BST
8.20 Ascot - Chilli Green (Win/lay)    100 percent confident.

8.20 Ascot - Chilli Green (Place/lay)  80 percent confident.

8.20 Ascot - Chilli Green  (MATCHBET)  100 percent confident.

Batchelors Star to beat the selection.
Report Shamus May 11, 2012 8:27 PM BST
Back to the drawing board not working out.Time for a break end of thread may return all weather good luck.
Report Shamus May 12, 2012 1:44 PM BST
Chilli Green (3.67) (1.88) (2.0) - 2nd HappySadSad


Afternoon back out of retirement. Bit early in the season for breaking down complete race structures decided too turn down the heat and concentrate on match/bets for the time being damage will be minimal will not be risking more than a couple of hundred per selection.Can up the pressure and have a go at the bigger stuff once the form starts to settle around end of June/July time.Okay best of luck.
Report Shamus May 12, 2012 6:43 PM BST
6.45 Thirsk - Green Park (1.57)  (MATCHBET)

last Sovereign to beat the selection.
Report Shamus May 12, 2012 6:52 PM BST
Ground found it out there wasn`t a confident selection hopefully get back in 7.45.
Report Shamus May 12, 2012 7:43 PM BST
7.45 Thirsk - Fazza (2.22)   (MATCHBET)

Little more confident with this one draw ain`t ideal for Save The Bees though should be to strong for Fazza not a lot in it mind.
Report Shamus May 12, 2012 7:54 PM BST
Thats all for today folks. back tomorrow goodnight.
Report Shamus May 14, 2012 3:13 PM BST
3.15 Wolves - Red Cape (2.6)  (MATCHBET)

Lesleys Choice to beat the selections.  Putting my trust in the jockey somewhat here as long as he can get his fractions right and rides all the way to the line should be okay,tho can not see either of these two winning the race outright so fingers well and truly crossed here.
Report Shamus May 14, 2012 3:17 PM BST
Godbless you James Doyle thankyou good ride.
Report Shamus May 15, 2012 8:19 PM BST
8.20 Kempton - Passion Play (1.81)  (MATCHBET)

Mafeteng to beat Passion Play.

No doubting Passion Plays gameness she is a tough little cookie who will be hard to pass just think Mafeteng will be to strong inside of the last furlong though Crowleys 100 percent record with the Mascalls will have to be broken if I am to be proven right so fingers well and truly crossed for this one good luck.
Report Shamus May 15, 2012 9:27 PM BST
The Mascall and Crowley 100 percent track record was broken unfortunately that did not help me very much.

I am finding these match bets very challenging anyone had any joy with these,seem very tough to crack would be happy if I could string just five of the ruddy things together maybe being more selective is the answer I shall keep persevering enjoying the challenge at the moment so fingers crossed.
Report Shamus May 16, 2012 2:19 PM BST
2.20 Lingfield - Chjimes (1.63)  (MATCHBET)

Zip Lock has to beat the selection. Backed (Zip Lock 6.6) and (Finefrenzyrolling 5.3) in the win market.
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