New Posts For Thread: Any statisticians here?https://community.betfair.com/horse_racing/go/thread/view/94102/31803645/any-statisticians-hereI have a problem, one of my holy grails between 1/2020 and 5/2022 had 1524 selections and 33.92% strike rate at average winning odds 4.58. Then suddenly from 6/2022 until today the strike rate dropped to 21.8% at AWO 4.61 with 601 selections. What arYeah but they wouldn't help. One graph wins every month and the second breaks evenhttps://community.betfair.com/horse_racing/go/thread/view/94102/31803645/any-statisticians-here?post_id=563164309#563164309Yeah but they wouldn't help. One graph wins every month and the second breaks evenMon, 22 May 2023 10:55:19 -0500Do you have any GRAPHS which are more than likely to offer an explanation ?https://community.betfair.com/horse_racing/go/thread/view/94102/31803645/any-statisticians-here?post_id=563164303#563164303Do you have any GRAPHS which are more than likely to offer an explanation ?Mon, 22 May 2023 10:50:03 -0500The curse theory makes the most sense.https://community.betfair.com/horse_racing/go/thread/view/94102/31803645/any-statisticians-here?post_id=563164283#563164283The curse theory makes the most sense.Mon, 22 May 2023 10:39:11 -0500AWO gives you a clear picture, this 1/1000 nonsense with a sample size of 3 doesn't matter.https://community.betfair.com/horse_racing/go/thread/view/94102/31803645/any-statisticians-here?post_id=563164277#563164277AWO gives you a clear picture, this 1/1000 nonsense with a sample size of 3 doesn't matter.Mon, 22 May 2023 10:37:47 -0500What do you think average winning odds mean?https://community.betfair.com/horse_racing/go/thread/view/94102/31803645/any-statisticians-here?post_id=563164271#563164271What do you think average winning odds mean?Mon, 22 May 2023 10:36:30 -0500Another problem with the OP is the timing of the cut. It's not random, but chosen. If you tossed a coin 2,000 times it's very likely that you are going to get 10 heads or tails in a row. If you then ask a question saying what are the chances afterhttps://community.betfair.com/horse_racing/go/thread/view/94102/31803645/any-statisticians-here?post_id=563164077#563164077Another problem with the OP is the timing of the cut. It's not random, but chosen. If you tossed a coin 2,000 times it's very likely that you are going to get 10 heads or tails in a row. If you then ask a question saying what are the chances afterMon, 22 May 2023 08:21:15 -0500Is the sweet and sour sauce to mask the rubberiness of the chopped and shaped chicken?https://community.betfair.com/horse_racing/go/thread/view/94102/31803645/any-statisticians-here?post_id=563164065#563164065Is the sweet and sour sauce to mask the rubberiness of the chopped and shaped chicken?Mon, 22 May 2023 08:08:00 -0500Sorry - wrong thread!https://community.betfair.com/horse_racing/go/thread/view/94102/31803645/any-statisticians-here?post_id=563164057#563164057Sorry - wrong thread!Mon, 22 May 2023 08:04:43 -0500Can i have a box of 20 Chicken Nuggets with Sweet & Sour dip please?https://community.betfair.com/horse_racing/go/thread/view/94102/31803645/any-statisticians-here?post_id=563164053#563164053Can i have a box of 20 Chicken Nuggets with Sweet & Sour dip please?Mon, 22 May 2023 08:04:28 -0500If the OP was 100% correct you couldn't calculate the probability anyway as there is insufficient information. 3 winners from 3 selections at 11/1 1/1000 and 1/1000 is roughly the same average winning odds as 3 winners at 3/1. If the odds were fairhttps://community.betfair.com/horse_racing/go/thread/view/94102/31803645/any-statisticians-here?post_id=563164051#563164051If the OP was 100% correct you couldn't calculate the probability anyway as there is insufficient information. 3 winners from 3 selections at 11/1 1/1000 and 1/1000 is roughly the same average winning odds as 3 winners at 3/1. If the odds were fairMon, 22 May 2023 08:02:15 -0500