New Posts For Thread: Cheltenham - unconscious biashttps://community.betfair.com/horse_racing/go/thread/view/94102/31796377/cheltenham---unconscious-biasEven though i know that Mullins, De Bromhead and Elliott house the best jumps horses in the word I still struggle every year at cheltenham to build a case to back them.My brain draws me to the english form, as I have watched all those races and I alwOf course. Every favourite that hacks up could have been a shorter SP. Shishkin could have won by 10 lengths and people would have said that Evens was a gift.https://community.betfair.com/horse_racing/go/thread/view/94102/31796377/cheltenham---unconscious-bias?post_id=563022703#563022703Of course. Every favourite that hacks up could have been a shorter SP. Shishkin could have won by 10 lengths and people would have said that Evens was a gift.Sat, 18 Mar 2023 09:07:53 -0500The way he hacked up says the price could have been shorterhttps://community.betfair.com/horse_racing/go/thread/view/94102/31796377/cheltenham---unconscious-bias?post_id=563022685#563022685The way he hacked up says the price could have been shorterSat, 18 Mar 2023 09:02:46 -0500Just because Galopin won doesn't mean that the relatively tight sp was correct. That's the very definition of confirmation bias.https://community.betfair.com/horse_racing/go/thread/view/94102/31796377/cheltenham---unconscious-bias?post_id=563022619#563022619Just because Galopin won doesn't mean that the relatively tight sp was correct. That's the very definition of confirmation bias.Sat, 18 Mar 2023 08:42:37 -0500Very rarely watch Irish Racing i just listen to Ruby and Kevin Blake before Racing they are never far wrong.https://community.betfair.com/horse_racing/go/thread/view/94102/31796377/cheltenham---unconscious-bias?post_id=563022555#563022555Very rarely watch Irish Racing i just listen to Ruby and Kevin Blake before Racing they are never far wrong.Sat, 18 Mar 2023 08:25:16 -0500Yes, recency bias is a huge deal for punters. It's one we suffer from in our own punting, but one we can exploit via incorrectly priced horses.Confirmation bias (where you cherry pick pieces of evidence that support what you already believe) is alsohttps://community.betfair.com/horse_racing/go/thread/view/94102/31796377/cheltenham---unconscious-bias?post_id=563022529#563022529Yes, recency bias is a huge deal for punters. It's one we suffer from in our own punting, but one we can exploit via incorrectly priced horses.Confirmation bias (where you cherry pick pieces of evidence that support what you already believe) is alsoSat, 18 Mar 2023 08:17:32 -0500Why did you think Galopin only had 1 or 2 serious rivals? Was a fair case for most of the field, all the way down and including Sound Russian. But you are right, there are biases lots of punters have without knowing it. Recency bias is also quite a bhttps://community.betfair.com/horse_racing/go/thread/view/94102/31796377/cheltenham---unconscious-bias?post_id=563022451#563022451Why did you think Galopin only had 1 or 2 serious rivals? Was a fair case for most of the field, all the way down and including Sound Russian. But you are right, there are biases lots of punters have without knowing it. Recency bias is also quite a bSat, 18 Mar 2023 07:48:44 -0500Watch more Irish racing?https://community.betfair.com/horse_racing/go/thread/view/94102/31796377/cheltenham---unconscious-bias?post_id=563022445#563022445Watch more Irish racing?Sat, 18 Mar 2023 07:45:20 -0500Don't think odds adjustment is the right way to go Celtic , you'd admittedly be guessing so which way do you make the adjustment if you don't consider all the facts available.Could consider a few things though..Don't bet at festivals ( like myself )Dhttps://community.betfair.com/horse_racing/go/thread/view/94102/31796377/cheltenham---unconscious-bias?post_id=563022417#563022417Don't think odds adjustment is the right way to go Celtic , you'd admittedly be guessing so which way do you make the adjustment if you don't consider all the facts available.Could consider a few things though..Don't bet at festivals ( like myself )DSat, 18 Mar 2023 07:35:46 -0500Even though i know that Mullins, De Bromhead and Elliott house the best jumps horses in the word I still struggle every year at cheltenham to build a case to back them.My brain draws me to the english form, as I have watched all those races and I alwhttps://community.betfair.com/horse_racing/go/thread/view/94102/31796377/cheltenham---unconscious-bias?post_id=563022379#563022379Even though i know that Mullins, De Bromhead and Elliott house the best jumps horses in the word I still struggle every year at cheltenham to build a case to back them.My brain draws me to the english form, as I have watched all those races and I alwSat, 18 Mar 2023 07:20:34 -0500