New Posts For Thread: confidence in crisishttps://community.betfair.com/horse_racing/go/thread/view/94102/30661565/confidence-in-crisisCurrently having my worst ever run - 20 consecutive losers.Strategy has always been based on level stakes win singles as I've proven to myself at least over years that if your methods are sound that is the best way to optimise. But the bank is takinI wasn't going to do this but Di's post has tempted me - if only to demonstrate to onlooker what I'm on about. This is the diary write up made in te mornong for the bet on Fascino Rustico: 23rd January 3.40 Navan 20f beg ch s-hChampagne James is a tahttps://community.betfair.com/horse_racing/go/thread/view/94102/30661565/confidence-in-crisis?post_id=548018557#548018557I wasn't going to do this but Di's post has tempted me - if only to demonstrate to onlooker what I'm on about. This is the diary write up made in te mornong for the bet on Fascino Rustico: 23rd January 3.40 Navan 20f beg ch s-hChampagne James is a taMon, 07 Mar 2016 09:13:23 -0600For the record, the losing run is nothing unusual. They can go on a staggering length of time, even when you have a truly cast-iron long-term winning method. They can break you, your will, your bank and life in general. By that point, of course, you'https://community.betfair.com/horse_racing/go/thread/view/94102/30661565/confidence-in-crisis?post_id=548018371#548018371For the record, the losing run is nothing unusual. They can go on a staggering length of time, even when you have a truly cast-iron long-term winning method. They can break you, your will, your bank and life in general. By that point, of course, you'Mon, 07 Mar 2016 08:34:00 -0600good thread this......enjoyed reading ithttps://community.betfair.com/horse_racing/go/thread/view/94102/30661565/confidence-in-crisis?post_id=548018361#548018361good thread this......enjoyed reading itMon, 07 Mar 2016 08:31:36 -0600onlooker06 Mar 16 23:04Thanks for your response - and your refreshing honesty in starting this thread.However - how can you determine what is, "VALUE" - in fields of mostly unexposed, and often untried, horses ... when it is practically impossible fohttps://community.betfair.com/horse_racing/go/thread/view/94102/30661565/confidence-in-crisis?post_id=548018337#548018337onlooker06 Mar 16 23:04Thanks for your response - and your refreshing honesty in starting this thread.However - how can you determine what is, "VALUE" - in fields of mostly unexposed, and often untried, horses ... when it is practically impossible foMon, 07 Mar 2016 08:25:20 -0600Good thread - rare these days and, like Onlooker, I appreciate your openness.I, too, have made a disappointing start to the year - I only bet on flat racing (unless having a day at the races) and I am finding the all weather really difficult - I bethttps://community.betfair.com/horse_racing/go/thread/view/94102/30661565/confidence-in-crisis?post_id=548018271#548018271Good thread - rare these days and, like Onlooker, I appreciate your openness.I, too, have made a disappointing start to the year - I only bet on flat racing (unless having a day at the races) and I am finding the all weather really difficult - I betMon, 07 Mar 2016 08:06:38 -0600Good points Harry. But I find that if I know enough about a (good) horse, then so does everybody else, including the layers. My take is on that is exactly the opposite of Onlooker's - How on earth can anybody get an edge in those circumsatnces? I cerhttps://community.betfair.com/horse_racing/go/thread/view/94102/30661565/confidence-in-crisis?post_id=548017463#548017463Good points Harry. But I find that if I know enough about a (good) horse, then so does everybody else, including the layers. My take is on that is exactly the opposite of Onlooker's - How on earth can anybody get an edge in those circumsatnces? I cerMon, 07 Mar 2016 04:26:11 -0600Think you're right the game is too unpredictable on heavy ground ,horses tire andfall if the race is run too quickly and horses held up can't make the ground upon the front runners it's almost impossible to work out what's going to happen...https://community.betfair.com/horse_racing/go/thread/view/94102/30661565/confidence-in-crisis?post_id=548017381#548017381Think you're right the game is too unpredictable on heavy ground ,horses tire andfall if the race is run too quickly and horses held up can't make the ground upon the front runners it's almost impossible to work out what's going to happen...Mon, 07 Mar 2016 04:07:22 -0600on a tough run myself...i have to say it seems to happen a lot for me personally january through february year on year but at present have just lost confidence...the all weather is proving a tough hunting ground this year for obvious reasons and botthttps://community.betfair.com/horse_racing/go/thread/view/94102/30661565/confidence-in-crisis?post_id=548017373#548017373on a tough run myself...i have to say it seems to happen a lot for me personally january through february year on year but at present have just lost confidence...the all weather is proving a tough hunting ground this year for obvious reasons and bottMon, 07 Mar 2016 04:03:26 -0600[Chelmsford]https://community.betfair.com/horse_racing/go/thread/view/94102/30661565/confidence-in-crisis?post_id=548017261#548017261[Chelmsford]Mon, 07 Mar 2016 03:15:06 -0600But that's exactly the point - most times I agree it's difficult, but not every time. The strategy is abount being AGAINST shortish horses, (not necessarily favs) that you form an opinion will not win, if it's difficult for bookies to form a market,https://community.betfair.com/horse_racing/go/thread/view/94102/30661565/confidence-in-crisis?post_id=548017257#548017257But that's exactly the point - most times I agree it's difficult, but not every time. The strategy is abount being AGAINST shortish horses, (not necessarily favs) that you form an opinion will not win, if it's difficult for bookies to form a market,Mon, 07 Mar 2016 03:13:36 -0600