New Posts For Thread: 3yr olds - I know this is most probably a stupid question but here goes...https://community.betfair.com/horse_racing/go/thread/view/94102/23620114/3yr-olds---i-know-this-is-most-probably-a-stupid-question-but-here-goesWhy is that that it's so often the case the horses will show nothing on their maiden runs ... but win the first time they're running in a handicap?I get that in maidens they're all running against same age horses and there is no WFA, but is the WFA rJust saw it today fella only check every two or three days.https://community.betfair.com/horse_racing/go/thread/view/94102/23620114/3yr-olds---i-know-this-is-most-probably-a-stupid-question-but-here-goes?post_id=423103674#423103674Just saw it today fella only check every two or three days.Fri, 09 Apr 2010 21:40:16 -0500gigg, you get my email ?https://community.betfair.com/horse_racing/go/thread/view/94102/23620114/3yr-olds---i-know-this-is-most-probably-a-stupid-question-but-here-goes?post_id=423103670#423103670gigg, you get my email ?Fri, 09 Apr 2010 21:35:48 -0500It was a weak race and they were also guessing as the formlines were poor plus times on poly were rubbish as well.https://community.betfair.com/horse_racing/go/thread/view/94102/23620114/3yr-olds---i-know-this-is-most-probably-a-stupid-question-but-here-goes?post_id=423103666#423103666It was a weak race and they were also guessing as the formlines were poor plus times on poly were rubbish as well.Fri, 09 Apr 2010 21:25:26 -0500if I may just pick your brains a little more...so how do you view 2y form? It's just that in that 8:45 race at Wolv, a lot of people fancied Sweet Child o'Mine - and his LTO was in a 3y - is that what tipped the balance?https://community.betfair.com/horse_racing/go/thread/view/94102/23620114/3yr-olds---i-know-this-is-most-probably-a-stupid-question-but-here-goes?post_id=423103430#423103430if I may just pick your brains a little more...so how do you view 2y form? It's just that in that 8:45 race at Wolv, a lot of people fancied Sweet Child o'Mine - and his LTO was in a 3y - is that what tipped the balance?Fri, 09 Apr 2010 17:10:39 -0500bottom line is that 75% of horses arent good enough to win most maidenshttps://community.betfair.com/horse_racing/go/thread/view/94102/23620114/3yr-olds---i-know-this-is-most-probably-a-stupid-question-but-here-goes?post_id=423103426#423103426bottom line is that 75% of horses arent good enough to win most maidensFri, 09 Apr 2010 17:03:28 -0500thanks again - well it certainly goes someway to explaining the result in tonights 8:45 at Wolv...2 horses having first time runs in hcap... guess which horses finished 1st and 2nd :-)https://community.betfair.com/horse_racing/go/thread/view/94102/23620114/3yr-olds---i-know-this-is-most-probably-a-stupid-question-but-here-goes?post_id=423103418#423103418thanks again - well it certainly goes someway to explaining the result in tonights 8:45 at Wolv...2 horses having first time runs in hcap... guess which horses finished 1st and 2nd :-)Fri, 09 Apr 2010 16:59:49 -0500To be honest its best not to completely ignore them. Have a look at what the horses did in their maidens and if you think they've been allotted a fair mark, if you do back them.Also look for things like the other posters mention like a trainer tryinghttps://community.betfair.com/horse_racing/go/thread/view/94102/23620114/3yr-olds---i-know-this-is-most-probably-a-stupid-question-but-here-goes?post_id=423103414#423103414To be honest its best not to completely ignore them. Have a look at what the horses did in their maidens and if you think they've been allotted a fair mark, if you do back them.Also look for things like the other posters mention like a trainer tryingFri, 09 Apr 2010 16:40:40 -0500Depends on what the market is doing with the newcomers.. although some yards a lot more shrewder than others. Sometimes it pays to guess what's going to happen, as if you wait too long you can completely miss out on the value. That's where your markehttps://community.betfair.com/horse_racing/go/thread/view/94102/23620114/3yr-olds---i-know-this-is-most-probably-a-stupid-question-but-here-goes?post_id=423103410#423103410Depends on what the market is doing with the newcomers.. although some yards a lot more shrewder than others. Sometimes it pays to guess what's going to happen, as if you wait too long you can completely miss out on the value. That's where your markeFri, 09 Apr 2010 16:40:24 -0500thank you all - most helpfulhttps://community.betfair.com/horse_racing/go/thread/view/94102/23620114/3yr-olds---i-know-this-is-most-probably-a-stupid-question-but-here-goes?post_id=423103406#423103406thank you all - most helpfulFri, 09 Apr 2010 16:34:29 -0500no, truly not fishing - just very lacking in knowledge and understanding...so best to avoid first-time runs in hcaps then...or maybe back them and see what happens!https://community.betfair.com/horse_racing/go/thread/view/94102/23620114/3yr-olds---i-know-this-is-most-probably-a-stupid-question-but-here-goes?post_id=423103402#423103402no, truly not fishing - just very lacking in knowledge and understanding...so best to avoid first-time runs in hcaps then...or maybe back them and see what happens!Fri, 09 Apr 2010 16:30:50 -0500