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unclepuncle
18 Mar 24 19:30
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Date Joined: 16 Feb 03
| Topic/replies: 6,747 | Blogger: unclepuncle's blog
Not the most exciting set of entries with mostly exposed older handicappers and very testing conditions likely.

Last year on heavy the whole field came over to the stands side with the winner Migration, flying home up the stands rail coming from last at half way. He struggled afterwards but clearly loves the conditions he will face on Saturday.
The favourite is last years second Awaal who runs off the same mark. Very consistent but keeps getting beaten so not for me at 4/1.
Indeed of the horses that ran well last year the value looks to be on fourth placed Migration at 33/1.

A couple of lighter raced four year olds are Liberty Lane and Vetiver, though the latter also has another entry in the Listed mile race. I’d also be worried about her stamina giving out late on.

Liberty Lane won over C&D at the Leger meeting and goes well fresh so I won’t be surprised if he goes off favourite, currently 5/1.

One other horse I quite liked at the prices was Lattam who has moved from William Haggas to Julie Camacho.
Won the Irish Lincoln on heavy going on debut last year and ran well in several good races after that. 33/1 available which seems fair.
Pause Switch to Standard View Lincoln Handicap - Doncaster 23rd March
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Report unclepuncle March 18, 2024 6:31 PM GMT
^Lattam was 25/1 not 33/1
Report unclepuncle March 18, 2024 6:34 PM GMT
^Last years fourth was Majestic not Migration.Cry
Report JayTrumpOldTomDubbl March 18, 2024 9:06 PM GMT
Todays Irish Lincoln winner for Fozzy Stack a possible runner on Saturday.
Report morpteh mackem March 19, 2024 9:40 AM GMT
surprised Haggas hasn't got any entries
Report unclepuncle March 19, 2024 11:15 AM GMT
Be some achievement to win both Lincoln's inside a week.Shocked
Report paulo47 March 22, 2024 12:52 PM GMT
Thanks Uncle , Vetiver and Thunder Ball at 20s , just hoping for the age related improvement .
Report .Marksman. March 23, 2024 9:29 AM GMT
Chazzesmee (IRE) is a fav that I have laid:  Horses making a quick return win all the time at in low level handicaps, but in a valuable race, like this, they don't do as well.  The Lincoln looks really competitive this year, with more horses missing the cut, and a lot of those who have got in already have winning experience in races like this.  Furthermore, if stands side is an advantage, like it was last year, the low numbers could be struggling.
Report JayTrumpOldTomDubbl March 23, 2024 11:46 AM GMT
Maybe one slight difference to take into account with this well backed, (possibly well handicapped), runner is this has been the plan. It has been planned for some time. This is a good stable for this sort of thing. Also a stable that habitually starts well each flat season. It's not that because he has just won handy lets run again on Saturday. Good luck to anyone laying him, bookies on course will want to get him so could drift slightly. He could also be a Group horse.
Report .Marksman. March 23, 2024 12:27 PM GMT
My lay was at 4.5 and, if I'd waited, I could have laid at 3.7 Sad
Report unclepuncle March 23, 2024 2:02 PM GMT
The Irish Lincoln did not look a strong race beforehand - I backed the second each way.

Now as I said in my OP this does not look a strong Lincoln either - remember when Addeybb beat Lord Glitters, now that was a strong one.Laugh
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