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metro john
25 Mar 10 19:41
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Date Joined: 02 Jan 07
| Topic/replies: 23,826 | Blogger: metro john's blog
This looks about the only value left in the big race, class at best,stays,jumps,ground ok,weight competitive! i cant look any further for a bet,but only a small one! :-)
Pause Switch to Standard View SNOWY MORNING! Grand national.
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Report the bloob March 25, 2010 8:46 PM GMT
it's definitely of interest, Snowy and Arbor Supreme are the ones I'm looking at, it's back down to a similar weight it was 2 years ago when it went close behind Comply or Die which looks one of the better GN winners of recent years
Report Chazz March 25, 2010 9:09 PM GMT
my 2 bets so far are snowy and big fella
Report enpekd March 25, 2010 10:10 PM GMT
im on snowy, great ew bet first 5 nrnb with bet 365,
(weather permitting)
Report pom March 26, 2010 11:46 AM GMT
SNOWY, ARBOR, BIG FELLA & STATE OF PLAY - Must come from them four or i am done for !!!!!!!
Report abbott March 26, 2010 12:47 PM GMT
I doubt its the only value left in the race
Report metro john March 27, 2010 7:47 AM GMT
Snowy, big fella ,state of play,mon mom, combination fc's
Report Redford_Blade March 27, 2010 7:50 AM GMT
On @ 33/1 so hoping your right...:)
Report theboyfrommatebeleland March 27, 2010 8:30 AM GMT
But Ruby didnt pick Snowy!
Report maiaze March 27, 2010 8:31 AM GMT
Think ruby had to ride for nichols
Report deadloss March 27, 2010 8:49 AM GMT
Snowy Morning
Big Fella Thanks
Arbor Supreme
King Johns Castle

Winner comes from these four
Report jose mourinho's dog March 27, 2010 10:55 AM GMT
Backed snowy heavily, Ruby a big miss (it was never guaranteed) - must have someone who knows Aintree to match the horse's experience. David Casey would be fine by me.
Report enjbenjy March 27, 2010 2:39 PM GMT
Ruby didn't ride it when it came 3rd either. I also really like this horse but get worried when everyone thinks the same haha.
Report metro john March 29, 2010 8:05 AM BST
think this may shorten soon?
Report metro john March 29, 2010 8:21 PM BST
i have got to say the handicapper seems to have given last years winner more than every chance? could it be the female presence? could it be time for another national hero who follows up?
Report platinni March 29, 2010 8:21 PM BST
will be top weight imo
Report downallstar March 29, 2010 8:23 PM BST
^???plat?
Report Terry Venables March 29, 2010 8:24 PM BST
David Casey will ride SM wont he??
Report platinni March 29, 2010 8:24 PM BST
mon mome das
Report downallstar March 29, 2010 8:25 PM BST
ah, sorry thread title etc etc ;)

David Casey knows this horse better than anyone.
Report Can't Catch Me March 29, 2010 8:25 PM BST
Very much like this beast myself. Ran a decent race behind Comply or Die as said earlier, and I remember Mullins was still disappointed
Report metro john March 29, 2010 8:26 PM BST
It won so easy last year? video again mr smith?
Report Pootle Flump March 30, 2010 1:08 AM BST
Definitely agree that Snowy Morning has a good solid each-way chance. Completely out of form last season and as a result has been given a chance by the handicapper. He's been running well over inadequate trips, but a little surprised that Townend isn't on him..
Report Scampydog March 30, 2010 8:26 AM BST
Have to agree this one ticks pretty much every box:

Excellent 3rd to C.O.D. when carrying 11st 1lb. To my mind 2008 is a better formguide than 2009 (Cerium 5th?!)

Another creditable clear round in 2009 with 11st 8lb.

Still only 10

Placed 21 times out of 29, in good form this season

Will act on likely soft going

Not quite sure what the handicapper was thinking to be honest, seems to have allowed Snowy to drop down the weights for no reason whatsoever. Good value bet.
Report Wayward Lad March 30, 2010 2:30 PM BST
Would agree with you there Scampy - when the pace-setters hit the deck at Bechers 2nd-time round the race slowed allowing those towards the rear to pick up, hence we had 10-or-so in with a chance coming to the 2nd-last.

Snowy Morning has a great chance with a weight under 11st (so long as Madison Du Berlais runs).
Report betilyerded March 30, 2010 6:46 PM BST
Dont know if anyone saw it but Snowy Morning stumbled very badly on the turn in for home last year, almost unshipping the jockey which lost it any chance. A big player this time around, particularly if the ground is soft or worse.
Report metro john March 31, 2010 11:08 AM BST
Weather turns for the worse, i think the stable will be happy dont you? :-)
Report brigust1 March 31, 2010 1:06 PM BST
Lots of plusses and backed some time ago. WM confirmed on Sunday was aimed at this race and also said a few weeks back that they rode him all wrong last year. Will be up with the pace this year. I would like Casey to ride but may be waiting to see if Swan's horse gets in before confirming. Just concerned it may not stay and stamina seems to be the key in recent years.
Report Shakepseare's Sheriff March 31, 2010 5:28 PM BST
Deadloss...............the exact horses I have backed over a week ago!!.......in preference order
King Johns Castle
Arbor Supreme
Big Fella Thanks
Snowy Morning
Report Wilbertros March 31, 2010 6:24 PM BST
I'm also a big fan of Snowy Morning - can't wait for the race now.
Report metro john March 31, 2010 7:25 PM BST
not too sure about the irish challengers this year?
Report Reefer 2001 March 31, 2010 7:34 PM BST
Won't get home on softish ground.
Report metro john April 1, 2010 12:00 PM BST
What will?
Report lordnoise April 1, 2010 12:44 PM BST
Casey confirmed for Snowy Morning. ATR.
Report Scampydog April 1, 2010 1:45 PM BST
Personally I disagree about him not getting home on soft ground. If you watch a re-run of 2008 he seems to stay well, just that C.O.D. & K.J.C. stayed better. Snowy certainly wasn't stopping.
Report metro john April 2, 2010 8:38 AM BST
He run some respectable efforts on soft,some of those irish races?
Report enjbenjy April 2, 2010 10:10 AM BST
Snowy was getting scrubbed along for a long way last year. Soft ground may help, I'm not sure.
Report metro john April 4, 2010 2:01 PM BST
A very well put case racingguru, unlucky for me bets on!
Report Terry Venables April 4, 2010 7:44 PM BST
on @ 66's
Report metro john April 5, 2010 2:29 PM BST
i dont think madison will run will it?
Report metro john April 5, 2010 2:49 PM BST
if it rains too much more there will be plenty of non runners? puts you off ever having anti post bet? why oh why if whinstone boy gets in the race which it may then its price will be cut in half?
Report savaloy69. April 5, 2010 7:17 PM BST
Who rides now then we reckon?
Report Win only - Sp only April 5, 2010 7:21 PM BST
sorry to say I have backed this also, and I am in poor form !! Only at 20/1 5 places, some on here on at much nicer prices.
Report Tatie Baron April 5, 2010 7:24 PM BST
David Casey aboard.
Report Tatie Baron April 5, 2010 7:39 PM BST
Casey injured today and doubtful for the ride according to RP.
Report keeping silent April 5, 2010 8:44 PM BST
Any idea's who could step in ?
Report flannybhoy. April 5, 2010 8:47 PM BST
Jockey who won Bluesea Cracker has been mentioned , sorry forgot his name
Report savaloy69. April 5, 2010 8:51 PM BST
Choc or dickie?
Report Smart Predator April 6, 2010 10:42 AM BST
Flanny, Buleseacracker was ridden by A Mcnamara and im sure he is riding Ballyholland. I dont know who else could ride SM. I just hope Mullins dont let his boy on him.
Report Terry Venables April 6, 2010 10:43 AM BST
Casey reckons he will be fit, see sporting life
Report metro john April 6, 2010 11:58 AM BST
jockeys should be welded into saddle?
Report doogs April 6, 2010 12:31 PM BST
DAVID CASEY, who underwent x-rays on a pelvic injury after a fall at Fairyhouse on Monday, will be back in action at Fairyhouse on Wednesday and is looking forward to the ride on Snowy Morning in the John Smith's Grand National on Saturday.

Speaking on Tuesday morning, Casey said: " The x-rays revealed no fractures and while I was quite sore last night, I'm feeling a lot better today. I went to see (surgeon) Paddy Kenny in Blanchardstown Hospital this morning and it seems I have aggravated an old injury and maybe damaged a few ligaments.

"He said I should rest up today and that it would be okay for me to resume tomorrow when I will ride Boulavogue for Charlie (Swan) in the five runner conditions hurdle. So I should be all set to ride Snowy Morning in the National."

Casey was injured in a fall from An Cathaoir Mor in the Arkle Bar Novice Handicap Chase on Monday. An Cathaoir Mor, winner of the Arkle Cup Chase at Leopardstown in January, broke a leg and had to be put down.
Report metro john April 8, 2010 8:51 AM BST
sunny aintree! :-)
Report uncle jam April 8, 2010 11:44 PM BST
Can't wait for this. Feeling as confident as I ever have been about a National horse. If his jumping holds up, he wins this but that is the big question.
Report metro john April 9, 2010 6:40 AM BST
sam thomas would be ideal,any booked ride?
Report irchester April 9, 2010 10:58 AM BST
I also like snowy morning but since numbersixvalverde won none of my bets on the grand national have made the first 4. thats a worry, but snowy morning looks very well handicapped this year.
Report metro john April 9, 2010 11:38 AM BST
numbersixvalverde was a standout,,,, great result but this is not that well handicaped? i wish it was, very tricky handicap to work out igave up after a while many with chances and i believe one of the most open races i have ever seen,some of the proper outsiders have real chances for one reason and another? hoses like joe liverly tough tough chap hard job on weights but memory would not put you off him?

Many of these have been proper put away??
Report patrao1 April 9, 2010 8:21 PM BST
What about My Will then? At Newbury was giving Snowy 7 pounds in weight and still finished 7 lengths ahead!! This year only carrying 3 pounds more and rated 2 pounds lower than last year when finished 3rd. If Snowy has a good chance, My Will has to be rated aswell and yet can get 55's here for My Will and only 18's for Snowy. Baring in mind had an easier go around cheltenham than last year, so should hopefully have a bit more in the tank and with 2 pounds less and an extra year of experience - got to have a very good chance. Funnily enough last time it won a race was off this mark of 150 giving 11 pounds to a then recent Scottish national winner in Run for Paddy. Tremendous E/W value for sure. Favourite last year and although quiet this year, certainly has the proven talent to take this or go very near.
Report mightymoyes April 9, 2010 9:04 PM BST
yip, my will and snowy morning are my 2 bets in the race.
Report Derbyshire Racing April 9, 2010 9:12 PM BST
dont fancy it at all
Report Saritamer April 9, 2010 9:43 PM BST
I'm prbably seeing something that isn't there but I am convinced King Johns Castle has been put away for this and will run a huge race (with the necessary luck in running) 12 lb better off with Comply Or Die from 2 years ago and that swing would probably have seen it beating COD that year.
Report luslen April 9, 2010 11:21 PM BST
Snowy will not be far away.
Report SEAGRAM91 April 9, 2010 11:27 PM BST
Fancy this strongly myself. However racing uk pundit when online today didnt fancy it much when i put the question to him

Knowing my recent record it will probably get brought down
Report Pootle Flump April 10, 2010 12:42 AM BST
yes, i caught that Seagram. However, he bases it on his 9th place last year when the horse was practically brought down turning for home and the fact that Snowy was out of form all last season until May. The horse has been dropped markedly in the weights and is in terrific form this season. A definite each way contender who also has an excellent racing weight. Will be very surprised if he is not in the frame.
Report metro john April 10, 2010 6:40 AM BST
My will he get around??????
Report metro john April 10, 2010 6:50 AM BST
Ok its time for my final thoughts on the day of the big race, The ground good/firm hope they dont water? i think we need our selections close to the pace and they need to act on the ground, my list of fancies have changed with the ground and on reflection here our my favourite four going into the race.


Snowy morning.
irish raptor.
The package.
king johns castle.

so good luck with yours enjoy your day and make your own selections! :-)
Report metro john April 10, 2010 6:57 AM BST
maybe not in that order? :-(
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