New Posts For Thread: Gleneagles EVENS not to run ...https://community.betfair.com/horse_antepost/go/thread/view/94098/30601029/gleneagles-evens-not-to-runBetfair Sportsbook special market ...To Run this Saturday - 8/11Not To Run this Saturday - 1/1Have got no idea what the max stake is on this but surely NOT TO RUN at EVENS is a cracking bet?the reduction factors are based somewhat on maths but they are influenced by the first few trades rather than the larger flows which come later(or thats what i thought) although where they got 19% i dont know as Gleneagles never traded that price.https://community.betfair.com/horse_antepost/go/thread/view/94098/30601029/gleneagles-evens-not-to-run?post_id=546540185#546540185the reduction factors are based somewhat on maths but they are influenced by the first few trades rather than the larger flows which come later(or thats what i thought) although where they got 19% i dont know as Gleneagles never traded that price.Fri, 16 Oct 2015 15:10:16 -0500I think there used to be, it's only with this debacle that I realised they had changed ithttps://community.betfair.com/horse_antepost/go/thread/view/94098/30601029/gleneagles-evens-not-to-run?post_id=546540179#546540179I think there used to be, it's only with this debacle that I realised they had changed itFri, 16 Oct 2015 15:09:12 -0500ok there felt not sure of the muhaarar bet though best of luckhttps://community.betfair.com/horse_antepost/go/thread/view/94098/30601029/gleneagles-evens-not-to-run?post_id=546540161#546540161ok there felt not sure of the muhaarar bet though best of luckFri, 16 Oct 2015 15:07:03 -0500Backed Solow.https://community.betfair.com/horse_antepost/go/thread/view/94098/30601029/gleneagles-evens-not-to-run?post_id=546540105#546540105Backed Solow.Fri, 16 Oct 2015 15:02:22 -0500It never occurred to me that it was based on their view. I assumed there was some maths behind it.https://community.betfair.com/horse_antepost/go/thread/view/94098/30601029/gleneagles-evens-not-to-run?post_id=546539957#546539957It never occurred to me that it was based on their view. I assumed there was some maths behind it.Fri, 16 Oct 2015 14:40:03 -0500the reduction factor is based on betfair's view, they have updated now reflecting the actual price. When there is a big chance of an important non-runner its as much about your view of the reduction factor as it is the race.https://community.betfair.com/horse_antepost/go/thread/view/94098/30601029/gleneagles-evens-not-to-run?post_id=546539923#546539923the reduction factor is based on betfair's view, they have updated now reflecting the actual price. When there is a big chance of an important non-runner its as much about your view of the reduction factor as it is the race.Fri, 16 Oct 2015 14:35:47 -0500The biggest price seems to be about 28%. The current 19% would suggest a price around 4/1 to me.https://community.betfair.com/horse_antepost/go/thread/view/94098/30601029/gleneagles-evens-not-to-run?post_id=546538755#546538755The biggest price seems to be about 28%. The current 19% would suggest a price around 4/1 to me.Fri, 16 Oct 2015 12:28:40 -0500How do they get this reduction factor? It seems totally non-scientific at the moment.Gleneagles has been trading at around 2/1 all the time, yet the RF is still less than 20%.https://community.betfair.com/horse_antepost/go/thread/view/94098/30601029/gleneagles-evens-not-to-run?post_id=546538729#546538729How do they get this reduction factor? It seems totally non-scientific at the moment.Gleneagles has been trading at around 2/1 all the time, yet the RF is still less than 20%.Fri, 16 Oct 2015 12:27:00 -0500no rain forceast temps could reach 15 after noonhttps://community.betfair.com/horse_antepost/go/thread/view/94098/30601029/gleneagles-evens-not-to-run?post_id=546537787#546537787no rain forceast temps could reach 15 after noonFri, 16 Oct 2015 10:44:04 -0500I have pointed out to betfair this market is completely skewed by the inappropriate reduction factor being applied at the current time and the incentive that is given to mess around with the prices.https://community.betfair.com/horse_antepost/go/thread/view/94098/30601029/gleneagles-evens-not-to-run?post_id=546537775#546537775I have pointed out to betfair this market is completely skewed by the inappropriate reduction factor being applied at the current time and the incentive that is given to mess around with the prices.Fri, 16 Oct 2015 10:42:57 -0500