New Posts For Thread: King George - market musingshttps://community.betfair.com/horse_antepost/go/thread/view/94098/28781217/king-george---market-musingsFWIW here's how I price the race at the moment:Long Run 11/8Kauto Star 7/2Master Minded 8/1Captain Chris 12/1Diamond Harry 12/1Somersby 20/1PoS 25/1Knackered Rat 150/1Golan Way 200/1This gives approx 100% book. I think we will see the current pricesLike some others I think if Long Run's jumps like he did in last years renewal he will win. Also think it's unlikely Kauto will be able to produce his Haydock Heroics, how much that race has taken out of him will depend on where he finishes.I backedhttps://community.betfair.com/horse_antepost/go/thread/view/94098/28781217/king-george---market-musings?post_id=514033013#514033013Like some others I think if Long Run's jumps like he did in last years renewal he will win. Also think it's unlikely Kauto will be able to produce his Haydock Heroics, how much that race has taken out of him will depend on where he finishes.I backedTue, 20 Dec 2011 10:20:21 -0600I backed Somersby after his seasonal win at the track at 20/1 on the belief a step up to 3 miles could be what he wants. His latest effort in the Peterborough,however,left me feeling cold. Tongue lolling out, not finding much off the bridle etc.Captahttps://community.betfair.com/horse_antepost/go/thread/view/94098/28781217/king-george---market-musings?post_id=514031951#514031951I backed Somersby after his seasonal win at the track at 20/1 on the belief a step up to 3 miles could be what he wants. His latest effort in the Peterborough,however,left me feeling cold. Tongue lolling out, not finding much off the bridle etc.CaptaTue, 20 Dec 2011 09:45:41 -0600PoS only 50/50 according to Hobbs in today's Post.https://community.betfair.com/horse_antepost/go/thread/view/94098/28781217/king-george---market-musings?post_id=514023407#514023407PoS only 50/50 according to Hobbs in today's Post.Tue, 20 Dec 2011 03:14:56 -0600i think kauto will go off a bigger price than 7/2 fan club or no fan club....he'd be a lay for me at that price purely judged on the fact that he was hard fit for his big day at haydock and he wouldn't be able to put in that kind of performance for ahttps://community.betfair.com/horse_antepost/go/thread/view/94098/28781217/king-george---market-musings?post_id=514022835#514022835i think kauto will go off a bigger price than 7/2 fan club or no fan club....he'd be a lay for me at that price purely judged on the fact that he was hard fit for his big day at haydock and he wouldn't be able to put in that kind of performance for aTue, 20 Dec 2011 02:25:39 -0600Tom, I think Somersby will be least inconvenienced out of the three going up in trip BUT I still think it will underperform over three miles compared with shorter distances. You can't reduce a race to a set of numbers but they can sometimes open yourhttps://community.betfair.com/horse_antepost/go/thread/view/94098/28781217/king-george---market-musings?post_id=514022551#514022551Tom, I think Somersby will be least inconvenienced out of the three going up in trip BUT I still think it will underperform over three miles compared with shorter distances. You can't reduce a race to a set of numbers but they can sometimes open yourTue, 20 Dec 2011 02:02:30 -0600Very interesting thread MPR.My one query would be that if you think Somersby would not really be inconvenienced by the step up in trip then should he not be a his ceiling RPR or even higher?It's all a game of opinions of course but I think both he anhttps://community.betfair.com/horse_antepost/go/thread/view/94098/28781217/king-george---market-musings?post_id=514011681#514011681Very interesting thread MPR.My one query would be that if you think Somersby would not really be inconvenienced by the step up in trip then should he not be a his ceiling RPR or even higher?It's all a game of opinions of course but I think both he anMon, 19 Dec 2011 18:43:46 -0600im on master minded... have been for a while. id be optomistic about him staying 3 miles. the trip is the only question 4 me! your take is interesting and clearly well thought out... glhttps://community.betfair.com/horse_antepost/go/thread/view/94098/28781217/king-george---market-musings?post_id=514010279#514010279im on master minded... have been for a while. id be optomistic about him staying 3 miles. the trip is the only question 4 me! your take is interesting and clearly well thought out... glMon, 19 Dec 2011 18:06:09 -0600FWIW here's how I price the race at the moment:Long Run 11/8Kauto Star 7/2Master Minded 8/1Captain Chris 12/1Diamond Harry 12/1Somersby 20/1PoS 25/1Knackered Rat 150/1Golan Way 200/1This gives approx 100% book. I think we will see the current priceshttps://community.betfair.com/horse_antepost/go/thread/view/94098/28781217/king-george---market-musings?post_id=514009613#514009613FWIW here's how I price the race at the moment:Long Run 11/8Kauto Star 7/2Master Minded 8/1Captain Chris 12/1Diamond Harry 12/1Somersby 20/1PoS 25/1Knackered Rat 150/1Golan Way 200/1This gives approx 100% book. I think we will see the current pricesMon, 19 Dec 2011 17:49:18 -0600