New Posts For Thread: The Derby Market says its a one horse race: Is it?https://community.betfair.com/horse_antepost/go/thread/view/94098/27635813/the-derby-market-says-its-a-one-horse-race-is-itWhen Deep Impact was backed down to long odds on on the PM by its fanatical Japanese supporters for the Arc, we saw the victory of sentiment over reason. Are we about to see the same thing again?Carlton House won the best trial for the Derby albeitDay of the race prices, although more realistic than they were on May 17, still have as the main feature the short price of CH ( CH 3.5, the next 3 between 6.6 and 7.6 (little surprised at PM's weakness?) and NK at 12.0.First point to make is that APhttps://community.betfair.com/horse_antepost/go/thread/view/94098/27635813/the-derby-market-says-its-a-one-horse-race-is-it?post_id=497887341#497887341Day of the race prices, although more realistic than they were on May 17, still have as the main feature the short price of CH ( CH 3.5, the next 3 between 6.6 and 7.6 (little surprised at PM's weakness?) and NK at 12.0.First point to make is that APSat, 04 Jun 2011 06:57:20 -0500"I am genuinely amazed at the price of Carlton House. It should be a 3/1 the field race."Yeah, that sounds about right. The horse is priced up as if he won a guineas like Frankel. In fact i remember Frankel was a better price for the derby 'with a ruhttps://community.betfair.com/horse_antepost/go/thread/view/94098/27635813/the-derby-market-says-its-a-one-horse-race-is-it?post_id=497038681#497038681"I am genuinely amazed at the price of Carlton House. It should be a 3/1 the field race."Yeah, that sounds about right. The horse is priced up as if he won a guineas like Frankel. In fact i remember Frankel was a better price for the derby 'with a ruThu, 26 May 2011 09:20:54 -0500so why not send roderic to france? recital absolutely desperate for 12 furlongs imo, and there's so much more to come from himseriously the last month has been ridiculous, how can they not know the plans yet? i know coolmore doesn't 'owe' us any explhttps://community.betfair.com/horse_antepost/go/thread/view/94098/27635813/the-derby-market-says-its-a-one-horse-race-is-it?post_id=497037805#497037805so why not send roderic to france? recital absolutely desperate for 12 furlongs imo, and there's so much more to come from himseriously the last month has been ridiculous, how can they not know the plans yet? i know coolmore doesn't 'owe' us any explThu, 26 May 2011 09:13:08 -0500With Pour Moi a confirmed runner for Montjeu it would seem to me that would make Recital the most likely to head to France. Can't have Roderic O'Conner as a likely winner at all so Seville would have to be the one running for Galileo.https://community.betfair.com/horse_antepost/go/thread/view/94098/27635813/the-derby-market-says-its-a-one-horse-race-is-it?post_id=497022069#497022069With Pour Moi a confirmed runner for Montjeu it would seem to me that would make Recital the most likely to head to France. Can't have Roderic O'Conner as a likely winner at all so Seville would have to be the one running for Galileo.Thu, 26 May 2011 06:05:27 -0500That thought entered my head as I read O'Brien's comment on the RP website too.But it would be a Ballydoyle first sending their Derrinstown winner to France.https://community.betfair.com/horse_antepost/go/thread/view/94098/27635813/the-derby-market-says-its-a-one-horse-race-is-it?post_id=497019729#497019729That thought entered my head as I read O'Brien's comment on the RP website too.But it would be a Ballydoyle first sending their Derrinstown winner to France.Thu, 26 May 2011 05:32:12 -0500Kieran Fallon took helocopter from HQ to partner Native Khan in workout. Currently circling paddock - workout 7.45am1 minute agovia Mobile Webposted by Matt Doyle on twitter Recital off to France maybe??https://community.betfair.com/horse_antepost/go/thread/view/94098/27635813/the-derby-market-says-its-a-one-horse-race-is-it?post_id=497019197#497019197Kieran Fallon took helocopter from HQ to partner Native Khan in workout. Currently circling paddock - workout 7.45am1 minute agovia Mobile Webposted by Matt Doyle on twitter Recital off to France maybe??Thu, 26 May 2011 05:23:40 -0500I am genuinely amazed at the price of Carlton House. It should be a 3/1 the field race.https://community.betfair.com/horse_antepost/go/thread/view/94098/27635813/the-derby-market-says-its-a-one-horse-race-is-it?post_id=497017093#497017093I am genuinely amazed at the price of Carlton House. It should be a 3/1 the field race.Thu, 26 May 2011 04:44:40 -0500Totally agree. The betting is simply wrong. I have topped up at 7/1 on Pour Moi this morning following confirmation from Fabre that he will be running. He will surely be much shorter than 7/1 on the day. Personally, I would make him favourite ahehttps://community.betfair.com/horse_antepost/go/thread/view/94098/27635813/the-derby-market-says-its-a-one-horse-race-is-it?post_id=497016589#497016589Totally agree. The betting is simply wrong. I have topped up at 7/1 on Pour Moi this morning following confirmation from Fabre that he will be running. He will surely be much shorter than 7/1 on the day. Personally, I would make him favourite aheThu, 26 May 2011 04:34:44 -0500this morninghttps://community.betfair.com/horse_antepost/go/thread/view/94098/27635813/the-derby-market-says-its-a-one-horse-race-is-it?post_id=497016121#497016121this morningThu, 26 May 2011 04:21:08 -0500Pour Moi is an intended runner after pleasing Fabre in a gallop at Epsom this money. Expect this to shorten up considerably into 2nd fav.CH is priced up on hype and an over-reading of the actual form i#he has achieved. The time for the Dante was slowhttps://community.betfair.com/horse_antepost/go/thread/view/94098/27635813/the-derby-market-says-its-a-one-horse-race-is-it?post_id=497016077#497016077Pour Moi is an intended runner after pleasing Fabre in a gallop at Epsom this money. Expect this to shorten up considerably into 2nd fav.CH is priced up on hype and an over-reading of the actual form i#he has achieved. The time for the Dante was slowThu, 26 May 2011 04:19:52 -0500