New Posts For Thread: cue card - supreme noviceshttps://community.betfair.com/horse_antepost/go/thread/view/94098/25581085/cue-card---supreme-novicesany1 got any info on him ? is he likely to go for the supreme ?https://community.betfair.com/horse_antepost/go/thread/view/94098/25581085/cue-card---supreme-novices?post_id=468288369#468288369Thu, 30 Sep 2010 14:25:26 -0500I reckon he'll hurdle well enough. Looked very athletic back in March and will no doubt have come on a bit since then. We won't know until we've watched him a couple of times. Looks like he'll have a few races before Christmas then rested prior to thhttps://community.betfair.com/horse_antepost/go/thread/view/94098/25581085/cue-card---supreme-novices?post_id=463095573#463095573I reckon he'll hurdle well enough. Looked very athletic back in March and will no doubt have come on a bit since then. We won't know until we've watched him a couple of times. Looks like he'll have a few races before Christmas then rested prior to thMon, 23 Aug 2010 04:46:41 -0500I suppose the other way to looking at ir is you have a 5 out 18 chance of him running in the SN, then a 1 out of 5 chance of winning the SN. For that reason I don't see the 10s on offer ante-post before he has jumped a twig as any value.https://community.betfair.com/horse_antepost/go/thread/view/94098/25581085/cue-card---supreme-novices?post_id=462335549#462335549I suppose the other way to looking at ir is you have a 5 out 18 chance of him running in the SN, then a 1 out of 5 chance of winning the SN. For that reason I don't see the 10s on offer ante-post before he has jumped a twig as any value.Tue, 17 Aug 2010 16:39:55 -0500So bumper winners have a 20% win rate in the SNhttps://community.betfair.com/horse_antepost/go/thread/view/94098/25581085/cue-card---supreme-novices?post_id=462192577#462192577So bumper winners have a 20% win rate in the SNMon, 16 Aug 2010 18:24:34 -0500We all know Montelado won the SN after winning the bumper. Only one to have done so. Others that went for it:Whither or witch - 5th in the SN 3 years after bumper win.Cork All Star - 7th in the SN the year after bumper winCousin Vinny - 5th in SN yeahttps://community.betfair.com/horse_antepost/go/thread/view/94098/25581085/cue-card---supreme-novices?post_id=462182405#462182405We all know Montelado won the SN after winning the bumper. Only one to have done so. Others that went for it:Whither or witch - 5th in the SN 3 years after bumper win.Cork All Star - 7th in the SN the year after bumper winCousin Vinny - 5th in SN yeaMon, 16 Aug 2010 17:16:55 -0500Good question BJG, worth some research I suspect not many. I know Wither or Which did - Monsignor won the SA Hurdle and Pizarro was 2nd in the SA after Coolnagora was thrown out. Willie has a strange track record because Florida Pearl won the SA Chashttps://community.betfair.com/horse_antepost/go/thread/view/94098/25581085/cue-card---supreme-novices?post_id=462179121#462179121Good question BJG, worth some research I suspect not many. I know Wither or Which did - Monsignor won the SA Hurdle and Pizarro was 2nd in the SA after Coolnagora was thrown out. Willie has a strange track record because Florida Pearl won the SA ChasMon, 16 Aug 2010 16:59:01 -0500How many have run in the SNhttps://community.betfair.com/horse_antepost/go/thread/view/94098/25581085/cue-card---supreme-novices?post_id=462150977#462150977How many have run in the SNMon, 16 Aug 2010 14:11:00 -0500You are right Flyingbolt Flakey Dove won it in 94, not sure if it was his first run since without looking it up - but I am sure he went on to win the Irish Cesarewich. I agree there have only been 18 Champion Bumpers, but the fact only one horse hashttps://community.betfair.com/horse_antepost/go/thread/view/94098/25581085/cue-card---supreme-novices?post_id=462149545#462149545You are right Flyingbolt Flakey Dove won it in 94, not sure if it was his first run since without looking it up - but I am sure he went on to win the Irish Cesarewich. I agree there have only been 18 Champion Bumpers, but the fact only one horse hasMon, 16 Aug 2010 14:02:53 -0500There have only been 18 champion bumpers!https://community.betfair.com/horse_antepost/go/thread/view/94098/25581085/cue-card---supreme-novices?post_id=462142621#462142621There have only been 18 champion bumpers!Mon, 16 Aug 2010 13:19:45 -0500Alderbrook's Champion was 2 years later. Wasn't it Montelado's first run since his Supreme win ?https://community.betfair.com/horse_antepost/go/thread/view/94098/25581085/cue-card---supreme-novices?post_id=462111077#462111077Alderbrook's Champion was 2 years later. Wasn't it Montelado's first run since his Supreme win ?Mon, 16 Aug 2010 09:51:46 -0500