New Posts For Thread: Ascot Analysishttps://community.betfair.com/horse_antepost/go/thread/view/94098/24067009/ascot-analysisI've found it too much to keep the staying h'caps thread going, now that the season is in full swing, and I'm no longer on holiday. They've never been something that I've bet on in general, and I've struggled to get intOuch, though not surprising.So the two AW tracks are Kempton, because the Newmarket trainers ain't averse to sending their horses there, and Southwell, because the surface resembles Ascot's.https://community.betfair.com/horse_antepost/go/thread/view/94098/24067009/ascot-analysis?post_id=433943949#433943949Ouch, though not surprising.So the two AW tracks are Kempton, because the Newmarket trainers ain't averse to sending their horses there, and Southwell, because the surface resembles Ascot's.Mon, 17 May 2010 10:03:55 -0500Race Category Flat,Race Category LR All Weather,Track Ascot ,Track LR Wolverhampton ,Date (Year) 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010. Bets Wins WinStrike SP_PL Places PlaceStrike Races RaceStrikehttps://community.betfair.com/horse_antepost/go/thread/view/94098/24067009/ascot-analysis?post_id=433941885#433941885Race Category Flat,Race Category LR All Weather,Track Ascot ,Track LR Wolverhampton ,Date (Year) 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010. Bets Wins WinStrike SP_PL Places PlaceStrike Races RaceStrikeMon, 17 May 2010 09:43:25 -0500Well Duncan, here is another small population. Horses running at Ascot on the flat since 2006, that had their last run at Southwell (AW):-2 winners, 13 runners, 15.4%. +https://community.betfair.com/horse_antepost/go/thread/view/94098/24067009/ascot-analysis?post_id=433937409#433937409Well Duncan, here is another small population. Horses running at Ascot on the flat since 2006, that had their last run at Southwell (AW):-2 winners, 13 runners, 15.4%. +Mon, 17 May 2010 09:00:22 -0500Some ridiculously small sample sizes to be giving creedence to here, fellas. Thanks for posting, though.https://community.betfair.com/horse_antepost/go/thread/view/94098/24067009/ascot-analysis?post_id=433911257#433911257Some ridiculously small sample sizes to be giving creedence to here, fellas. Thanks for posting, though.Mon, 17 May 2010 02:54:56 -0500Looks like I've misplaced the Southwell figures. I'll post them when I get home from work.https://community.betfair.com/horse_antepost/go/thread/view/94098/24067009/ascot-analysis?post_id=433901913#433901913Looks like I've misplaced the Southwell figures. I'll post them when I get home from work.Sun, 16 May 2010 23:22:56 -0500Looks like you've got a better product than RI there. You've also got 4-5 sires I don't recognise!Anyway, going back to horses that had their last start at an All-Weather course, the Lingfield figures are more what one would expect, lhttps://community.betfair.com/horse_antepost/go/thread/view/94098/24067009/ascot-analysis?post_id=433901589#433901589Looks like you've got a better product than RI there. You've also got 4-5 sires I don't recognise!Anyway, going back to horses that had their last start at an All-Weather course, the Lingfield figures are more what one would expect, lSun, 16 May 2010 23:17:54 -0500Me2The stats below, once I had set the three main variables (Years 2006-2010, Flat turf, UK) took 1.3 seconds to produce.Add another couple of minutes to copy & paste in to spreadsheet to produce the table. Criteria Runs Winshttps://community.betfair.com/horse_antepost/go/thread/view/94098/24067009/ascot-analysis?post_id=433899861#433899861Me2The stats below, once I had set the three main variables (Years 2006-2010, Flat turf, UK) took 1.3 seconds to produce.Add another couple of minutes to copy & paste in to spreadsheet to produce the table. Criteria Runs WinsSun, 16 May 2010 22:52:52 -0500Runners on the Flat at Ascot since 2006, that had their last run at Kempton AW. 16 winners, 209 runners. 7.7% strike-rate. +https://community.betfair.com/horse_antepost/go/thread/view/94098/24067009/ascot-analysis?post_id=433861973#433861973Runners on the Flat at Ascot since 2006, that had their last run at Kempton AW. 16 winners, 209 runners. 7.7% strike-rate. +Sun, 16 May 2010 17:00:21 -0500Was interested in topweight in h'caps. So set saddlecloth = 1, and racetype = h'cap. Usual loss.Then tried Ben's filter of track = Str. 3 winners, 36 runners, +https://community.betfair.com/horse_antepost/go/thread/view/94098/24067009/ascot-analysis?post_id=433853433#433853433Was interested in topweight in h'caps. So set saddlecloth = 1, and racetype = h'cap. Usual loss.Then tried Ben's filter of track = Str. 3 winners, 36 runners, +Sun, 16 May 2010 15:59:34 -0500If you want an angle maybe separate the straight course and round course.https://community.betfair.com/horse_antepost/go/thread/view/94098/24067009/ascot-analysis?post_id=433847373#433847373If you want an angle maybe separate the straight course and round course.Sun, 16 May 2010 15:17:33 -0500