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woodmanchester
10 Nov 14 07:49
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Date Joined: 25 Aug 11
| Topic/replies: 30,419 | Blogger: woodmanchester's blog
Done tissue, prompt a laughing fit from Panda Happy

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Replies: 275
By:
panda
When: 10 Nov 14 10:30
go on then put up the 1st 6 races and we will see what your like good luckCool
By:
woodmanchester
When: 10 Nov 14 10:50
Well, when I say tissue, only concentrate on the top end

What you interested in? Not that i'd lay it, just a guide Happy
By:
wondersobright
When: 10 Nov 14 11:22
not asking you to lay them, we're asking you to put up your tissue prices for any 1 of the first 6 sky races tomorrow night
By:
wondersobright
When: 10 Nov 14 11:45
bated breath woody...Laugh
By:
wondersobright
When: 10 Nov 14 12:12
come on woody Devil normally you cant go 5 minutes without posting, lets have your prices
By:
woodmanchester
When: 10 Nov 14 12:26
7.34 Think Mustang Blitz and Wee Tiger Tots will dominate the betting. Maybe 6/4 and 15/8
7.49 Would be tempted to go 7/2 the field, if I was a bookie
8.04 Thought 11/8 Cornamaddy Jumbo, 2/1 Lenson Razldazl, 3/1 Jetstream Reason, 6/1 Mash Mad. Any price you like about the rest
8.19 Wouldn't want to be laying anything bigger than 13/8 Aero Babooshka if I was a bookie. 3/1 Borna Karma, 4/1 Marmalady, 5/1 Forest Sara
8.34 Absolutely no idea whatsoever
8.49 11/4 Screen Critic, 3/1 Ballygibbon King, 10/3 Sparta Flame, 7/2 King Dec, Sidarian Blitz

Tell me i'm useless, or accuse me of helping out the firms, probably Plain
By:
p_r_e_m_i_e_r__f_a_n_t_a_s_y
When: 10 Nov 14 12:30
You're betting to 119% only 5 runners in the 8:49 and I would absolutely smash ya on 1 of those prices
By:
woodmanchester
When: 10 Nov 14 12:32
Only a rough sp guide. I'm no bookie. What's the rick in the 8.49, PF. Looked an open race to me
By:
wondersobright
When: 10 Nov 14 12:34
cheers woody
hope they price the sprint like you have
By:
wondersobright
When: 10 Nov 14 12:37
11/8 CJ Laugh
By:
woodmanchester
When: 10 Nov 14 12:38
Fancy Blitz, Wonders coz thought Tiger Tots fraction off the boil since first round of Scurry. Don't really fancy anything else
By:
patrick starr
When: 10 Nov 14 12:40
fair play woody Happy

easier to make mistakes than spot one imo.
By:
wondersobright
When: 10 Nov 14 12:40
you've got the order right but if they are 1/3 coupled I'm a facking chinaman
By:
woodmanchester
When: 10 Nov 14 12:41
What should it be, Wonders?
By:
panda
When: 10 Nov 14 12:43
would that ain't a tissue that's a pure guess up but fair play for having ago
By:
wondersobright
When: 10 Nov 14 12:49
good question woody
put it this way, I couldn't bet 2 away dogs at 1/3 coupled
you have pretty much written off 5 for some reason Crazy
By:
woodmanchester
When: 10 Nov 14 12:51
When 365 go up, don't come on giving me brief. Anything else to say, say it now but i'm still waiting for the rick PF spotted and how much bigger you going the top 3 in the hurdle, Wonders?
By:
wondersobright
When: 10 Nov 14 12:53
that's what I like about you woody, you love to bite Laugh
By:
wondersobright
When: 10 Nov 14 12:53
ffs should have thought about that 1 CryLaugh
By:
wondersobright
When: 10 Nov 14 12:56
woody I haven't even done the card, I will be out tomorrow night so won't be bothering
do you not think cornamaddy jumbo was primed for the national and might be being let down now so I'll be amazed if its 11/8
you are a total guesser incapable of listening to people trying to help you
By:
woodmanchester
When: 10 Nov 14 12:59
Like Panda says, I try. As I say, i'm not a bookie. Still don't think i'll be a million miles away. How are you trying to help me. All you do is extract the urine.

Re-the hurdles, doesn't Shane have nearly 9 lengths to find with Razldazl on trial form? Crazy, yourself!
By:
wondersobright
When: 10 Nov 14 13:05
will revisit this thread when the BSPs are out and see how far out you are
I would bet 1/10 that you average more than 5% out per runner
we'll see
By:
woodmanchester
When: 10 Nov 14 13:08
I would expect to be too. I do track sp guides, not BSP guides on exchanges
By:
wondersobright
When: 10 Nov 14 13:09
Laugh nice 1
By:
woodmanchester
When: 10 Nov 14 13:11
When I did the BAGS tissues in the 90's, betting to about 125%. Maybe you just cant teach an old dog new tricks
By:
wondersobright
When: 10 Nov 14 13:11
^agree completely
By:
p_r_e_m_i_e_r__f_a_n_t_a_s_y
When: 10 Nov 14 13:14
Why the hell would you do track sp guides, you're supposed to be pricing the race up by your opinion, what you believe there true chances of winning are, not what the track bookmakers will price. Your aim seems to be to have priced it up the same as the off course books and if you have you're right, if those off course books where such a great guide and gospel they'd lay a proper bet.

Ignore what you think the track books will price, do the race yourself, calculate what you believe their true chance of winning to 100% (some would rather do 120% but not me) and bet what's out of line with your own card.

The best drawn dog in that race is the rick in my opinion
By:
woodmanchester
When: 10 Nov 14 13:19
So, that's basically pushing all my prices out by about 5%? As ive always said, not at all mathematically minded

Youre dog's King Dec or Sidarian Blitz then?
By:
wondersobright
When: 10 Nov 14 13:25
if you're not mathematically minded, that's fine, but why give it all the bowlarks about done my tissue, your tissue is worthless

just pick out the dogs that you like and have seen run and impressed you, its your best chance
By:
wondersobright
When: 10 Nov 14 13:26
like that ballygibbon king 8.49, you'll have seen that run loads of times at sheffield
By:
woodmanchester
When: 10 Nov 14 13:27
Don't think ive ever seen it run live. Ran in the Derby though, didn't it?
By:
p_r_e_m_i_e_r__f_a_n_t_a_s_y
When: 10 Nov 14 13:29
Sure go on, yeah I thought King Dec was plotted up and seen as this ain't no final Ran can get the needle out again
By:
woodmanchester
When: 10 Nov 14 13:30
Laugh
By:
wondersobright
When: 10 Nov 14 13:32
lol yeah, seem to remember me telling you it would get arse raped but you wouldn't have it
king dec ran abysmally at notts after leading, he's had a long year
By:
p_r_e_m_i_e_r__f_a_n_t_a_s_y
When: 10 Nov 14 13:34
I already gave ya the reason for the Notts run
By:
everton-fc
When: 10 Nov 14 14:57
PF

Sent you a PM mate
By:
BETTY
When: 10 Nov 14 15:47
Lenson Razldazl non-runner in hurdle. Reserve to run
By:
everton-fc
When: 10 Nov 14 16:33
I'm interested in two races, the 7.49 and the marathon

waiting for prices Excited
By:
everton-fc
When: 10 Nov 14 17:02
7.49

T1, On Alert

taken the 5/2 B365 Grin
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