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go on then put up the 1st 6 races and we will see what your like good luck
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Well, when I say tissue, only concentrate on the top end
What you interested in? Not that i'd lay it, just a guide |
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not asking you to lay them, we're asking you to put up your tissue prices for any 1 of the first 6 sky races tomorrow night
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bated breath woody...
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come on woody normally you cant go 5 minutes without posting, lets have your prices
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7.34 Think Mustang Blitz and Wee Tiger Tots will dominate the betting. Maybe 6/4 and 15/8
7.49 Would be tempted to go 7/2 the field, if I was a bookie 8.04 Thought 11/8 Cornamaddy Jumbo, 2/1 Lenson Razldazl, 3/1 Jetstream Reason, 6/1 Mash Mad. Any price you like about the rest 8.19 Wouldn't want to be laying anything bigger than 13/8 Aero Babooshka if I was a bookie. 3/1 Borna Karma, 4/1 Marmalady, 5/1 Forest Sara 8.34 Absolutely no idea whatsoever 8.49 11/4 Screen Critic, 3/1 Ballygibbon King, 10/3 Sparta Flame, 7/2 King Dec, Sidarian Blitz Tell me i'm useless, or accuse me of helping out the firms, probably |
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You're betting to 119% only 5 runners in the 8:49 and I would absolutely smash ya on 1 of those prices
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Only a rough sp guide. I'm no bookie. What's the rick in the 8.49, PF. Looked an open race to me
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cheers woody
hope they price the sprint like you have |
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11/8 CJ
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Fancy Blitz, Wonders coz thought Tiger Tots fraction off the boil since first round of Scurry. Don't really fancy anything else
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fair play woody
easier to make mistakes than spot one imo. |
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you've got the order right but if they are 1/3 coupled I'm a facking chinaman
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What should it be, Wonders?
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would that ain't a tissue that's a pure guess up but fair play for having ago
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good question woody
put it this way, I couldn't bet 2 away dogs at 1/3 coupled you have pretty much written off 5 for some reason |
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When 365 go up, don't come on giving me brief. Anything else to say, say it now but i'm still waiting for the rick PF spotted and how much bigger you going the top 3 in the hurdle, Wonders?
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that's what I like about you woody, you love to bite
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ffs should have thought about that 1
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woody I haven't even done the card, I will be out tomorrow night so won't be bothering
do you not think cornamaddy jumbo was primed for the national and might be being let down now so I'll be amazed if its 11/8 you are a total guesser incapable of listening to people trying to help you |
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Like Panda says, I try. As I say, i'm not a bookie. Still don't think i'll be a million miles away. How are you trying to help me. All you do is extract the urine.
Re-the hurdles, doesn't Shane have nearly 9 lengths to find with Razldazl on trial form? , yourself! |
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will revisit this thread when the BSPs are out and see how far out you are
I would bet 1/10 that you average more than 5% out per runner we'll see |
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I would expect to be too. I do track sp guides, not BSP guides on exchanges
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nice 1
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When I did the BAGS tissues in the 90's, betting to about 125%. Maybe you just cant teach an old dog new tricks
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^agree completely
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Why the hell would you do track sp guides, you're supposed to be pricing the race up by your opinion, what you believe there true chances of winning are, not what the track bookmakers will price. Your aim seems to be to have priced it up the same as the off course books and if you have you're right, if those off course books where such a great guide and gospel they'd lay a proper bet.
Ignore what you think the track books will price, do the race yourself, calculate what you believe their true chance of winning to 100% (some would rather do 120% but not me) and bet what's out of line with your own card. The best drawn dog in that race is the rick in my opinion |
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So, that's basically pushing all my prices out by about 5%? As ive always said, not at all mathematically minded
Youre dog's King Dec or Sidarian Blitz then? |
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if you're not mathematically minded, that's fine, but why give it all the bowlarks about done my tissue, your tissue is worthless
just pick out the dogs that you like and have seen run and impressed you, its your best chance |
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like that ballygibbon king 8.49, you'll have seen that run loads of times at sheffield
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Don't think ive ever seen it run live. Ran in the Derby though, didn't it?
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Sure go on, yeah I thought King Dec was plotted up and seen as this ain't no final Ran can get the needle out again
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lol yeah, seem to remember me telling you it would get arse raped but you wouldn't have it
king dec ran abysmally at notts after leading, he's had a long year |
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I already gave ya the reason for the Notts run
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PF
Sent you a PM mate |
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Lenson Razldazl non-runner in hurdle. Reserve to run
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I'm interested in two races, the 7.49 and the marathon
waiting for prices |
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7.49
T1, On Alert taken the 5/2 B365 |