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Kwijibo
26 Aug 09 14:16
Joined:
Date Joined: 13 Apr 07
| Topic/replies: 712 | Blogger: Kwijibo's blog
5% a day , laying 1 dog a race for 0.25% profit , using a recovery plan of 40% of losses over 3 races , stopping at 5% profit (b4 comm) a day.

Simplez eh ?
Pause Switch to Standard View The Kwijs £100 to £5000 in 100 days...
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Report Kwijibo September 6, 2009 11:37 AM BST
if yr about tomorrow i'll pre post Nick ???
Report nick999 September 6, 2009 11:38 AM BST
can i pass u my email mate ? and u could send me ?
Report Kwijibo September 6, 2009 11:42 AM BST
yeah , no worries Gastby ...... I mean Nick :)
Report nick999 September 6, 2009 11:55 AM BST
n.green@rjurmson.com

Cheers matey
Report Kwijibo September 7, 2009 9:14 AM BST
Day off yesterday - back on for Day 12 today - Lets rock !
Report Kwijibo September 7, 2009 2:32 PM BST
today fimished 23/26 - update to follow .......
Report Kwijibo September 8, 2009 1:59 PM BST
Yesterday didn't update - heres the figures :-

Stats for day 12:

Won 23 of 26 races which is a 88.4% win rate.


From Day 1:

Won 233 of 271 races which is 85.9% win rate
Report Kwijibo September 8, 2009 2:09 PM BST
Stats for Day13:

Won 25 of 28 races which is 89.2%


Fron Day 1:

Won 258 of 299 races which is a 86.2% win rate



http://thedogsofkwijebo.blogspot.com/
Report Kwijibo September 9, 2009 2:56 PM BST
Stats for Day 14:

Won 21 of 26 races which is 80.7%

Made an increase on bank of 5%



Stats since Day 1:

Have won 279 of 325 races which is 85.8%


http://thedogsofkwijebo.blogspot.com/
Report Kwijibo September 9, 2009 4:44 PM BST
[x] These checkboxes suck 03 Sep 17:03

Nah, I just solved the equation 100(1.05)^x = 200 and x turned out to be 14.2 something. So I reckon you'll go bust around day 14 or 15



Next guess boxes ????
Report Kwijibo September 10, 2009 11:29 AM BST
12 of 12 so far today - 100% to 5% can it be done ????
Report Kwijibo September 10, 2009 2:01 PM BST
Stats for Day 15:

Won 22 of 24 races which is 91.6%

Made a profit of 5.2%


Stats from Day 1:

Have won 301 of 349 races which is a 86.2% win strike rate.


http://thedogsofkwijebo.blogspot.com/
Report paddys revenge September 10, 2009 8:58 PM BST
kwijibo, love your work;-) been following with interest, and just wondering how or what information you are using to select your dogs.
Report paddys revenge September 10, 2009 9:23 PM BST
its ok just read what your using over on the football forum, never used a bot myself but watching and wishing you well..gl
Report Kwijibo September 11, 2009 3:52 AM BST
Thanx Paddy ! :)
Report Kwijibo September 11, 2009 2:08 PM BST
A mate has given me 5/1 on me getting to £5k from £100 - think i got an absolute bargin !!!!!!
Report Kwijibo September 11, 2009 2:35 PM BST
Stats for Day 16:

Won 23 of 27 races which is 85.1%

Made a profit of 5.3%


Stats from Day 1:

Have won 324 of 376 races which is a 86.1% win strike rate


http://thedogsofkwijebo.blogspot.com/
Report paddys revenge September 11, 2009 4:10 PM BST
good day again! well I downloaded the bot (trial version) set it up and only lost 1 out of 24 races, then realised it was in simulation mode! changed it to real money play and have lost 4 out of 9 races so far!
see if i can pull it back, started with a £75 bank for this down to £56 but its all for fun.
Report wehey23 September 12, 2009 4:06 PM BST
Nice work....What are the average odds for your selections?
Thanks
Report Kwijibo September 13, 2009 3:31 AM BST
Stats for Day 1:

Won 23 of 27 races which is 85.1%

Made a profit of 5.2%


Stats since Day 1:

Have won 347 of 403 races which is a 86.1% win strike rate.



http://thedogsofkwijebo.blogspot.com/
Report conflict September 13, 2009 10:27 AM BST
I wish the best of luck to you Kwijs! You're looking fine, do you mind sharing what your selection of dog to lay is based upon? Of course i understand if you dont want to share this with me :)
Report track record September 13, 2009 6:14 PM BST
w/d kwij
careful u dont get your bot smacked
:^0
Report djdale September 14, 2009 9:34 AM BST
very impressive laid a 18/1 shot winner and laid three dogs for 16 quid what a system 16 days gone and made 156 quid.

no wonder you can afford sundays off making such profits
Report Hung Like A Donkey September 14, 2009 9:38 AM BST
86% strike rate over 16 days and u have made £156? i signed on and got £100 in 14 days.
Report Kwijibo September 16, 2009 3:12 PM BST
Did Sunday but have been away for 3 days - will be back on track tomorrow !

B-)
Report Kwijibo September 17, 2009 2:52 AM BST
Stats for Day 18:

Won 19 of 22 bets which is 86.3%

Made a profit of 4.5%


Stats since Day 1:

Have won 366 of 425 races which is a 86.1% win strike rate



http://thedogsofkwijebo.blogspot.com/
Report Kwijibo September 17, 2009 3:15 PM BST
Stats for Day 19:

Won 25 from 31 races.

Made a 5.5% increase on bank.



Stats from Day 1:

Have won 391 from 456 races which is a 85.7% win rate.


http://thedogsofkwijebo.blogspot.com/
Report Kwijibo September 18, 2009 3:08 PM BST
Stats from Day 20:

Won 21 of 23 which is 91.3%

Made a profit of 5.5%


Stats from Day 1:

Have won 412 of 479 races which is a 86.1% win rate


http://thedogsofkwijebo.blogspot.com/
Report track record September 18, 2009 5:34 PM BST
how many days / profit so far ?
Report Kwijibo September 19, 2009 1:36 AM BST
20 days

Bank - £297.87
Report Kwijibo September 19, 2009 3:54 PM BST
Stats for Day 21:

Won 20 of 23 races.

Made a profit of 4.8%


Stats from Day 1:

Have won 432 of 502 races which is a 86% win rate.


http://thedogsofkwijebo.blogspot.com/
Report DaveEdwards September 19, 2009 6:13 PM BST
Kwijs,

If what you are posting is the absolute truth in terms of your increase in investment since you started this thread, then I'd like to wish the the best of luck with this mate.

If you can control your staking and you can control yourself, you are more than halfway there.
Report [x] These checkboxes suck September 19, 2009 9:35 PM BST
How is this controlled staking. It is kamikaze chasing.
Report DaveEdwards September 19, 2009 9:37 PM BST
I haven't a clue about his staking to be honest, but if what he's doing is working in the long term then good luck to him.

I wouldn't personally use a % method. I was speaking generally really, just trying to offer words of encouragment
Report Kwijibo September 21, 2009 4:10 PM BST
Stats for Day 22:

Won 22 of 22 races

Made a profit of 5.2%


Stats from Day 1:

Have won 454 of 524 races which is a 86.6% win rate.


http://thedogsofkwijebo.blogspot.com/
Report Kwijibo September 23, 2009 4:39 AM BST
Stats for Day 23:

Won 21 from 27 races

Made a profit of 5%


Stats from Day 1:

Have won 475 of 551 races which is a 86.2% win rate


Bank - £345.09


http://thedogsofkwijebo.blogspot.com/
Report Kwijibo September 25, 2009 6:56 AM BST
http://thedogsofkwijebo.blogspot.com/



A quick chart shows how roughly I will be working it from now on (to be reviewed daily).



90%+ win rate : 2.5%
85.1%+ : 2%
80%+ : 1.5%
79.9% and below 1%



and to show how that translates to current win rates ......



Monday = Sheffield 2.5% : Hall Green 1.5% - Target for the day 4%
Tuesday = Nottingham 2.5% : Perry Barr 1.5% - Target for the day 4%
Wednesday = Hall Green 1.5% : Newcastle 1% - Target for the day 2.5%
Thursday = Sheffield 2.5% : Sunderland 2% - Target for the day 4.5%
Friday = Hove 1.5% : Oxford 2.5% - Target for the day 4%
Saturday = Romford 1.5% : Crayford 1.5% - Target for the day 3%
Sunday = Hove 1.5% : Perry Barr 1.5% - Target for the day 3%
Report RacingCert September 25, 2009 9:34 AM BST
So, Kwijibo, are you on course on the challenge ?

Perhaps you could put your budgeted target in brackets after the actuall bank amount.
Report theborderfox September 25, 2009 10:00 AM BST
KWIJI ...KWIJI-BO...KWIJI...KWIJI-BO......KWIJI...KWIJI-BO
Report Kwijibo September 25, 2009 12:50 PM BST
17 of 18 2day

only loser won it's race by a neck and a short head in 3rd !
Report Kwijibo September 25, 2009 2:36 PM BST
Stats for Day 24:

Won 17 of 18 races which is 94.4%


Stats from Day 1:

Have won 492 of 569 races which is a 86.4% win rate.



Target balance for Day 24 - £256.33 (based on 1-100 days at 4% a day =£5,000)
Actual balance for Day 24 - £359.45



Revised Track stats:

1) Oxford (Won 52 of 55 races) 94.5% win rate
2) Sheffield (59/63) 93.6% win rate
3) Swindon (10/11) 90.9% win rate
4) Nottingham (27/30) 90% win rate
5) Sunderland (44/50) 88% win rate
6) Hove (73/85) 85.8% win rate
7) Crayford (50/59) 84.7% win rate
8) Hall Green (48/57) 84.2% win rate
9) Perry Barr (47/57) 82.4% win rate
10) Belle Vue (9/11) 81.8% win rate
11) Romford (41/51) 80.3% win rate
12) Newcastle (22/28) 78.5% win rate
13) Monmore (9/13) 69.2% win rate


Last 7 days profit if I was withdrawing a 'wage' - £103.45


http://thedogsofkwijebo.blogspot.com/
Report Kwijibo September 26, 2009 12:07 PM BST
Stats for Day 25:

Won 12 of 16 races which is 75%

Increased bank by 3.3% to £371.49 (Target for Day 25 to be on course £266.58)


Stats from Day 1:

Have won 504 of 585 races which is a 86.1% win rate


http://thedogsofkwijebo.blogspot.com/
Report Kwijibo September 27, 2009 2:19 PM BST
Stats for Day 25:

Won 18 of 22 races which is 81.8%

Increased bank by 4.6% to £388.84 (Target for Day 26 to be on course for £5,000 by Day 100 £277.25)


Stats from Day 1:

Have won 522 from 607 races which is a 85.9% win rate


http://thedogsofkwijebo.blogspot.com/
Report Kwijibo September 28, 2009 4:23 PM BST
Stats for Day 27:

Won 14 of 19 races which is 73.6%

Made a profit of £16.29 which is 4.1% to a bank of £405.13 (Target for Day 27 to be on course for £5,000 £288.34)


Stats from Day 1:

Have won 536 of 626 races which is a 85.6% win rate


http://thedogsofkwijebo.blogspot.com/
Report Over The River September 28, 2009 4:40 PM BST
5 losing races from 19, and you win. Waste of time me laying dogs anymore, because if i layed 5/19 that won, i would be tailed off, time to quit and submit to your extraordinary system.
Report djdale September 28, 2009 5:09 PM BST
cant wait for the millersfield and brushwood challenge
Report Kwijibo September 29, 2009 1:56 AM BST
OTD does that then mean I have a sound staking plan ???
Report senlac September 29, 2009 2:19 AM BST
You know your staking plan is very risky. I too have BBP
and recovery can be fatal. I do not know how you have
not been hit hard yet. Still, good luck.
Report Kwijibo September 29, 2009 3:08 AM BST
Senlac ,

Based on figures over the years I've always hit between 7-10 winners out of 10 - with this in mind if I'm say laying 20 races over 2 tracks and on average I'm only going to hit 3 losers - first of all to go bust my 3 losers would have to be in a row and secondly I'd probably have to hit 4 which is above average.

Just using my understanding of the probability of a series of events happenning(85 % win rate) , then translating that info into an effective staking plan (having a unit stake of 0.25% of starting days bank) that as long as current trends continue (85% win rate) , I should hopefully not go bust ???
Report Kwijibo September 29, 2009 3:09 AM BST
but could easily be wrong !
Report senlac September 29, 2009 6:44 AM BST
If you continue for a while you will go broke, you must admit.
You are doing recovery over 3 bets so a WWL situation is still
a problem. Your third loss in that situation is as bad as a third
consecutive loss. I too have BBP and am aware of the problems
of recovery and have been hit badly at times. Your success rate
is only marginally above chance so cross your fingers. I shall
be using BBP tonight, with recovery. so wish us both luck.
Report [x] These checkboxes suck September 29, 2009 8:27 AM BST
You could lay 100 losers and then lay 5 on the bounce wiping out the entire lot. It isn't about strike rate, its about when the winners come. So far you have been incredibly lucky (to be fair, I suppose it balances out from the time before when you were unlucky to go broke that early).
Report theborderfox September 29, 2009 11:43 AM BST
so guys what is the recommended recovery on bbp.ive used the 35% on trial and yea its risky.but it gets it over n done fast if u like instead odf spreading it over say 6 bets where u will hit another loser and are continually chasing. kwiji your doing great, but u have hit 2 in a row a good few times now.....theres always that day from hell .think about it...be a shame to bust it out
Report Kwijibo September 29, 2009 4:59 PM BST
Stats for Day 28:

Won 17 from 19 races which is 89.4%

Made a profit of £17.33 which is an increase of 4.2% to £422.46 (Target for day 28 to be on course for £5,000 is £299.87)


Stats from Day 1:

Have won 553 races from 645 races which is a 85.7% win rate


http://thedogsofkwijebo.blogspot.com/
Report Kwijibo September 30, 2009 3:20 PM BST
Stats from Day 29:

Won 21 of 23 races which is 91.3%

Made a profit of £21.78 which is a profit of 5.1% to £444.24 (Target for day 29 to be on course for £5,000 on day 100 £311.87)


Stats from Day 1:

Have won 574 of 668 races which is a 85.9% win rate


http://thedogsofkwijebo.blogspot.com/
Report Kwijibo October 2, 2009 3:22 PM BST
Stats from Day 30:

Won 15 from 17 races

Made a profit of £17.55 which is a 3.9% increase to £461.79 (Target for day 30 to be on course for £5,000 by day 100 £324.34)


Stats from Day 1:
Have won 589 from 685 races which is a 85.9% win rate


http://thedogsofkwijebo.blogspot.com/
Report Kwijibo October 4, 2009 4:02 AM BST
Off to Killarney for a week - may the dogs be with you !
Report casemoney October 10, 2009 1:01 PM BST
Report Kwijibo October 10, 2009 4:03 PM BST
Stats for Day 32:

Won 11 of 11 races

Made a profit of 2.6% to £494.81 (Target for day 32 £350.81)


Stats since day 1:

Have won 618 of 716 races which is a 86.3% win rate
Report Kwijibo October 11, 2009 10:52 PM BST
Stats from Day 33:

Won 20 from 23 races which is 86.9%

Made a profit of £25.48 to £520.29 which is a 5.1% increase


Stats from Day 1:

Have won 638 races from 739 which is a 86.3% win rate



http://thedogsofkwijebo.blogspot.com/
Report cabbage October 11, 2009 11:14 PM BST
who f**cking cares, **ing about for pennies,
Report [x] These checkboxes suck October 12, 2009 12:57 AM BST
I think it's funny, I mean sooner or later he's gonna do the lot and dream up some new system.
Report Kwijibo October 12, 2009 9:06 AM BST
a system/betting plan has to work for pennies to work for pounds - if u want to earn £200 a day first prove you can win £20 a day !
Report A second in hand October 12, 2009 10:29 AM BST
Agreed Kwiji..... Keep up the good work!
Report RacingCert October 12, 2009 10:32 AM BST
Showing a lot of discipline, K.

Well done. Keep it up.
Report cabbage October 12, 2009 1:47 PM BST
apology for the above comments, (had to many sherberts) keep up the good work.
Report SA - Lacks middle pace - Faded October 12, 2009 4:55 PM BST
..
Report Kwijibo October 12, 2009 5:34 PM BST
I did think it was quite harsh cabbage ???
Report Kwijibo October 12, 2009 5:35 PM BST
Stats from Day 34:

Won 20 of 24 races

Increased bank by 4.5% to £544.19 (Target for day 34 to be on course for £5,000 by day 100 £379.43)


Stats from Day 1:
Have won 658 from 763 which is a 86.2% win rate


http://thedogsofkwijebo.blogspot.com/
Report andrew2803 October 12, 2009 5:43 PM BST
£25 profit per day which is what you are doing at present is certainly not pennies i applaud your discipline,( only wish i wasn,t too greedy etc) keep it up hope you do it! keep your nerve and youll have a great christmas!
Report Kwijibo October 12, 2009 5:46 PM BST
£25 a day atm is def better than the £4.90 i won on day 1 !
Report Kwijibo October 14, 2009 7:59 AM BST
Stats for day 35:

Won 18 of 18 races

Increased bank by 4.1% to £566.56 (Target for day 35 to be on course for £5,000 by day 100 £394.61)


Stats from Day 1:

Have won 676 of 781 races which is a 86.5% win rate


http://thedogsofkwijebo.blogspot.com/
Report tonycoppen. October 14, 2009 9:28 AM BST
just a thought - where you are having 5 dogs running for you in a race - you have an average win rate chance of 83.3%.............to equate this to 86% shouldnt be too difficult if many of the laid dogs are outsiders ?
Report Kwijibo October 14, 2009 5:27 PM BST
Took an extra track to 90%+ win rate today - Welcome to the club Belle Vue !


Stats from Day 36:

Won 23 of 24 races

Increased bank by £31.66 which is 5.5% to £598.22 (Target for day 36 to be on course for £5,000 by day 100 £410.39)


Stats from Day 1:

Have won 699 of 805 races which is a 86.8% win rate


http://thedogsofkwijebo.blogspot.com/
Report Kwijibo October 15, 2009 4:36 PM BST
Day 37 I had a winning day (5% ish) but on 6 seperate races (details will be on blog) i was one race away from going bust , and on 3 of those 6 I finished 2nd !

With this in mind rather than lose my £600+ bank I'm gonna call it quits til I re consider my position and adjust my staking.

(This is because i was unhappily sweating far toooo much 2day.)


Yes i have balls but 'tweaking' is now my new best friend !
Report [x] These checkboxes suck October 15, 2009 4:42 PM BST
At least you've come to your senses before the money involved starts getting really serious. Nothing wrong with a spin up from an initial bank that you're prepared to lose. Well done.
Report Kwijibo October 15, 2009 4:58 PM BST
£500 a month wasn't bad for 25p stakes on Day 1 !
Report DaveEdwards October 15, 2009 5:01 PM BST
Kwij,

How much are you actually staking compared to bank. Well as you are laying, what liability do you have on any given race?
Report Kwijibo October 15, 2009 5:08 PM BST
initial stake each day is 0.25% of bank.

Might try a few things like max odds of 11 or stake of 0.2% ????
Report track record October 15, 2009 5:32 PM BST
its all a bit complicated for me
:^0
Report track record October 15, 2009 5:33 PM BST
oh yes w/d
Report RacingCert October 17, 2009 9:29 AM BST
ttt
Report Catford October 17, 2009 10:54 AM BST
Thats a shame, and you have to pay your friend for the bet you had about not getting to £5k?

Have to confess your strategy looked foolhardy, but you did seem to be proving us all wrong.

Good luck if you start again, perhaps take the ton you started with, and any costs for bots (etc...) and use the winnings thereafter.

Happy Punting
Report Kwijibo October 17, 2009 1:18 PM BST
bugger - forgot about that !

Thought i was getting great odds at 5/1 aswell !
Report [x] These checkboxes suck October 17, 2009 1:40 PM BST
where's the blog update?
Report Kwijibo October 17, 2009 1:53 PM BST
just done it :)
Report freddiewilliams October 20, 2009 11:39 AM BST
have u worked out a new staking plan yet
Report ROCKERFELLA October 20, 2009 11:40 AM BST
█████ █████
Report Kwijibo November 8, 2009 10:58 AM GMT
Had some weeks off - back on for Day 38 tomorrow (prob)
Report Kwijibo November 8, 2009 10:58 AM GMT
Had some weeks off - back on for Day 38 tomorrow (prob)
Report Kwijibo November 8, 2009 10:58 AM GMT
Had some weeks off - back on for Day 38 tomorrow (prob)
Report Kwijibo November 9, 2009 4:27 PM GMT
Stats from Day 38:

Won 25 of 27 races

Increased bank by £41.60 to £674.64

Target for Day 38 to be on course for £5,000 on Day 100 is £443.88


Stats from Day 1:

Have won 742 of 855 which is a 86.7% win rate



Revised track stats:

1) Ox (66 of 70 races) 94.2% win rate
2) Not (44/47) 93.6%
3) Bell (18/20) 90%
4) She (98/110) 89%
5) Hal (75/86) 87.2%
6) Hov (105/121) 86.7%
7) Sund (57/66) 86.3%
8) Cray (60/71) 84.5%
9) Perr (79/95) 83.1%
10)New (32/39) 82%
11)Rom (54/66) 81.8%
12)Swi (28/35) 80%
13)Mon (16/20) 80%
14)Kins (4/5) 80%


http://thedogsofkwijebo.blogspot.com/
Report Kwijibo November 9, 2009 4:31 PM GMT
I can type the full track names in the general betting forum but not on the one !
Report Kwijibo November 10, 2009 8:44 PM GMT
Stats for Day 39:

Won 16 from 19 races

Increased bank by £29.92 to £704.56

Target for day 39 to be on course for £5,000 by day 100 is £461.64



Stats from Day 1:

Have won 758 from 874 races which is a 86.7% win rate



Revised track stats:

1) Not (54/57 races) 94.7% win rate
2) Ox (66 of 70) 94.2%
3) Bell (18/20) 90%
4) Shef (98/110) 89%
5) Ha G (75/86) 87.2%
6) Ho (105/121) 86.7%
7) Sun (57/66) 86.3%
8) Cra (60/71) 84.5%
9)Newc (32/39) 82%
10)Rom (54/66) 81.8%
11) Perr (85/104) 81.7%
12)Swi (28/35) 80%
13)Mon (16/20) 80%
14)Kin (4/5) 80%


http://thedogsofkwijebo.blogspot.com/
Report B.S November 10, 2009 8:57 PM GMT
....Kwijibo the new sheriff of Nottingham.
Report Kwijibo November 10, 2009 9:26 PM GMT
I think 3 out of the 10/10 today at Not were favs aswell !
Report Kwijibo December 1, 2009 9:29 AM GMT
ttt
Report Kwijibo December 1, 2009 9:30 AM GMT
ttt
Report Kwijibo December 2, 2009 4:38 AM GMT
Stats from Day 1:

Have won 845 of 970 races which is 87.1% win rate


Started with £100
Current bank £750
Withdrawn £258.54

Grand total balance - £1008.54

Revised track stats:

1) Not (63/66 races) 95.4% win rate
2) Ox (66 of 70) 94.2%
3) She (113/125) 90.4%
4) Bel (18/20) 90%

5) Hal (92/105) 87.6%
6) Ho (105/121) 86.7%
7) Cra (69/80) 86.2%
8)Swi (42/49) 85.7%

9) Sun (62/73) 84.9%
10) Per (92/111) 82.8%
11)New (32/39) 82%
12)Rom (54/66) 81.8%
13)Kin (4/5) 80%

14)Mon (27/36) 75%


http://thedogsofkwijebo.blogspot.com/
Report Kwijibo December 4, 2009 8:00 AM GMT
Stats for day 43:

Won 32 from 36 races


Stats from Day 1:

Have won 877 from 1,006 races which is a 87.1% win rate


http://thedogsofkwijebo.blogspot.com/
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