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SPOT THE DOG
28 Oct 20 21:50
Joined:
Date Joined: 12 Jan 01
| Topic/replies: 4,501 | Blogger: SPOT THE DOG's blog
Bermuda

Denny McCarthy
Pat Perez
Rasmussen Hojgaard

Cyprus

Kristoffer Reitan
Benjamin Hebert
Sebastian Garcia Rodrigues

Good Luck all Spot
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Report loui October 29, 2020 8:59 AM GMT
Bermuda
Zalatoris
Mitchell
Grillo
Report bobweenit October 29, 2020 12:08 PM GMT
This Euro course is filthy. Not as filthy as Detrys putting but still.
Report therhino October 29, 2020 2:09 PM GMT
On the Malnati 1.01 express.
Report Total Bosman October 29, 2020 2:31 PM GMT
Amount of times I've chucked money at him at 1000s waiting for the rest of his game to match the putting, it would be typical if he runs away at a starting price I couldn't touch.
Report therhino October 29, 2020 3:02 PM GMT
In a rubbish field in the form he's in I thought 44s was obscenely good. But then I don't think I've ever backed him so don't have the scar tissue. Run away Pete.
Report Total Bosman October 29, 2020 3:15 PM GMT
Yeah, it was probably was a perfectly good price but like you say it's just the psychological hurdle of backing Malnati at 44. Have picked him up in play though so with you now.
Report Total Bosman October 29, 2020 3:51 PM GMT
Obviously comes a cropper on the easiest hole on the course.
Report Hank Hill October 29, 2020 4:00 PM GMT
Malnati is looking like a lower level Todd. Not getting wins, but certainly been very consistent this year. Some of those names up there, it's like it's 2010 again
Report Hank Hill October 29, 2020 4:01 PM GMT
rhino, TB, do you guys bet on the politics? prob going to be involved in about 20 markets come Tuesday!
Report Total Bosman October 29, 2020 4:12 PM GMT
I've got a small lay of Trump but I try to stay out of it, although I'm keeping a close eye on it for sure. The Next President market is bizarre, I know people don't trust polls but the lead they show for Biden 1.5+ looks enormous.
Report Hank Hill October 29, 2020 5:18 PM GMT
well, if it was decided on popular vote Biden would be a 1.1 shot, but as it's EC votes you have to be careful with polling in those states. 76k votes in 3 swing votes got Trump elected last time. I have a freebie on Biden. Don't want to tie my money up early but will hit the state markets hard Tue. I haven't seen Bermuda yet, is it a course worth watching?
Report Total Bosman October 29, 2020 5:27 PM GMT
Will be fun if it blows, that's for sure. Yeah, I'm mostly looking at state polling but the states Biden needs are showing significant and consistent leads, and with Trump gains unlikely he has so many paths to victory. Even if those polls are out by as much as they were in 16, Biden still has enough, so in fact the pollsters would have to have spent the last 4 years making their methods less accurate. Which is entirely possible, I guess but not super-likely. What state markets are catching your eye?
Report Hank Hill October 29, 2020 5:34 PM GMT
With my wife being from Texas I always follow their politics - polling I have seen has it now as a toss up state -Trump will probably squeak it but I think there is good value in a trade of Texas. Anything over 1.01 for Ca and NY is quite frankly ridiculous. I know a lot of people don't like backing low odds, but I've been seeing 1-04 which is crazy imo. I think you're right that pollsters may now be overplaying the Trump vote. What gets forgotten though, is that they really weren't off in the general polling. They just got the decisive swing States a bit wrong.
Report Total Bosman October 29, 2020 5:41 PM GMT
Texas could be very interesting, Dems certainly think it's in play, and if they weren't fairly confident of PA, MI, WI etc they surely wouldn't be wasting time sending Kamala there to try to run up the score. The "if the state polls are as wrong" numbers are here, says EVEN if you adjust the state polls for the level of error seen in 2016 Biden gets to 335. Obviously the polls may very well be more wrong than 2016, but it's a lot of wiggle room in a lot of states for Biden.

https://www.nytimes.com/live/2020/presidential-polls-trump-biden?campaign_id...
Report Total Bosman October 29, 2020 5:42 PM GMT
Agree about some of the short priced states, if you had the available funds to tie up (and some people in this market must do) I'm not sure why you wouldn't claim free money in the likes of Cali.
Report Hank Hill October 29, 2020 5:44 PM GMT
dunno if you have this TB but this is where I do a lot of my overall calculations https://www.cnn.com/election/2020/electoral-college-interactive-maps
Report Total Bosman October 29, 2020 5:56 PM GMT
Just had a play with it, shows how many paths to victory Biden has. You just have to hope any margin of victory is enough to stop Trump trying dirty tricks through the courts, market could be open a long time yet. My big decision is whether to spend election night at the computer with all the markets open or sit back and crack open the bourbon.
Report Hank Hill October 29, 2020 6:04 PM GMT
just don't do both Laugh
Report Total Bosman October 29, 2020 6:09 PM GMT
Done it before and lived to tell the tale, but a bit older and wiser now (probably).
Report jedi sophie October 30, 2020 9:14 AM GMT
Big Sami pedal down....ExcitedLaugh
Report jedi sophie October 30, 2020 9:14 AM GMT
Andy Sulli not as yet.

Small interest Horsey so nice to see him get up there.
Report Total Bosman October 30, 2020 1:16 PM GMT
Shame we're not getting much coverage of Bermuda, wind making things a bit more interesting. Stenson and Varner having mares on the back 9.
Report Total Bosman October 30, 2020 1:51 PM GMT
Looks like Henrik's chucked it at the turn!
Report bobweenit November 1, 2020 8:45 AM GMT
Are you mugs looking forward to a sunday shootout at Aphrodite hills
Report bobweenit November 1, 2020 8:47 AM GMT
If you like Xxx filth you should be...
Report bobweenit November 1, 2020 8:48 AM GMT
Nice early start so we can refresh before Bermo0000da.
Report bobweenit November 1, 2020 8:51 AM GMT
A solid 7 under from any of the 13 and 12 under should get it done
Report bobweenit November 1, 2020 9:30 AM GMT
Nice start to my screen. The bottling Belgian who started fav pre round already played vimself o000ut haha
Report bobweenit November 1, 2020 9:40 AM GMT
Poor mo00gs backing him didnt get much of a run
Report bobweenit November 1, 2020 9:40 AM GMT
Doubled the par5 thirdExcitedLaughLaugh
Report bobweenit November 1, 2020 9:42 AM GMT
The first bit of filth landed now bring on the rest of tbe filthy Euro mug show.
Report bobweenit November 1, 2020 9:43 AM GMT
Donaldson a big lay. Top player in is day vut he will choke here soon.
Report bobweenit November 1, 2020 9:44 AM GMT
Big Sami looks the danger
Report bobweenit November 1, 2020 10:30 AM GMT
Seems a good guy so i wont go hard. Second filth landed. Dd blows up with a double
Report par November 1, 2020 10:32 AM GMT
Double D showing why he will never win out there
Report rommel November 1, 2020 10:56 AM GMT
armitage looks/sounds like  a bit of a lager lout
Report frames November 1, 2020 11:04 AM GMT
Why the fukc they chat to Barter mid round baffles me  the odd one birdies and boy do they tell us about it.Armitage just stood for it,Mcevoy had a chat walking the 9th fairway yesterday.He then 4 putted from 15ft for double.
Report frames November 1, 2020 11:24 AM GMT
3/1 out to 33's in a hole and a half since the cosy chat.Sharma stood for it earlier.
Report rommel November 1, 2020 11:26 AM GMT
sure wouldnt want my train of thought interrupted
Report frames November 1, 2020 11:40 AM GMT
A putting clinic from Sami.
Report frames November 1, 2020 12:56 PM GMT
Wow.
Report bobweenit November 1, 2020 12:58 PM GMT
Quality from Callum. A back door run was his best chance of getting a win but fair play.
Report rommel November 1, 2020 1:37 PM GMT
callllllllll it,shink or sam?
Report rommel November 1, 2020 1:39 PM GMT
on the shink wrap
Report Deplasterer November 1, 2020 1:49 PM GMT
Wind must have died substantially in Bermuda, Mccarthy and Pod ripping it up early.
Report rommel November 1, 2020 1:59 PM GMT
wd cs
Report Hank Hill November 1, 2020 6:22 PM GMT
Clark mugging it or Gay playing well?
Report Total Bosman November 1, 2020 6:28 PM GMT
Gay also somewhat mugging 16, but you'd think one of them has to win.
Report Total Bosman November 1, 2020 6:45 PM GMT
Now that is a shot.
Report oneday69 November 1, 2020 6:48 PM GMT
It was all going so well but had to bail out could go either way.
Report oneday69 November 1, 2020 6:56 PM GMT
what a chance for first win.
Report oneday69 November 1, 2020 6:56 PM GMT
what a chance for first win.
Report oneday69 November 1, 2020 7:01 PM GMT
shame
Report therhino November 1, 2020 7:50 PM GMT
Cink, Laird and Gay win within a few weeks of one another. What year is it again?
Report Hank Hill November 1, 2020 7:55 PM GMT
I wish it was about a decade ago rhino Sad
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