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Thommo
08 Apr 18 09:53
Joined:
Date Joined: 05 Apr 04
| Topic/replies: 40 | Blogger: Thommo's blog
I was expecting it yesterday......but will be wilt under the Rory pressure?

I think it more likely that Rory will fall away
Pause Switch to Standard View Can Reed hold on?
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Report xmoneyx April 8, 2018 10:27 AM BST
@jacknicklaus
·
It should be a very interesting Sunday at @TheMasters. If @PReedGolf were to win, he’s got three really good players on his tail. The three Rs: Rory, Rickie and Rahm.
Report crepello April 8, 2018 11:53 AM BST
After yesterday's low scoring I think it is highly likely that the course will be set up tough today - fewer easy pins ....

Might be more difficult to come from behind - will Rory press too much?
Report Junction25 April 8, 2018 12:31 PM BST
in the last 17 Tournaments the leader of round 3 has only gone to  won the Masters 3 times . (Tiger Woods twice  and Phil Mickelson) History is saying Reed is likely going to go on to win .Time will tell later tonight
Report THEMONEYSHOT April 8, 2018 12:51 PM BST
"The eventual champ has come out of the final Sunday pairing 22 out of the last 27 years, with Zach Johnson (2007), Charl Schwartzel (2011), Bubba Watson (2012), Adam Scott (2013) and Danny Willett (2016) the exceptions."

"The third-round leader/co-leader has gone on to win the Masters 44 out of 81 times"

Interesting.
Report FredRescue April 8, 2018 1:24 PM BST
It is more interesting to know how many 3rd round leaders with a 3 shot lead have won imo
Report THEMONEYSHOT April 8, 2018 1:55 PM BST

Apr 8, 2018 -- 7:24AM, FredRescue wrote:


It is more interesting to know how many 3rd round leaders with a 3 shot lead have won imo


In the last ten years once(I think) Jordan Spieth 2016 3 shots clear after round 3 had a meltdown and came second.

Okay, fair enough, love you Freddy-boy ?

Report THEMONEYSHOT April 8, 2018 2:15 PM BST
Cheeky bonus seeing as it's Sunday:

Since 2000

2003 Weir: won via a play-off
2004 Phil:  won by 1 shot
2005  Tiger: won via a play-off
2016 Spieth: second

Good luck all involved. Cool
Report nellie1970 April 8, 2018 2:41 PM BST
xxl green jacket will be the order of the day as fat pat strolls to victory.no meltdown from the fatboy todayWink
Report crepello April 8, 2018 3:10 PM BST
Hope you are right nellie .....
Report ashleigh April 8, 2018 3:28 PM BST
hope so, backed him at 28/1 after rd 1, don't think he will bottle it, will take a very good round from someone to beat him.Excited
Report kincsem April 8, 2018 3:36 PM BST
Joined: 10 Jan 16 | Topic/replies: 326 | Blogger: Junction25's blog
in the last 17 Tournaments the leader of round 3 has only gone to  won the Masters 3 times . (Tiger Woods twice  and Phil Mickelson) History is saying Reed is likely going to go on to win .Time will tell later tonight


But if you look at masters.com it shows that they won 10 times (from the last 17).
When you say "last 17 tournaments" are you talking about the Masters?
I would not expect the leader after three rounds of a web.com tournament to win the Masters.
Report kincsem April 8, 2018 3:41 PM BST
In 45 of 81 tournaments the leader at 54 holes has won.
Report kincsem April 8, 2018 3:45 PM BST
The 36 winners who were not leading at 54 holes
This is how far they were behind

shots ... players
1    11
2    7
3    7
4    5
5    1
6    3
7    1
8    1
Report kincsem April 8, 2018 3:49 PM BST
The players who came for far back at 54 holes to win

year .......Player ......shots behind
1956    Jack Burke  ...... 8
1978    Gary Player ......7
1996    Nick Faldo ........6
1959    Art Wall.............6
1979    Fuzzy Zoeller    .....6
1989    Nick Faldo..........5

Ed Sneed bogied the last three holes when Zoeller won in a three way playoff
Report Junction25 April 8, 2018 6:41 PM BST

Apr 8, 2018 -- 9:36AM, kincsem wrote:


Joined: 10 Jan 16 | Topic/replies: 326 | Blogger: Junction25's blogin the last 17 Tournaments the leader of round 3 has only gone to  won the Masters 3 times . (Tiger Woods twice  and Phil Mickelson) History is saying Reed is likely going to go on to win .Time will tell later tonightBut if you look at masters.com it shows that they won 10 times (from the last 17).When you say "last 17 tournaments" are you talking about the Masters?I would not expect the leader after three rounds of a web.com tournament to win the Masters.


Sorry I was meaning the winner of Round three only

Report Junction25 April 8, 2018 6:50 PM BST

Apr 8, 2018 -- 9:45AM, kincsem wrote:


The 36 winners who were not leading at 54 holesThis is how far they were behindshots ... players1    112    73    74    55    16    37    18    1


Great Stats -so looking at the info he has got 22% chance of winning the Masters .If you look at BF odds Rory is 33% chance of winning therefore is odds are too short which mean should be laying the guy (should be 5s)

Report SlippyBlue April 8, 2018 8:19 PM BST
Rory will struggle to save par from there.
Report Catch Me ifyoucan April 3, 2019 9:20 PM BST
The question in 2019 is "CAN HE DEFEND" ???

pandora1963 09 Apr 18 22:56
what a big girls blouse that reed - looks and sounds like a big girl, luckiest guy to win a major, that shot on 17 was going off the green
Report Catch Me ifyoucan April 9, 2019 8:21 PM BST
CAN REED HOLD ON...….. to his Green Jacket ?

http://www.augusta.com/masters/story/news/2019-04-09/patrick-reed-hopes-join-exclusive-club-back-back-masters-wins

...and join the MASTERS back-to-back Club - Nicklaus, Faldo & Tiger. Devil
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