Who would you totally rule out, or lay your house against.  I don't mean the 1000/1 shots, but of those in, say, the top 20-25 of the betting, who do you think hasn't got a cat's chance in hell due to the course/form/temperament etc???

well picked my starting team, have followed a kinda stat focusing on their top tens this year, over the last 4 years, the top 5 have practically all had multiple top tens in that season and with it only april i thought it stood out

2014 - winner bubba 4 top tens - 2nd speith 3TT -4th Jimenez 2TT - 5th Kucher 4TT
2013 - winner Scott 2tt - 2nd cabrera 0tt 3rd day 2tt - 4th woods 3tt - 5th sneds 4tt
2012 - winner bubba 3tt - 2nd oousty 3tt - 3rd - micleson and westy both 3tt
2011 - winner schartzel - 4tt - next 4 had 1 each

with this in mind i'm going for all the players with 4 top tens or more there's 8 of em...

speith 12/1
j.walker 22/1
d.johnson 18/1
B.watson 12/1
matsuyama 80/1
s.m.bae 400/1
snedeker 50/1
b.weisberger 300/1

posted earlier i have a few 1000 shots and B.Martin at 700+ which is still huge imo


Good luck all - i'll post my B team friday lol

Danno
Who would you totally rule out, or lay your house against.  I don't mean the 1000/1 shots, but of those in, say, the top 20-25 of the betting, who do you think hasn't got a cat's chance in hell due to the course/form/temperament etc???
I would say Rory McIlroy.  He goes best on a soft, slow course and windless conditions.
There is a nice gusty breeze forecast most days, and the rain forecast is iffy (might be thunderstorms, might be nothing).  He isn't a battler.  He either wins easily, or he doesn't want to know.

This is getting ridiculous
http://www.pgatour.com/style-report/2015/04/07/golf-style-insider-masters-apparel-scripts-augusta-national.html
... but is saved by the Time Herron collection (down at the end).

FFS

Day...why is odds is so low is a mystery.

Can't comment on the wind but surely the more it rains the more it suits the longer hitters I
I.e. Rory

Anyone know if weather suits early/late starters or is weather good for
the four days

Day...why is odds is so low is a mystery.


Hardly a 'mystery' IMO. Excellent course form and probably in the best form he's ever been coming into the event. What price do you think he should be?

Been having a look thru the other markets and think there is some good value bets especially coupling a few which are extra good as they will last the full 4 days and are likely going to be tight. nip tuck all the way.
Here's my Best Bet's...

TOP ENGLISH (6 runners laying 3 of them creating  a 3 v 3 versus match)
(laying these three )       (my runners)
Rose/poulter/westwood  V   willet/casey/donald

Roughly odds are 1.5 when coupled - seens you have the only two people showing any form laying odds on seems a snip

TOP DUBUTANT - LAY KOEPKA @ 4/1! - He's had an injury alongside showing no for his last four outing, can't fathom this one, up against 18 other runners, 13 of which have a live chance of beating him imo.

TOP SENIOR - LAY JIMENEZ AND fRED COUPLES (Evens)- I'm laying just under even money and have v'jay, langer, o'meara + 5 others onside

TOP US - LAY SPEITH, BUBBA AND D.JOHNSON coupled 2/1 ish and you have a hell of a list of runners - walker/phi M/reed/kuch/sneds/fowler/woods + many many more!!

TOP CONT EUROPE - LAY STENSON AND GARCIA - Again around even money the lay but you have a nice mix of golfers onside  - kaymer/dubuison/weisberger/luiten + some other proven winners, shading odds on it's a must for me.

TOP IRISH - LAY RORY @ 1.4 - Worthy fav but if the win looks out of reach early he could get complacent and i have couple of good golfers onside, lowry/harrington/G'mac.

Again like others I fancy Day strongly! Fits the bill perfectly - from his interview the other day he seemed extremely confident and open about it which to be I like to see. He doesn't beat around the bush, he's realistic and knows he has a very good chance. Just hope the course doesn't play into Rory's hands with the rain etc. Stenson is the worst value out of everyone. A Bubba repeat is unlikely but not out of the question. Think Scott will go well, have my reservations about Speith (After all his exertions over the last few months it may be burn out time). Jimmy walker could be a dark horse.

Westwood and Senden for me so far. Main bet is Todd for top debutant but he has drifted alarmingly today. Any chance of posting your picks Ski-Wiz or should we wait for Sunday evening again?

Steve Stricker @ 380!!!

this to me is one of the biggest overpricing i think i've ever seen, yes he is playing less now and in the long run will dull his game but as far as i see, It has'nt yet! and two top tens last year and two top tens at augusta = I'm lumping on with a veiw to taking stake back, @ around 200 i think

how dry can the sub-air system actually make the greens?

from what I'm reading it can totally dry them out in a few hours.  add a bit of wind and soft fairways making the course play longer and maybe conditions will be tougher than people realise?

£10 on Ousthuizen at 65/1, £10 on Speith at 12/1 and £5 on Ryan Moore at 120/1

luiten top 20: 6/1

Kuchar: 45

Billy Horschel outright
Olazabal top spaniard

conundrum within an enigma 2 find the victor
don't fancy any of the bigged up faves
don't normally like those who are f*cking about with different putters BUT
cometh the hour cometh the man
step forward A Scott..horses for courses..my main bet..shouldn't be a million miles away come Sun pm
lesser interests on Oosty(been showing flashes of form,is his back ok?..who knows..class act,nearly won it the other year)
Palmer,Koepka,Moore,V Dub,Haas,Kirk,Grace,C Hoff & big Berndt
GL to all

gotta love this time of year. Gl all.

main bets:
jimmy walker
zach johnson
fred couples
jason day
---------------
(smallbet)
billy horshel
russell henley
ernie eels
tiger

im excited

couple of 1st round leader punts

Miguel Angel Jimenez
90
Ryan Palmer
70
Morgan Hoffmann
130

Added

Phil Mickelson
Ernie Els
Paul Casey
Russell Henley