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toberaheena
13 Apr 14 00:32
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Date Joined: 01 May 04
| Topic/replies: 2,642 | Blogger: toberaheena's blog
Just to start the ball rolling, there has just been a bet of €20,000 on Kuch at 5.9 and 5.8. Fancy that price will go back to 6.00 tomorrow morning. Kuchar has cost a lot of punters some big bucks this year. Hard to forget a burnt pocket.

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By:
HeinzGuderian
When: 13 Apr 14 00:35
Any runners still in contention Tob ?
By:
toberaheena
When: 13 Apr 14 00:42
All good green bar very red Bubba. Can trade out for most of it but my instinct tells me to stand it. I could have moved at 5.3 and decided not to.
By:
toberaheena
When: 13 Apr 14 00:46
@ Heinz...If you are in the mood you could lay Kuch now and back him back in the morning for better. Take a small profit then and/or keep him onside. I laid him just to get me level on him at 5.9 and have put in a back price of 6.2.
By:
HeinzGuderian
When: 13 Apr 14 00:50
So, in my search for the winner this year, I am going to look for the players who have a good game from 100 yards out. Wedges, chipping and putting will be the qualities I will be looking at. Phil is a master at this art so must be considered. Bowdich gave an exhibition 2 weeks ago in winning for the 1st time on tour and must be respected. Rory is probably my idea of the winner if he can keep playing to his present level, he could turn this into a rout. 12.00 on Betfair looks a solid offer.


All good here then Tob ?

As green as green can be , for an Orange Man, my friend ! Cool
By:
ladycarla
When: 13 Apr 14 00:53
Bubba's driving is insane, could easily pick up 4 shots at the par 5's, fancy him strongly to get another eagle.
By:
toberaheena
When: 13 Apr 14 01:56
@Heinz... isnt it good to see Bowditch making the cut. We did not see any of his game this week but it looks like he will be around for a while. I am stuck with a nice green on Rory but have written it off. The rest is just good trading, as long as Bubba does not get some overnight therapy that will relax him tomorrow. I think the occasion is just too much, judging on round 3.
By:
toberaheena
When: 13 Apr 14 01:59
Stayed up to watch Manny Pacquio win. He has been a cash machine for me since he started boxing. First I ever saw of him was on tv while staying in a hotel in Manila. He is quite the national hero over there for many years.5/4 to win on points may be ok because of the €25 refund if there is a knockout.
By:
sideshowbob
When: 13 Apr 14 02:50
Lots in with a chance, but i think it's likely to be Bubba or Kuchar.

better than evens dutching those 2, i would rather back that than lay it.
most of the other evens or better guys, its hard to imagine them winning it.
By:
happyhibee
When: 13 Apr 14 09:27
I've got a feeling Kuchar will lead going into the back 9 and will then get wet on one of 11,12 or 13. Then probably **** it in the drink at 15 as well and have a goofy grin on his face
By:
kincsem
When: 13 Apr 14 10:44
History says it will be the two final groups, but its so tight it could be very exciting.
I'm green the field, slightly better for two contenders, and big green a player on -1.
By:
hitmanhearn
When: 13 Apr 14 10:53
I couldn't back Kuchar with stolen money.Bottle job ... Nice greens on Westwood and the Blickster.
By:
padlock
When: 13 Apr 14 10:58
im seething i greened out,had big green on spieth,blixt,fowler and wwood,greened out when blixt hit water on 11 Crazy
By:
johnnythebull
When: 13 Apr 14 11:04
i know he's as soft as putty but
Kuchar will never have a better chance 2 grab a major
it's not as if those around him
are those u'd want in the trenches with u
bubba should've p***d this
will be impressed if he can do it after y'day's pretty abject 'performance'
as it happens i backed Bubba from the get go
but laid him off b4 the 3rd round
& laid again in play so i'm green 4 a few bob on everyone
IF i don't get involved again 2day & screw things up
which i've got plenty of previous 4
so,as a neutral would like Rickie 2 win it
he's a cool guy
but have my doubts he CAN do it
at the end of the day smn's going 2 fall over the line
now Senden & Bjorn have dropped off the pave a bit
one or either could go low & post a score
have a feeling the winning score won't be 2 unadjacent 2 what it is now
By:
xmoneyx
When: 13 Apr 14 11:40
two players

senden + £190
jiminez + £2.5k
blix + £30
fowler + £30

field - £100

will be awesome viewing back 9 ExcitedCool
By:
xmoneyx
When: 13 Apr 14 11:41
added blix,fowler
By:
Merlin7
When: 13 Apr 14 11:44
I was going drink 1/2 a glass of whiskey every time Blixt gets a birdie tonight but he might get 7 and i will be too drunk to see him win. So i will be going for the safer option of 1/2 a glass every time he hits a fairway and see him win sober.
By:
cufcno1
When: 13 Apr 14 12:03
watson,kuchar,jiminez,fowler and a couple of others all bottlers,backed jiminez for a few quid but always falls away,there will be carnage on the back 9 thats for sure !
By:
DickTurpin
When: 13 Apr 14 12:34
Spieth = £730

Scott = -£115
McIlroy = -£110

The Rest = £15

Lost £60 on Mickelson, Zach J, Every and McDowell

Prob shift more green onto Watson and Blixt...........
By:
Ski-Wiz
When: 13 Apr 14 12:45
Adam Scott   No chance (NC)
Bubba Watson   Brilliant chance but equally brilliant at throwing it away.
Rory McIlroy   NC
Louis Oosthuizen  NC
Brandt Snedeker  NC
Jamie Donaldson   NC
Matt Kuchar   Brilliant chance to win this and not leading. Could pounce at the right and last moment like Matt Jones did.
Jordan Spieth   Brilliant chance to be the first debutant since 1979 and youngest winner, the pressure may become unbearable.
Henrik Stenson  NC
Lee Westwood   Outside chance (out of respect) but i know he has NC
Jason Day   NC
Jonas Blixt   Brilliant chance if he improves his fairways hit, currently 54% is low. Debutant.
Miguel Angel Jimenez  Good chance, playing solidly with 93% fairways hit. Could be the oldest winner.
Justin Rose  NC
Jim Furyk  Outside chance.
Thorbjorn Olesen   NC
Russell Henley   NC
Stewart Cink   NC
Steven Bowditch  NC
Billy Horschel  NC
Kevin Stadler  NC
Gary Woodland  NC
John Senden  NC

Could green up for £538....but i am not going to.

Field £100.

Fowler and Bjorn, do yourselves a favour and bugger off.
By:
Merlin7
When: 13 Apr 14 12:46
Yesterday 2 of the early starters Fowler and Jiminez managed to get within 2 shots. With a winning Score being anything from -4 to -8 it would be fair to assume that someone currently +1 or +2 even +3 may "Do a Woodland" and get close to the lead as the leaders struggle on the tough front nine.

But Who?

+1 Streelman 560
+1 Scott 95
+2 Day 220
+2 Kirk 840
+2 Stricker 790
+2 Fdez-Castano 950
+2 Henley 750
+2 Walker 450
+3 Mcilroy 340
+3 Langer 1000
+3 Donaldson 1000
+3 Oosterhuizen 1000
+3 Stenson 740

Current prices.

Bold My Back to Lays.
By:
Ski-Wiz
When: 13 Apr 14 12:49
"Do a Woodland" could do it again......then i'll lay off my greens.Wink
By:
Hull city
When: 13 Apr 14 13:05
just a heads up for any1 backing fowler

13 in the win market - much better value imo to back him TOP US player @ 11

take - blixt-jiminez-westwood-bjorn-rose and senden out of the running.

im already on Wink
By:
bannahan
When: 13 Apr 14 13:06
Ski....

"Justin Rose no chance"


Really? !
By:
Ski-Wiz
When: 13 Apr 14 13:34

Apr 13, 2014 -- 7:06AM, bannahan wrote:


Ski...."Justin Rose no chance"Really? !


One of the top 4 will get -3 or more, reaching -7 or -8 minimum. Rose would need to get a round of -6 or 7 minimum, can't see him doing that.

By:
Merlin7
When: 13 Apr 14 13:42
How many leaders have shot -3 this year in normal PGA Tour events this year on courses a lot easier with a lot less pressure.

Most leaders have in fact shot Over Par in their final round.
By:
Ski-Wiz
When: 13 Apr 14 13:43
yyyyyyyyyyyyyyeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeessssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssss

Liverpool 1 - Man City 0
By:
Ski-Wiz
When: 13 Apr 14 13:55

Apr 13, 2014 -- 7:42AM, Merlin7 wrote:


How many leaders have shot -3 this year in normal PGA Tour events this year on courses a lot easier with a lot less pressure.Most leaders have in fact shot Over Par in their final round.


A quick look.....about 80% of the time someone in the top 4 had -3 or more.

By:
Merlin7
When: 13 Apr 14 14:02
Number of Leaders or those 1 off the lead to shoot -3 or better (and courses please this season).
By:
Ski-Wiz
When: 13 Apr 14 14:05

Apr 13, 2014 -- 8:02AM, Merlin7 wrote:


Number of Leaders or those 1 off the lead to shoot -3 or better (and courses please this season).


That is a different criteria to 'One of the top 4 will get -3 or more'.

By:
Ski-Wiz
When: 13 Apr 14 14:07
2 - 0
By:
Merlin7
When: 13 Apr 14 14:11
Ok. How often is the leading Score on Round 3 increased by 3 or more after the final round ?
By:
Ski-Wiz
When: 13 Apr 14 14:13

Apr 13, 2014 -- 8:11AM, Merlin7 wrote:


Ok. How often is the leading Score on Round 3 increased by 3 or more after the final round ?


Again a different question, haven't time to check that as watching the football.

By:
Merlin7
When: 13 Apr 14 14:27
I just think -6 will easily be good enough to win this with the likelyhood of -5/-4 being playoff territory. Just my opinion. In which case it gives a lot of players a chance even Woodland !
By:
Ski-Wiz
When: 13 Apr 14 14:27
From 2003 (can't be arsed to go back to the 1st Master, 10 years data is sufficient), 1 or more got -3 or more....2008 no one got under par except Jimenez but he was too far behind.
By:
SamH_123
When: 13 Apr 14 14:28
difference between 3rd round leader (to par) and winning score over the last decade: (2013) -2, -1, -2, -4, -1, +3, -1, -3, -1, -3, -2 (2003).
However, a -5 leading score after 3 rounds is much worse than average (3rd round leading scores in past years: -7, -9, -12, -12, -11, -11, +2, -4), and there's some wind forecast for today.  I reckon -5 - -6 is a fair spread for winning score
By:
SamH_123
When: 13 Apr 14 14:30
pin positions for today https://twitter.com/GolfMonthly/status/455320122421284864/photo/1, quite standard for a Sunday I think, some easy ones there
By:
Catch Me ifyoucan
When: 13 Apr 14 14:38
**#** MASTERS 2014 GOLF COMPETITION **#** over on the OIRISH FORUM



Please feel free to enter !!!
By:
Ski-Wiz
When: 13 Apr 14 14:43

Apr 13, 2014 -- 8:38AM, Catch Me ifyoucan wrote:


**#** MASTERS 2014 GOLF COMPETITION **#** over on the OIRISH FORUMPlease feel free to enter !!!


link?

By:
xmoneyx
When: 13 Apr 14 15:01
can I join last group 18th hole
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