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Scott's price is a surprise to me but this is an excellent field. Rose looks short considering he did nothing at the match play, but I guess course form is trumping current form in his case.
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Scott price is sexy alright Miss. Same price as Charl? Please.
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Short and sweet this week as I've been laid low with a viral infection. Good luck with all selections
![]() ![]() Honda Classic G McDowell 25/1 B Horschel 66/1 P Reed 66/1 T Bjorn 125/1 http://greatgolfballsoffire.wordpress.com/ | ||||
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Justin rose WD
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am looking for bit of value as think those at top of market bit short........
my one bet this week is billy horshel. played well in accenture taking his match to the 22nd hole aginst Day....Last year on this course he shot a 66/67 the first two days shooting an 81 on the sat says this course suits him and he had a 3rd place last year in the us open at merrion.......75s here with a eway double with fleetwood i SA GD LUCK WIT UR WEEKENDS PUNTING | ||||
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A top class field arrives at the PGA National for the start of the Florida swing but despite being a top heavy field there is still plenty of value to be had with outsiders. Last years winner Michael Thompson was matched @ 1000 on Betfair before the start not to mention Ogilvy 2nd, Guthrie 3rd and Lynn, Compton and Glover all tied 4th. The year before that Gillis was 2nd and wins from Sabbatini and Yang were hardly expected. It is the toughest courses they play outside of Majors and those players with a good US Open record - usually played on a tough par 70 fare well as do those who have good PGA Championship records. I have gone for five big priced outsiders to trouble the favourites who in my opinion are all worth opposing on grounds of rustiness or lack of or indeed poor course form.
It should come as no surprise on a tough course that good ballstrikers perform well and in this weeks field Will Mackenzie ranks 2nd in that category over the last year. He has been in a consistent run of form since getting his PGA tour card back and returns to the Honda Classic for the first time since 2010 and in his last two starts here he was 12th and 5th. He lives very close to the course and plays it regularly so will be more at home than he has been in events so far this year 0.25 ew 125/1 Picking Jeff Overton may come as a bit of a surprise but he seems to be able to play tough courses well year in year out. He has two top tens here in 2009 and 2011 and also a pair of top tens at Southwind, Las Colinas and Aronimink which are always at the top of the tough course list. He also managed his second top 10 of his career at Waialae this year which is another breezy par 70 course where most winners of this week have a good record. I think he is one of those players that will always struggle to win - hence the top ten bet as well as he has a 13% strike rate in that category 0.15 ew 150/1 + 0.7 top ten 12/1 Geoff Ogilvy came 2nd here last year totally out of the blue as he was in poor form at the time whereas this year he has at least had a slightly better West Coast swing but he admits he is much happier playing in Florida. He has won at Doral before and his record in this event is actually top class - last years 2nd was actaully the third time he has occupied that position having been 2nd at both Heron Bay and Mirasol. We can safely say as a US Open winner he plays tough courses well so expect him to be up there again this week 0.3 ew 125/1 6 places I picked George McNeill in running in his last start in California when he finished 6th so he has obviously shaken off the broken collarbone injury which has meant a slow start to his season. The Florida native is desperate for a win in his home state as he has three 2nd place finishes so far and whilst his course form is not top drawer I am prepared to have a small bet at the price 0.1 ew 200/1 Last man up is David Lynn who has an excellent record in the limited number of PGA tour starts he has had. In fact he has had just 22 starts and has a 4th here and a pair of seconds at Kiawah Island in the PGA Championship and at Quail Hollow - all tough venues. It took him a long time to gain his second European tour win and to be honest I struggle to envisage a win here but with his top five strike rate he is worth a bet in that market 0.2 30/1 and I like the top European market for him 0.3 ew 40/1 | ||||
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Best Bet this week Russell Knox 250+ ,looks one to follow on the tougher tracks this season judged on his top 10 at Torrey Pines.
Lee Westwood 70 looked the winner after 36 holes here last year before fading,looks a worthwhile bet at relatively big odds. Some players that can be quick out of the blocks Brian Harman 80/1 Chris Kirk 60/1 and David Hearn 250/1 are my ew bets for the 1st Round lead. | ||||
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Great to see Overton get a mention
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Spreading the love again.
Tiger +55 Rory +55 Scott +20 GMac +380 Matsuyama +715 Keegan +770 Watney +950 Palmer +160 Noh +1730 Knox +285 Sabbatini +1800 Van Pelt +2190 Holmes +180 Field -100 | ||||
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xmoneyx 25 Feb 14 09:55
Scott double the price of woods should be other way around Scott age 33 PGA tour wins 10 Woods age 37 PGA tour wins 79 | ||||
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Mickelson 27
Schwartzel 24 Bradley 34 Horschel 65 Good luck! | ||||
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Please help, I'm really confused! Yesterday on Twitter several people had said that Brian Gay had withdrawn from the Honda Classic. If they'd had said he may withdraw that would've been different, but it sounded very definite. So for this reason I didn't back him, and I wondered why he was still on the list? So it looks like he's playing now???
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Stenson
Harman Jacobsen Mannessero | ||||
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According to his caddy Gay has W/D so that seems pretty official.
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Thanks TB. Maybe he said it to boost the odds on Betfair!
![]() Surely he's playing now, there's only about half an hour to go??? I just wish I'd had taken the 620 on him last night. | ||||
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Gay is not playing.
Don't be swayed by the fact that Betfair are inept at managing the markets. | ||||
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Been replaced on the leaderboard by Van Aswegen. Still listed with a tee time on the shiny new PGA Tour site, so that's probably why not replaced in the market yet.
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on Harman and Tringale again!
still smarting from two week back when on the start of sunday's back nine Tringale was one off the lead and Harman was tied for it,could of greened up with 3K in my pocket but just couldn't do it with Tringale 7K and Harman 15K if either won,gutted!! ![]()
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I guess that's Zach done.
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jesus christ when did they change the leaderboard on the pga tour website, looks so bad now
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Sportsbook not updating prices????
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The invisible Brian Gay isn't doing too well!
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Fair play to Zach, as far as level par back nines go that's a pretty impressive one.
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Rory McIlroy
Tiger Woods Adam Scott Sergio Garcia Phil Mickelson Lee Westwood Luke Donald For now. | ||||
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Take it we all got on the Luke / Zach threeball double after two holes, yeah?
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Where is shot tracker?
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Goilf channel showing the eurotour instead of Rory and scott
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Shot tracker works fine.
That's the only decent part of the site that is still fine. | ||||
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Do you have the link maggot?
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http://pgatour.cbssports.com/live/
Works well as before it didn't if you were in the 'wrong' country. | ||||
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Phil can't be arsed today.
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bit tight for phil around here
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Food for thought - last three times Rory has led/co-led after rd 1 he has finished 6th, 9th and 10th
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This track is like two different courses depending which side you start on- coming in off the range early in the morning the back 9 is a brutal place to start, far harder than coming in off 9 holes of momentum I reckon. Of course, we saw that last year with Rory, who had the early off 10 tee time on the Friday and we all know what happened. Not saying anything quite like that will happen again, but it'll be on his mind a lot more this morning than yesterday- and there are still doubts about his mental rigidity when things start to go wrong. I'm not saying he's a mega-lay at the price (he's a great player and great players can do anything), but he'll be facing a much tougher task this morning for sure, and when shots can go so quickly on the back 9 it's tough to make the case to back 2/1. Going to be a very interesting round.
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very good call bosman
will rory recover on the front nine | ||||
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I wonder if Westwood will revert to type and play a shocker this round?
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I cursed scott
two DBs already ![]() | ||||
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front 9 -5
back 9 +4 scott did play back 9 first so decent fightback |