Feb 28, 2018 -- 11:17AM, aye robot wrote:
what the hell, I'm just another two-quidder. What harm can it do?None at all if that's the case. Good luck, I hope you succeed.
Don't we all mate, don't we all.
Aug 12, 2020 -- 3:44AM, ericster wrote:
Mr.H, I might just go check that book out. I'm curious and it could be an interesting read.
Feb 21, 2018 -- 6:18AM, aye robot wrote:
If you made £15k last year then you've a realistic chance of making £20k this year, but if you lost last year you'll probably lose this year too. If you're not a lifetime winner then forget 20k and just try to make more than zero - or better yet forget about making a profit, bet for fun and do something else for money. If you're not certain whether you're a lifetime winner or not then you're not. If you were you would know. Here's a truth that many would rather not acknowledge: It's NOT about discipline. People like to blame discipline for their losses because it's something they feel they could change but if you're getting value bets the issue just doesn't arise. Discipline is a problem for LOSING gamblers - not winning ones. Nobody 'chases' wins. You don't lose because of indiscipline, you lose because you didn't get value, then you make it worse by indiscipline. If your records are showing profits then losses are a bit annoying but they don't cause silly behaviour.Only a vanishingly small minority of players ever make returns similar to working and they all have specialist skills, knowledge or access. Sticking at it isn't enough, going full time isn't enough and having a large bank just means losing more. If you can't make a profit in your spare time with a little bit of money then you're not going to make it. If you can - that's great, now build up slowly and don't imagine that you can scale your winnings just by scaling your bank - it doesn't work like that.
I like your tone ayrob, I'm just a two-quiding dreamer with high hopes and no, size doesn't matter but in spite of what you guys say, my DOWNFALL right now IS indiscipline. Once again, I'm on a losing run from bets that I shouldn't have gone anywhere near , now I kick my arz, grit my teeth, stick to what I consider to be the absolute screamers, and I SHALL recover, resolving once more to stick to what fits the brief.
This time, I swear to myself, this time.
Oct 5, 2020 -- 10:25AM, betting_masta wrote:
the basic thinking with football markets (match odds, over/under) is that the opening line is almost close to perfect, in which case if you are betting those pre-match odds you will probably break-even even with the best strategy in the world. a bit of tinkering can give you a certain % of an edge (either way!) so it's folly to think you can bet into those markets pre-game and take a profit. any amount of back-fitting won't help you, in fact it will only give you false confidence which will wreck your head when it doesn't do what you think it's supposed to do. even the best are only going to eek out a few % in terms of profit
This is a crucial point.
the basic thinking with football markets (match odds, over/under) is that the opening line is almost close to perfect, in which case if you are betting those pre-match odds you will probably break-even even with the best strategy in the world
You need to look for a sport/ betting medium where the initial odds are not perfect, the less perfect the better.