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have bots destroyed betfair?

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Replies: 352
By:
brendanuk1
When: 26 Sep 11 13:30
Did they tell your algorithms and if you were a trader?

to stoopid this, im oot
By:
Beat The OverRound
When: 26 Sep 11 13:33
So assume that they don't know then.
How do they calculate API transaction charges?

Some bloke in Malta takes a wild stab?
By:
Feck N. Eejit
When: 26 Sep 11 13:34
Sadly no you werent, because betfair wouldnt know either.

Now you know what I was and wasn't told and that (if I was) the guy was lying.


Didnt make any implications about anything. Escappee said volumes were down when bots were off the site, was looking for explaination.

You pasted Escapee's volume figures in response to a post that stated that liquidity would still be there without traders.
By:
brendanuk1
When: 26 Sep 11 13:37
last post. Of course they know your trades [smiley:crazy]

The big liquidity providers (and I'm not talking traders) employ bots.

Betfair wouldnt be interested (or could tell) in if your a traders or not, only feck is interested in this
By:
CLYDEBANK29
When: 26 Sep 11 13:37
They do damage the site in some ways which is why we are having discussions about it and I don't like them because of their parasitic nature, but gambling is very a parasitic business, and I'm being a touch hypocritical because a lot of my bets are parasitic in some form.  I'd rather they weren't but it's just an inevitably of today' betting system.  Overall they are hugely important and fundamental, unfortunately.
By:
Feck N. Eejit
When: 26 Sep 11 13:39
Betfair wouldnt be interested (or could tell) in if your a traders or not

Of course they'd be interested and could make a good guess using nothing more than the figures used in pc calculations.
By:
Beat The OverRound
When: 26 Sep 11 13:46
Then how come my Account Manager knows how much I turned over, whether I'm a trader or a backer or a layer, know whether I won or lost, how much commission I paid and will notify me if I approach a Premium Charge threshold.

They know a lot more than you give them credit for, it's their job to know and report.
By:
zipper
When: 26 Sep 11 13:48
If it was not for Bots and traders  very few markets would exceed 400k ,  with Bots and traders  1 million markets are common place  so suck that and learn ...zip
By:
mythical prince
When: 26 Sep 11 13:51
I suppose we could go back and forth with this argument about the positive and negative side of bots forever. The main issue though surely is whether betfair will do anything about it.

In fairness, they probably couldn't do much more to get rid of bot users than introducing a 60 percent tax, bar banning them altogether. Although as has been pointed out, this was hardly their intention anyway, more just to get some more money in their coffers.

When I get accused of whingeing and whining, it makes me laugh because this forum is overwhelmed with pc payers complaining along the lines of "oh how terrible it is that i'm only making 200k a year now, it used to be 350k, i'll have to give up that second holiday home in spain, and p.s. i'm off to Betquack"

Clearly this mass exodus to Betquack has never materialised, nor do I think it ever will, unless everyone decides to move over at the same time there will never be the liquidity to threaten betfair who will remain a monopoly within the industry. If anything I think Betquack will go under rather than get stronger.

When you are making large sums a year, even if somebody taxes you on those sums (and lets face, most of the working population gets taxed one way or another) you are left with a choice. Either quit what you are doing, and do something else or carry on. Clearly most are choosing the latter option, as the alternative of having an actual job Shocked is so unpalatable.

Until Betfair loses its monopoly status it will continue to do as it pleases. Clearly they quite cleverly calculated when they introduced premium charges in the first place, that they could either afford to lose those customers and or they wouldn't leave in any case.

I realise i'm swimming against the tide here by appearing to be against bots on a technological site which is based on the internet. I just wonder though where this is all heading. I have a friend who works in the city, and he says your average joe in the street might as well not bother to play the stockmarket, given you are up against companies and people with complicated algorithims and inside information.

clearly now long-term betfair winners can now be divided into the following categories:

1. bot users
2. those with inside information
3. courtside players/fast pic boys

everyone else has very little hope of winning on here long-term, which for me is a shame.
By:
zipper
When: 26 Sep 11 14:01
mythical prince your 1..2 ..3 is all wrong try this .
1 Inside information
2 Courtside /fast pics
3 Bots .
By:
Escapee
When: 26 Sep 11 14:02
re: The £168k that would have been about £500k on the 16:30 at Haydock (not chester, my mistake ) if the API had been working.

I think people have wrongly jumped to the conclusion that this turnover would have been wholey atributed to "bots".

The "api" is used by all third party software such as the Geek's Toy, Bet Angel, etc etc.

So alot of the missing turnover due to the API failure would have come from users of these software products who were unable to place bets.
By:
Feck N. Eejit
When: 26 Sep 11 14:04
In fairness, they probably couldn't do much more to get rid of bot users than introducing a 60 percent tax, bar banning them altogether.

They could starve them of the information they require.
By:
mythical prince
When: 26 Sep 11 14:05
zipper I should have added "in no particular order"
By:
Lori
When: 26 Sep 11 15:16
1. bot users
2. those with inside information
3. courtside players/fast pic boys

everyone else has very little hope of winning on here long-term, which for me is a shame.


I'd dispute that.

I'm none of those three and do okay. Any one of those things would elevate me from "okay" to "pretty bloomin good" but I don't think they're essential.
By:
zipper
When: 26 Sep 11 15:20
mythical prince  thats ok with me
bit of fun  take inside info  my number 1
inside info  dont matter what the fast pic boys thing they see
inside info  the dreaded Bots  they can bet  or lay all they like
inside info will beat em BOTH out of sight .i rest my case mylord
By:
catfloppo
When: 26 Sep 11 15:21
Bto, data and transaction costs are not limited to Api usage. In fact they are higher for non Api in order to deter screen scraping.
By:
Beat The OverRound
When: 26 Sep 11 20:02
Of course, but they are able to differentiate between the two.
By:
mythical prince
When: 20 Oct 11 02:03
just to add to this topic, a mate of mine is about to lose his six figure job in the city as according to him a computer program can do his job better (he's a market maker.)
By:
catflmasppo
When: 20 Oct 11 09:04
I was speaking with a friend about this the other evening. The danger I see is that the entire world economy relies to a certain extent on stocks and shares being correctly priced.
By:
askari1
When: 20 Oct 11 18:14
Or on the collective belief they are so.

The salient point to me is that topping bots deter market makers from framing the market. If you want to get paid for price-finding nowadays, when you see a rick in the RP tissue, you pray the exchange market is quiet and get on in the shop.

Is this an issue for bf? Yes, in that you haven't placed your bet with them. No, in that you have used them as a hedging facility and are yourself paying more in comm. and in the sense that you are not offering a bad price to their recreational player.
By:
askari1
When: 20 Oct 11 18:16
For a real Luddite question, wd it be possible to discourage bot use by not turning the API on markets until say 10% of the money likely to be matched ultimately pre-race has been matched?

This wd mean price-finders up to 100k matched on good races get paid off w/out having to spread their custom.
By:
racingguru
When: 21 Oct 11 08:57
Referring to the OP. I've worked for BF and a now defunct exchange Tradesports in the past and the main layers on Tradesports were so ****ed off with the bots they told management that either they stop their use or they'll stop providing liquidity. Tradesports didn't heed their warnings and for that and a few other reasons they went down the pan.

Maybe their should be a minimum 200 quid liability for any layer order. Be a good thing IMO.
By:
askari1
When: 21 Oct 11 09:11
Imo they wouldn't even need to rethink the queue if they hid the market movement and queue information.

The IR bots placing bets on 'oversold' positions based on momentum are not what most people are complaining about. To me, the prob. lies much more w/ bots taking markets to an equilibrium price w/out bets having been struck.

The only situation (barring spending the day drip-feeding or building your own bot) is to allow the market to develop at the wrong price.
By:
mythical prince
When: 21 Oct 11 13:48
interesting racing guru.. do you think that the people who build markets on here, who aren't using bots, are of the same opinion but now that betfair is a monopoly can't really do anything about it?

I think the main problem is the strangehold betfair have on the market. I told a friend of mine the other day, who runs a successful business, that betfair were charging 60 percent tax on winners. he couldn't believe it and didn't understand why people continued to bet.

I suppose though, that if you have a program that can just work all day placing your bets for you while you sit back and watch the winnings accrue, you'll be willing to put up with pretty much anything.
By:
Sandown
When: 21 Oct 11 16:46
Reasons for continuing with BF

1. TINA (There is no alternative.) If there is, you will use it. Bot operators may not have one, opinion players may have options but with different problems (eg staking)

2. Use BF for hedging (as insurance) & arbing (where more likely to win with books & lose on BF)

3. Have losses to mop up

4. Strategy doesn't incur PC

5. Margin insensitive (probable loser)

There may be more of course but this just about covers it I should think.
By:
Beat The OverRound
When: 21 Oct 11 17:34
The problem is not bots as far as I'm concerned.
The problem is that they are now a publicly listed company.
The original mission has been lost to corporate greed.
They will bleed as much as they can until it impacts the bottom line negatively, because they have to drive profits up regardless. (to increase share price).

They believe they have a monopoly because of liquidity, but this is so egotistical it could spell their demise.

As sure as sh*t, others are working on alternatives because BF have opened the door by charging too much, and paved the way to make it easier for others by overcoming gambling laws etc.
There is absolutely no doubt that alternatives are underway by those corporates with enough oomph to provide the startup capital and temporary liquidity required to make it a very attractive alternative.

I'll say that I'd much rather stay with Betfair and am a loyal customer, but if an alternative offer comes along, it will be too late for BF to make better offers.

5% commission as a starting point is too much.
Premium charges are pure greed.

End of.
By:
mythical prince
When: 21 Oct 11 21:06
do you really think 5 percent is too much? and anyone else would charge less? I mean poker sites typically charge a five percent rake on pots for example, so that seems to be a universal level.
By:
Beat The OverRound
When: 22 Oct 11 04:37
It is too much if it decays.
It drives your traditional and recreational punters away.

Ebay kept upping their charges and now it's become a tumbleweed site.
Most of the regulars are all but gone and what's left are grossly overpriced items or they make it up with exhorbitant shipping.
By:
askari1
When: 22 Oct 11 10:52
I fall into all of Sandown's first four categories, though they overlap i.e. the losses I have to mop up are arbing losses. Actually, try as I may, I'm continuing making them.

Imv it's important for a company to be liked by its customers. A cheap shop like Aldi is liked, as is a pricey shop that flatters its customers they're distinguished e.g. Waitrose. But it seems that bf is more and more tolerated by its liquidity suppliers as a fact of life, not as a company it's a pleasure to deal w/.

If I were the new bf CEO, I wd throw some money at trying to engineer a change of perception.
By:
Zola's Back Heel
When: 23 Oct 11 00:41
from the OP: "as an average punter I don't feel like i'm betting against other average punters anymore"

First, its naive to think that the biggest customers are or have ever been individual punters and not to "old enemy".
Second, if you want to operate within an open a market you have to take the consequences.
Third, what do you mean by banning bots? Ban the API? Or ban all web traffic?

If the API didn't exist I could use firebug to reengineer the site to then use ruby/c#/java to continue placing bets.
in fact the website hangs off the API, and the website is simply a free client app that does not support automated betting*.



*except keep bet.
By:
Contrarian
When: 23 Oct 11 11:08
Imv it's important for a company to be liked by its customers

I'm not sure that this is the case.

Consider Ryanair, for instance. A lot of people I know constantly moan about the rather deceptive pricing structure, and how the company appears to treat its customers with contempt, but they still use Ryanair, because overall it is still the cheapest service.
By:
askari1
When: 23 Oct 11 19:04
Contrarian, Ryanair want to grow their margins at the cost maybe of seat occupancy or growth in routes and are stymied b/c the only reason people patronise them is because they are cheap.

Michael O'Leary has said that the company will eventually grow beyond the theatre of having him in charge into more of a standard airline.

When bf try to grow their margins through various premium charges (and I am sure they're considering / have considered basic comm. increases), they run into similar probs. as any firm that competed only on price.

Their basic prob. is that they ideally want to treat losers (who can leave) and winners (w/ whom their relationship is more ambiguous) in entirely different ways, but are frustrated by the most fundamental decision they ever made, on pricing for gamblers and traders.
By:
the big bossman
When: 24 Oct 11 00:07
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