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In reference to the argument of this thread, that bots are the problem!
Well for one thing the problem is quite purely to all customers that the premium charge hike is unfair so any argument as too whats to blame is irrelevant as what is really going on is 500 top profitable customers are beating betfair to a portion of the revenues that are placed into betfair accounts, so really is a tactical battle. Trying to justify the charge are too say who is to blame is unfair as all bettors are needed and valued in an exchange but perhaps there is a need for betfair to raise is marginal profits via the success of its best customers. It has been said that betfair may not want winners but this cant be true as if all pc1,2 and 3 payers suddenly stopped betting a huge chunk of profits obtained in the short and mid term would disappear for betfair and there only gains would be the recycling of tiny commission charges. The real fulcrum of the success of there new charging system will be will new and current members be happy with the status quo or will there be fall-out from customers that now don't embrace betfair, feel that betfair don't want them to share fairly profits, betfair arent happy with winners or liquidity providers etc. Betfair clearly do own the high ground in the exchange liquidity providing market but its only thanks to customers that keep using them or start using them so in the end its how much money wont be going into accounts in the future that will be worrying after damaging press releases and write ups, all the talk on all the forums concerned with gambling and the social networks that hold debates about different corporation practices. One thing that is certain is that the love affair that has been going on with betfair and gamblers has dried up and now its just another company that is in the rat race and just how many rats run too them or away from them will be the hallmark of there future success or failure. |
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With all due respect, it doesn't seem to be the bots at all, it seems to be "someone's beating me".
There are various types of bot users and they can't all be lumped into one category. Some like myself simply use bots for faster and easier bet placement, then there are traders who make up the majority, but there are also the bookmaking bots. I've read that some guys are asking for a bot free exchange, it's simple, take Betfair SP. In relation to premium charges, it is not just the traders with bots that pay premium charges, anyone who makes a book on the exchange pays premium charges if they are successful. Fortunately I haven't had to pay a pc yet, as I have found other ways to supplement the commission I pay. Bots are being used on every single betting site there is, it's a fact of life, a fact of the digital betting age. One must change one's approach or bet via a different product the exchange offers, because things are not going to change anytime soon. |
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If the bots weren't good for business betfair would disable them or reduce their power in some way. They already can't hop jump to the front of the queue instantly due to the transaction charge. They can't bombard the servers on a saturday afternoon because of the data charge. They can't screw too much money out of the system because of the premium charge. But they improve the prices to the end users and therefore result in more bets being matched and more commission so they are worth keeping.
It strikes me that betfair have this situation under much better control than any of the competition. |
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BTO, I've sent you a pm mate if you get a chance to read it. Cheers!
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The ones that operate on the Asian hadicaps in-running offer worse overrounds than most bookmakers, add the commission on top and punters are getting royally fleeced. I've got not problems with bots operating here because they can be a uselful, but Betfair should only allow them on the remit that certain overrounds are adhered to. The one mentioned above should be kicked off the site. 105% max.
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brendanuk1 23 Sep 11 23:04
all i see is problems in horse racing and horse racing players blaming everything but there own sport No, brendan. I haven't bothered with the overnight horse racing markets on here for years. Why should I just offer a free tissue for "traders" and bookmakers? I'm complaining about bot owners p0ncing off me on every other market I try to play early, from cricket match odds to highest UK temperature. All I see, brendan, is a few customers saying there's nothing wrong since they're either operating trading/p0ncing bots themselves or they're mugs who never fancy a bet on a market smaller than Barcelona vs Real Madrid. |
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One of the problems here, as screaming beneath the waves has pointed out, is the problem of nicking value.
Now surely if betfair stuck to the orginal spirit of their company, the idea that here was a betting exchange that would offer an exciting, friendly enviroment for the average customer where people could trade bets against each other, like an open betting market, is surely lost if everytime you try to place a value bet a bot comes along and destroys your whole venture. If everytime I turned up at a chess tournament I was faced with playing a bank of computers and never got the opportunity to play against flesh and blood opponents who make mistakes like I do, i'd lose interest fairly quickly. I'm sure if you asked 90 percent of the customer base on here whether they'd like to see bots banned, the silent majority (on this forum you only tend to get to hear from the pc payers) the screaming beneath the waves people if you will [;)] i'm sure they'd answer in the affirmative. As I said before, the whole idea of betfair offering a superior alternative to the bookmakers for the average punter has been completely lost. I now propose that betfair should be renamed "botfair" |
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As for beat the round's idea that to avoid the bots people should just take sp, i'm sorry
but then I don't see what would then separate betfair from a traditional bookmaker. The whole concept of betfair should be one that rewards hard work and people who actually have a knowledge of sport, rather than someone who has a knowledge of gruss, excel, betting angel geeks toy or all these other concepts that should be incidental to sports betting. If I want to form a book on a horse race or a football I want to feel that i'm competing with someone with a different viewpoint on that particular event rather than some faceless machine that never sleeps which is trying to steal an easy 2 quid. |
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So you want a nice, friendly environment where you can fleece the punters with 110% over-rounds?
The fact that the market makers have to fight the bots makes it more competitive and offers better prices to the punters and more business for betfair. |
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I don't think you are following what I'm saying Catflmasppo.
I'm saying that I can't even go in early on something and offer a price on something that I think might be decent value for me (and by no means bad value for the person taking the bet, its just a subjective opinion on the event) I can't even do that. So i'm faced with a choice, either try to compete with a Bot and end up with horrible value, or take Betfair S.P. How this fits in with Betfair's original concept, I wish someone would explain it to me. |
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No, I think I am. What do you mean by 'horrible value'? If you mean poor value then surely you have the opportunity of getting good value by matching against the bot. If you mean less value than you would get without the bots then that is exactly my point - if you're getting more value, the punters are getting less!
A bet can't be matched with both parties getting good value!! |
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Bots certainly disincentivise (or whatever that word is meant to be) people to price up markets.
I don't want to research something for 10-20 hours, put up a 103% book and have a bot instantly move it to 102.8% I don't know what the solution to that is though, (other than not to price up those markets). I've had limited success deliberately mispricing markets but bot users have got brighter over the years. Personally I'd ban them, practically I have no idea how you'd enforce such a measure and I'm not even sure it would improve the situation. |
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I see your point mythical, but unfortunately, the original concept is no more. Hasn't been for some time. It has both evolved and devolved.
It has morphed into a different beast with vultures picking at half dead carcases and if you make it out alive, Betfair pick at what's left. I think you may need to find a way around the live market, surely if you have your own prices, a bot won't have the same limits in every situation? |
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So you want a nice, friendly environment where you can fleece the punters with 110% over-rounds?
Screaming is right about this cat'po and the above is not what we're looking for or what would happen. The books would still be 100%. The idea that backers and layers would indulge in a staring contest across a great chasm or that recreational gamblers would get worse prices on a Ferengi free exchange is total sh1te. |
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Hang on a minute, you're trying to fleece 3% from the punters.
Perhaps that should be outlawed before bots are. Not trying to be smart, it's a valid point. I think that you're forgetting that this is a living for many bot users, ban bots and they would just toggle between markets all day doing the same thing manually or just script the whole site causing a horrible load on the servers. The API is definitely a preferred option for all users. |
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As I said earlier though, I'm not against bots. The problem is the information available to them and the parasite friendly interface.
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It's easy Lori, the transaction charge could be changed.
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People would definitely undercut prices, they always did, but you can put them under pressure to make errors.
API for ALL users is not definitely a preferred option for me as I simply cannot get my head around it. I don't even understand why it's different to screen scraping - all i know is that when the site crashes you can still place bets if you understand it - which to me shouldn't be allowed. |
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The option is there for everyone, whether you understand it or use it is optional. The main site is really designed for the recreational punter.
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The main site is really designed for the recreational punter.
So you're saying that only professionals should be able to bet during times when the main site is down. Probably the biggest crap I've heard on here since froggy stopped posting. |
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The option isnt there for everyone anyway is it? I thought you had to have a license to use it.
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To use a comparison, If I go on a chess server, like the internet chess club, I will have to say if i'm using a computer and that will mean i'm listed as one. If I go on and use a chess program and don't say that i'm doing it, i'll be banned very quickly. people don't want to play against computers. They want to play against flesh and blood opponents they think they can beat.
Cats, while its certainly true that both punters can't get value, I don't see whats wrong with doing some research and putting up early prices and hoping they get matched. why on earth should I have to compete with a machine? just because you yourself use bots extensively and want to protect that, doesn't mean the majority are in favour it. Screaming beneath the ways gave a good example of how you use your research and a bot then undercuts you. Whats wrong with pricing up something, putting it up slightly shorter because you know if you don't you won't be able to beat commission, how on earth am I supposed to win? Please explain it to me, in fact don't, because i'm readily coming to the viewpoint that your run of the mill punter like myself that doesn't have any desire to use bots has no hope of winning on betfair. |
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No, come on that's not what I'm saying at all.
You are crying foul because you don't wish to take up something which is open to everyone. There is a free API, there is also software which accesses the paid API and you pay a small monthly fee (tiny). What I'm saying is that serious people relying on the site NOT going down, will avail themselves of the option. |
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There are ways to beat them mythical, many of which I refrain from posting as (no offence to cat and co), many of the users post and read here and are smart enough already without me helping them fine tune further.
As a chess player you should be able to nibble away for weaknesses though and eventually find a strategy to beat them. Then it's all about how adventurous the user is. Sometimes you win pennies, occasionally you can take them for four figures before they turned off. Remember they're not all the same and categorise each one on each market. |
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Lori, there is a free API.
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Screenscrapers are basically programs that drive the interface just like a user would so they will crash when the site crashes and need updating each time the site is changed.
The api circumnavigates the site completely so, as you say, users can still work even if the site is down. In actual fact, this is not necessarily a good thing and I would prefer it if the api was suspended during outages. |
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I think some of the objection is that people don't want to use a bot, but let's put it into perspective.
A bot is not the same as a chess bot, you are not competing against a computer or a machine, you are competing against someone else's opinion. They choose to automate their opinion rather than spend the day clicking buttons manually. |
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Im not really crying foul, I'm saying _I_ would shut them down because I don't think it's a level playing field. They're not going to shut them down so my opinion doesn't matter.
What SHOULD change is that when I have bets up on Betfair's interface that I can't access because the interface blows up at their end, then those bets shouldn't be live and able to be taken by people who happen to be better technically than I am. I don't see why I should pay 20-60% of my winnings to Betfair and then pay again to be able to use the site at times when the internet doesn't work at Betfair towers. I think I pay enough already. I've always thought they should just show the odds, not the amounts available - which would make it a more interesting battle - but I'm not in favour of a full blown Feckfair. I've put many hours into trying to work out how API works and still can't even tell you what it does. I do know that MTGO has a screen scraping bot for selling cards online and it's infinitely easier to use and understand than the API. The only things I've seen that are free involve you having to give your password to other people. I'm not quite THAT dumb. |
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catflmasppo Joined: 12 Sep 10
Replies: 139 24 Sep 11 13:42 Screenscrapers are basically programs that drive the interface just like a user would so they will crash when the site crashes and need updating each time the site is changed. The api circumnavigates the site completely so, as you say, users can still work even if the site is down. In actual fact, this is not necessarily a good thing and I would prefer it if the api was suspended during outages. Ok, that explains it somewhat. (I knew about screenscrapers already) wouldn't it be fairer if it was just screenscrapers, and so the same for everyone. I still struggle to see how you can bet if you can't see the site at all but my computing abilities stop at using excel to calculate stuff and programming the ZX Spectrum in BASIC. |
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cats, sorry if my post sounded a bit offensive. If you have had success with bots, good luck to you, I just don't know if they should be allowed on betfair.
lori actually as far as the chess is concerned the chess programs have reached such a level of sophistication now, that i'm surprised that the people that have programmed them haven't used those skills for something like betfair. or perhaps they have. actually i'm currently reading a biography about warren buffet, a famous technophobe, someone who has made billions without any real knowledge of computers, which still gives me hope that we can do without them. I just feel they destroy creativity. |
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Cats, while its certainly true that both punters can't get value, I don't see whats wrong with doing some research and putting up early prices and hoping they get matched. why on earth should I have to compete with a machine?
I'm not a machine I am someone who has automated their betting. Why shouldn't I be allowed to compete with you, especially since in doing so both the average punter and betfair both benefit? |
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MP,
I can generate better prices than almost all bots, I just can't submit them quickly enough. The truly dangerous are those who can do both. |
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No offence taken btw, happy to discuss it with you anytime
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you see lori you come across as a technophobe, and yet you still know what an api is, a screenscraper and so on. this is all martian to me.
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especially since in doing so both the average punter and betfair both benefit?
How does the average punter benefit catf'po? |
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Please explain it to me, in fact don't, because i'm readily coming to the viewpoint that your run of the mill punter like myself that doesn't have any desire to use bots has no hope of winning on betfair.
I think it's getting less and less likely that run of the mill punters will be able to make a profit. I appreciate that is a bit sad in a way but things in this game will never stand still. |
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Better prices, Feck.
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I'm a rare breed MP, I've forced myself to learn some things but I'm a technophobe and some stuff doesn't go in. I can't get to grips with what an API is, yet a screenscraper makes obvious sense to me (you read what's on the screen - an API has no screen which confuses me senseless)
I can use Excel to derive all manner of interesting facts, but I don't understand how to use Firefox or anything else like that. So yeah, I'm a bit of a crossbreed! |
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Unless you're filling in the "chasm" (which would be filled in anyway) how are they getting better prices? If the book is 100% the expected gross profit/loss for any recreational user is 0%, regardless of how efficient the market is.
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MP,
Think of playing against a bot as like playing against an oldschool chess computer (Im crap at chess, think my highest ever rating was about 140 BCF, but maybe enough to have an idea). It will have to follow a set of rules - it will gobble up pawn sacrifices because it can't evaluate a position where there's more than a pawn of difference and it sucks at the endgame. A very simple example. You've identified there are two bots in a terribly low liquidity market and you know that all four runners in this market should be 4.0 Both bots check in every ten minutes and undercut the current prices as long as the overround is 110 or more. You could price up the market at 2.26, 4.0, 3.1, 3.3 and check back later to see what price the second selection is being offered at. If nobody else has found the market, you've made a good few quid. |