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Fixtures 25 September / Birmingham v Wigan / Correct Score 0 - 0 Lay 25-Sep-10
13:27 11.5 12.00 11.5 25-Sep-10 13:27 WIGAN appear to concede goals ...so I expect B to score. MGOFS is 2-0. ================================================================== Fixtures 25 September / Liverpool v Sunderland / Correct Score 2 - 2 Lay 25-Sep-10 13:24 29 11.81 29 25-Sep-10 13:24 Just likely to be TIGHT game. MGOFS is 11111-0...or 1-1. =================================================================== Fixtures 25 September / Arsenal v West Brom / Correct Score 1 - 1 Lay 25-Sep-10 13:22 13.5 12.00 13 25-Sep-10 13:22 Just believe there will be at least 3 goals in game. MGOFS is 3-1. GL with bets. |
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CHANGING INITIAL LAY - NOW IN EFFECT LAYING 0-0
ixtures 25 September / Man City v Chelsea / Correct Score 0 - 1 Back 12226222297 25-Sep-10 13:36 5.1 2.00 5.1 25-Sep-10 13:37 Fixtures 25 September / Man City v Chelsea / Correct Score 0 - 0 Lay 25-Sep-10 13:35 3.9 2.00 3.9 25-Sep-10 13:35 Fixtures 25 September / Man City v Chelsea / Correct Score 0 - 1 Back 25-Sep-10 13:35 5 24.00 5 25-Sep-10 13:35 Fixtures 25 September / Man City v Chelsea / Correct Score 0 - 0 Lay 25-Sep-10 13:34 3.9 24.00 3.85 25-Sep-10 13:34 |
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HIT in German 3rd Division game .....about 73 currently down ...so can be clawed back over day ...hopefuly!
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Schalke v Mgladbach - Correct Score
Lay 3 - 2 (IP 1-2 70 mins) Ref: 12229391982 Total bet 13.5 £3.20 £43.20 £40.00 Matched 13.5 £2.56 £34.56 £32.00 Unmatched 13.5 £0.64 £8.64 £8.00 Ref: 12229391982 Bet placed: 15:58 25-Sep-10 All now matched.. liab 40.00 to win 3.04 |
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Once again the CL games taking toll on scores today ....AGHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH
Though BIRMINGHAM not effected |
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ooooooooooooo..... that was c-c-c-close!
Munchers man sent off, Chalk score 2-2 5 mins left, we've been here before? |
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Blackpool v Blackburn - Correct Score (IP 0-1 70 mins)
Lay 1 - 2 13.5 £3.00 £40.50 £37.50 Ref: 12229990588 Bet placed: 16:27 25-Sep-10 |
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1-2 last kick of the match. (works both ways, mostly against me!)
That, my friends is my lot. I've had some great fun at this, so wrapping it up while I'm still ahead. I wish you all the very best of luck for the future, but football betting is so unpredictable, as are many other sports. |
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WD J ....just after taking 2nd and 3rd HITS today ...May continue ....but reluctant for a wee while ...til next game[;)]
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Some nasty results today. Football just refuses to behave how you'd expect. I've tried all sorts of methods and I've a test bed with 10,000+ matches and I'm quite convinced that short term form is almost an illusion and I can only make sense of games when I place them into a statistical distribution of results. It's like a magnet dragging teams back to the norm. It can be quite depressing.
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I should have known better re LIVERPOOL game .....as they are a dodgy team ...and SUNDERLAND are a fighting one....bad decision by me on that one.
The BIRMINGHAM game selection .....also dodgy ....but that's football. Will try to claw some back ...but won't be doing increased staking!!!!! GL REM with bets |
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Decided to try one larger staked game -
xtures 25 September / AC Milan v Genoa / Correct Score 0 - 0 Lay 25-Sep-10 17:54 4.6 66.00 4.6 25-Sep-10 17:54 MILAN do have European tie loomingup ....but GENOA don't, so game could open up a bit and fair chance a goal comes. MGOFS is 1-0 or 0-1. GL with bets. |
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1-0 MILAN ....so switching off computer ...and will be back after teaaaaaaaaaaaaaa
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Post this now ...
ixtures 25 September / Levante v Real Madrid / Correct Score 1 - 1 Lay 25-Sep-10 18:15 15 66.00 15 25-Sep-10 18:15 ========================================================================= This might be a close lay ....but RM have chance to keep at top ...and just believe their coach will want to win this, even although they have a CL game looming up. LEV seem to concede goals ...and if they just try to defend there is only one result. So I suspect they will try to score early to make it a bit difficult for RM.....MGOFS though is 1-2 or 0-2. Gl with bets. |
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Fixtures 25 September / Roma v Inter / Correct Score 1 - 0 Lay 25-Sep-10
18:21 14 42.00 14 25-Sep-10 18:21 ======================================================================= Both have CL games to play soon....but INTER will want to stay top ....and ROMA appear to be defensively dodgy at preset....so fancy INTER to score or at least 2 goals in game. MGOFS is 1-3. GL with bets. |
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Fixtures 25 September / Estudiantes v Boca Juniors / Correct Score 0 - 1 Lay 25-Sep-10
19:51 12.5 24.00 12.5 25-Sep-10 19:51 =========================================================================== BOCA appear to concede goals ...and EST seem not to be banging in goals........So a TIGHT game likely. BOCA seem to shade matches at home to BOCA .....so fair chance BOCA don't win . MGOFS is 1-1 or 2-1. GL wit bets. |
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First hit today with Scunthrope v Ipswich other 4 won. Madness cause I picked this for a 1-1 and changed my mind.
Anyway the loss on the CR overall today was only £81.15 but a loss on over 2.5 for £60 means a total loss of £141.15 A good thing today that shows me not to get too carried away. Bank now £1,726.29 |
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CHANGING OUT THE LAY ON 1-1 AND NOW ON LAY ON 0-0
Fixtures 25 September / Levante v Real Madrid / Correct Score 0 - 0 Lay 25-Sep-10 20:27 2.6 18.00 2.5 25-Sep-10 20:28 Fixtures 25 September / Levante v Real Madrid / Correct Score 1 - 1 Back 25-Sep-10 20:21 24 42.00 24 25-Sep-10 20:27 |
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GOING IN AGAIN
Fixtures 25 September / Levante v Real Madrid / Correct Score 0 - 0 Lay 25-Sep-10 20:30 2.44 36.00 2.44 25-Sep-10 20:30 |
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CHANGING LAY ON 1-0 TO LAY ON 0-0
Fixtures 25 September / Roma v Inter / Correct Score 0 - 0 Lay 25-Sep-10 20:33 4.2 18.00 4.2 25-Sep-10 20:33 Fixtures 25 September / Roma v Inter / Correct Score 0 - 0 Lay 25-Sep-10 20:33 4.3 66.00 4.2 25-Sep-10 20:33 Fixtures 25 September / Roma v Inter / Correct Score 1 - 0 Back 25-Sep-10 20:32 7.2 24.00 7.2 25-Sep-10 20:33 Fixtures 25 September / Roma v Inter / Correct Score 1 - 0 Back 25-Sep-10 20:32 7.2 60.00 7.21 25-Sep-10 20:32 |
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AND AGAIN
Fixtures 25 September / Levante v Real Madrid / Correct Score 0 - 0 Lay 25-Sep-10 20:38 1.79 54.00 1.79 25-Sep-10 20:38 |
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RM again ...can't cross a ball ....no poise or technique on hitting ball goalwards .......crossing from wrong areas ALL THE FRICKING TIME.....any muppet could sort that lot out!
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ANOTHER LAY ON 0-0
Fixtures 25 September / Roma v Inter / Correct Score 0 - 0 Lay 25-Sep-10 20:54 3.9 66.00 3.85 25-Sep-10 20:54 |
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Fixtures 25 September / Ath Bilbao v Barcelona / Correct Score 1 - 0 Lay 25-Sep-10
20:58 22 40.00 22 25-Sep-10 20:58 ================================================ BARCA just likely to score. MGOFS is 1-2. GL with bets. |
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Fixtures 25 September / Roma v Inter / Correct Score
0 - 0 Lay 25-Sep-10 21:16 1.92 24.00 1.91 25-Sep-10 21:16 |
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TFFT[:p] 1-0 ROMAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA
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AGAIN COMING OUT INITIAL LAY ON 1-0 ...AND LAYING 0-0.
WITH HOME TEAM DOWN TO 10 MEN....THE RAIN GIVES A FAIR CHANCE A GOAL WILL BE SCORED AT EITHER END.... Fixtures 25 September / Ath Bilbao v Barcelona / Correct Score 0 - 0 Lay 25-Sep-10 21:47 6 49.00 6 25-Sep-10 21:47 Fixtures 25 September / Ath Bilbao v Barcelona / Correct Score 1 - 0 Back 25-Sep-10 21:47 32 30.00 32 25-Sep-10 21:47 Fixtures 25 September / Ath Bilbao v Barcelona / Correct Score 1 - 0 Lay 25-Sep-10 20:58 22 40.00 22 25-Sep-10 20:58 |
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Fixtures 25 September / Santos v Cruzeiro / Correct Score 0 - 0 Lay 25-Sep-10
22:04 15 30.00 14.94 25-Sep-10 22:04 Just a fair chance one of em scores ......SANTOS seem to concede goals ....and can score them. MGOFS is 2-2. =========================================================== Fixtures 25 September / Lanus v All Boys / Correct Score 0 - 0 Lay 25-Sep-10 22:02 10.5 42.00 10.5 25-Sep-10 22:02 Home team got thumped in last 2 games....but can move well up league if win this one.....and I believe they will take game to AB early and score. MGOFS is 1-0 or 1-1. ====================================================== Fixtures 25 September / Flamengo v Palmeiras / Correct Score 0 - 1 Lay 25-Sep-10 21:56 12.5 36.00 12.42 25-Sep-10 21:56 FLAM appear to be scoring goals ...but also conceding them .....and away team are a bit susceptible to conceding goals away ......So just believea goal can come here ...and MGOFS is 2-1. GL with bets. |
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IN AGAIN
Fixtures 25 September / Ath Bilbao v Barcelona / Correct Score 0 - 1 Lay 25-Sep-10 22:25 3.85 36.00 3.82 25-Sep-10 22:25 |
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Fixtures 25 September / Sao Paulo v Goias / Correct Score 2 - 2 Lay 25-Sep-10
22:30 20 18.00 20 25-Sep-10 22:30 ======================================================= TIGHT game likely ....and MGOFS is 1-0 or 1-1. Gl with bets. |
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Fixtures 25 September / Colon v San Lorenzo / Correct Score 0 - 0 Lay 25-Sep-10
23:27 10 42.00 10 25-Sep-10 23:27 ==================================================================== Home team struggling to win matches...and tend to concede a goal. Capable of grabbing 1 goal though. SL can score goals and they also seem to concede a goal in matches away ...so fair chance a goal can come. MGOFS is 1-2....or 1-1. GL with bets. |
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Fixtures 25 September / New England v Columbus / Correct Score 0 - 1 Lay 25-Sep-10
23:56 10.5 24.00 10.5 25-Sep-10 23:56 COL have CL game looming up so home team may take advantage of that and at least score. MGOFS is 2-1. ============================================================= Fixtures 25 September / D. C. United v Houston Dynamo / Correct Score 0 - 1 Lay 25-Sep-10 23:51 13.5 18.00 13.38 25-Sep-10 23:51 HOUSTON struggle to win games ....and DCU are likely to score. MGOFS is 2-0 or 3-1. GL with bets. |
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SATURDAY - DAY 7 - RESULTS LOSS 143.01Soccer / D. C. United v Houston Dynamo : Correct Score 26-Sep-10 00:30 26-Sep-10 02:37 17.39
Soccer / New England v Columbus : Correct Score 26-Sep-10 00:30 26-Sep-10 02:30 23.18 Soccer / Colon v San Lorenzo : Correct Score 26-Sep-10 00:30 26-Sep-10 02:19 40.57 Soccer / Sao Paulo v Goias : Correct Score 25-Sep-10 22:30 26-Sep-10 00:27 17.39 Soccer / Flamengo v Palmeiras : Correct Score 25-Sep-10 22:30 26-Sep-10 00:25 34.78 Soccer / Santos v Cruzeiro : Correct Score 25-Sep-10 22:30 26-Sep-10 00:22 27.05 Soccer / Lanus v All Boys : Correct Score 25-Sep-10 22:30 26-Sep-10 00:20 38.64 Soccer / Ath Bilbao v Barcelona : Correct Score 25-Sep-10 21:00 25-Sep-10 22:54 91.77 Soccer / Estudiantes v Boca Juniors : Correct Score 25-Sep-10 20:20 25-Sep-10 22:10 23.18 Soccer / Roma v Inter : Correct Score 25-Sep-10 19:45 25-Sep-10 21:44 142.74 Soccer / Levante v Real Madrid : Correct Score 25-Sep-10 19:00 25-Sep-10 20:53 -151.23 Soccer / AC Milan v Genoa : Correct Score 25-Sep-10 17:00 25-Sep-10 18:52 63.76 Soccer / Liverpool v Sunderland : Correct Score 25-Sep-10 15:00 25-Sep-10 17:00 -336.00 Soccer / Birmingham v Wigan : Correct Score 25-Sep-10 15:00 25-Sep-10 16:56 -126.00 Soccer / Arsenal v West Brom : Correct Score 25-Sep-10 15:00 25-Sep-10 16:55 11.59 Soccer / HJK Helsinki v TPS : Correct Score 25-Sep-10 13:00 25-Sep-10 14:53 11.59 Soccer / Koblenz v Offenbach : Correct Score 25-Sep-10 13:00 25-Sep-10 14:48 -114.00 Soccer / Man City v Chelsea : Correct Score 25-Sep-10 12:45 25-Sep-10 14:44 11.59 Soccer / Yokohama FM v Sendai : Correct Score 25-Sep-10 11:00 25-Sep-10 12:57 5.80 Soccer / Kawasaki v G-Osaka : Correct Score 25-Sep-10 11:00 25-Sep-10 12:57 5.80 Soccer / Kyoto v Iwata : Correct Score 25-Sep-10 10:00 25-Sep-10 11:55 5.80 Soccer / Montedio Yamagata v Shonan : Correct Score 25-Sep-10 08:00 25-Sep-10 09:58 5.80 Soccer / Urawa v Niigata : Correct Score 25-Sep-10 08:00 25-Sep-10 09:53 5.80 ============================================================================================= LIVERPOOL was a big HIT and 2 other HITS in afternoon.....so went to claw some back. Was doing fine til REAL MADRID failed to score....and this set me back again. Had I stayed wit the initial lay on 1-0.......then would have made a profit and not the loss in RM game. However, having said that ....I adopted similar tactics in ROMA game ....switching lay to a 0-0 lay at HT........so that worked in my favour .....just , as there was alate goal for ROMA. Could have been end of thread had a goal not come. So LOSS reduced ........and CUMULATIVE PROFIT on this thread last 7 days is 233.74. I'd better go help with breakfast..... GL with bets today. |
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Since thread started ....the results have been
DAY 1 - SUNDAY..............PROFIT.....95.92 DAY 2- MONDAY..............LOSS.... ( 22.66 ) DAY 3- TUESDAY.............PROFIT..... 2.01 DAY 4- WEDNESDAY...........PROFIT....169.21 DAY 5- THURSDAY............PROFIT.... 106.25 DAY 6- FRIDAY..............PROFIT..... 26.02 DAY 7- SATURDAY.............LOSS.....(.143.01 ) CUMULATIVE PROFIT AFTER 7 DAYS........ 233.74......( 91 MATCHES) |
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Fixtures 26 September / Bolton v Man Utd / Correct Score 1 - 0 Lay 26-Sep-10
11:57 29 36.00 29 26-Sep-10 11:57 ============================================================== Pretty sure MU have sights on winning PREM this season ....and the style of play should be too much for BOLTON at back. MGOFS is 1-2 or 1-3. GL with bets. |
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ixtures 26 September / Aberdeen v Rangers / Correct Score 2 - 2 Lay 26-Sep-10
12:33 22 24.00 21.99 26-Sep-10 12:33 =================================================================== RANGERS have a CL game at home to BURSASPOR on Wed.....so can't see them going flat out against ABERDEEN. R likely to play a TIGHT game and rely on scoring a late goal probably. No love between them....so ABERDEEN will make it tough for RANGERS to score. MGOFS is 0-0 or 1-0 or 0-1. GL with bets. |
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Fixtures 26 September / Kayserispor v Trabzonspor / Correct Score 0 - 1 Lay 26-Sep-10
12:39 10.5 24.00 10.5 26-Sep-10 12:39 TRABS appear to concede goals ...and home team seems to play a reasonably TIGHT game....but can score goals too. So fair chance there is at least 2 goals in game and home team scores. MGOFS is 2-1. ========================================================== Fixtures 26 September / Chievo v Lazio / Correct Score 0 - 0 Lay 26-Sep-10 12:42 10.5 24.00 10.5 26-Sep-10 12:42 CHIEVO can go top ( I think) if they win....LAZIO will also make a major move towards top if win. So likely a TIGHT game ....but I suspect LAZIO will score, as home team are a bit inconsistent....and they may not play too well today. MGOFS is 0-1 or 1-1. GL with bets. |
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DFC that is one issue i talked about earlier. Laying 2-2's on a regular basis can kill you odds normally of 20/1 plus. Get one wrong it kills you like yesterday. I stick to 0-0 1-0's and 1-1's as usually lower odds and if you take a hit.
PS aberdeen v rangers looking 2-2 as well. |
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squizz - a HIT can come at any time........I'm "happy" with lay on RANGERS game.
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If you note I said - ABERDEEN WILL MAKE IT TOUGH FOR RANGERS TO SCORE ....SO FAR THEY HAVE.....
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