1) dont follow soccer - watch about 1 game a month, and the world cup 2) seen increasing comentary on the lack of draws in 2009/2010 3) just looked at last two years. 195 draws last year 200 draws the one before. 4) current rate in 2009/2010 will se the years finish on ~30 draws
I assume football has not changed that much....a cursory glace at past tables seems to show consistancy across seasons.... but maybe the distinction between top andbottom is greater this year?
so
a) are the draws being priced bigger given they have not been coming in? b) it is time for mean reversion - and to back the bigger priced draws, if they have indeed drifted based on results?
thinking about backing every draw untill the end of the season.
Miss one yesterday. would have been +12500 only had 2500 not 5000 on the chelsea game (net net, should be 10K better)
but actual challange results below. so half way to target
Football: £54,695.79
Football Showing 1 - 20 of 31 markets
Market Start time Settled date Profit/loss (£) Football / West Ham v Arsenal : Match Odds 25-Oct-09 16:15 25-Oct-09 18:12 18,619.98 Football / Man City v Fulham : Match Odds 25-Oct-09 15:00 25-Oct-09 16:56 17,150.03 Football / Liverpool v Man Utd : Match Odds 25-Oct-09 14:00 25-Oct-09 15:58 -5,000.00 Football / Bolton v Everton : Match Odds 25-Oct-09 13:30 25-Oct-09 15:23 -5,000.00 Football / Chelsea v Blackburn : Match Odds 24-Oct-09 17:30 24-Oct-09 19:23 -2,500.00 Football / Burnley v Wigan : Match Odds 24-Oct-09 15:00 24-Oct-09 16:59 -5,000.00 Football / Tottenham v Stoke : Match Odds 24-Oct-09 15:00 24-Oct-09 16:56 -5,000.00 Football / Birmingham v Sunderland : Match Odds 24-Oct-09 15:00 24-Oct-09 16:55 -5,000.00 Football / Wolves v Aston Villa : Match Odds 24-Oct-09 12:45 24-Oct-09 14:40 12,250.01 Football / Fulham v Hull : Match Odds 19-Oct-09 20:00 19-Oct-09 21:55 -5,000.00 Football / Wigan v Man City : Match Odds 18-Oct-09 16:00 18-Oct-09 17:55 11,999.31 Football / Blackburn v Burnley : Match Odds 18-Oct-09 13:00 18-Oct-09 14:57 -5,000.00 Football / Sunderland v Liverpool : Match Odds 17-Oct-09 15:00 17-Oct-09 16:59 -5,000.00 Football / Stoke v West Ham : Match Odds 17-Oct-09 15:00 17-Oct-09 16:58 -5,000.00 Football / Everton v Wolves : Match Odds 17-Oct-09 15:00 17-Oct-09 16:57 17,108.17 Football / Portsmouth v Tottenham : Match Odds 17-Oct-09 15:00 17-Oct-09 16:55 -5,000.00 Football / Arsenal v Birmingham : Match Odds 17-Oct-09 15:00 17-Oct-09 16:54 -5,000.00 Football / Man Utd v Bolton : Match Odds 17-Oct-09 15:00 17-Oct-09 16:52 -5,000.00 Football / Aston Villa v Chelsea : Match Odds 17-Oct-09 12:45 17-Oct-09 14:46 -5,000.00 Football / Aston Villa v Man City : Match Odds 05-Oct-09 20:00 05-Oct-09 21:58 12,250.10
Has been 32 games since the challange started.Miss one yesterday. would have been +12500only had 2500 not 5000 on the chelsea game(net net, should be 10K better)but actual challange results below. so half way to targetFootball: £54,695.79 Football
Market Start time Settled date Profit/loss (£) Football / Portsmouth v Wigan : Match Odds 31-Oct-09 15:00 31-Oct-09 16:58 -5,000.00 Football / Sunderland v West Ham : Match Odds 31-Oct-09 15:00 31-Oct-09 16:57 11,523.01 Football / Everton v Aston Villa : Match Odds 31-Oct-09 15:00 31-Oct-09 16:57 12,250.07 Football / Stoke v Wolves : Match Odds 31-Oct-09 15:00 31-Oct-09 16:56 12,005.01 Football / Burnley v Hull : Match Odds 31-Oct-09 15:00 31-Oct-09 16:55 -5,000.00 Football / Bolton v Chelsea : Match Odds 31-Oct-09 15:00 31-Oct-09 16:54 -5,000.00 Football / Fulham v Liverpool : Match Odds 31-Oct-09 15:00 31-Oct-09 16:52 -5,000.00 Football / Arsenal v Tottenham : Match Odds 31-Oct-09 12:45 31-Oct-09 14:41 -5,000.00 Football / West Ham v Arsenal : Match Odds 25-Oct-09 16:15 25-Oct-09 18:12 18,619.98 Football / Man City v Fulham : Match Odds 25-Oct-09 15:00 25-Oct-09 16:56 17,150.03 Football / Liverpool v Man Utd : Match Odds 25-Oct-09 14:00 25-Oct-09 15:58 -5,000.00 Football / Bolton v Everton : Match Odds 25-Oct-09 13:30 25-Oct-09 15:23 -5,000.00 Football / Chelsea v Blackburn : Match Odds 24-Oct-09 17:30 24-Oct-09 19:23 -2,500.00 Football / Burnley v Wigan : Match Odds 24-Oct-09 15:00 24-Oct-09 16:59 -5,000.00 Football / Tottenham v Stoke : Match Odds 24-Oct-09 15:00 24-Oct-09 16:56 -5,000.00 Football / Birmingham v Sunderland : Match Odds 24-Oct-09 15:00 24-Oct-09 16:55 -5,000.00 Football / Wolves v Aston Villa : Match Odds 24-Oct-09 12:45 24-Oct-09 14:40 12,250.01 Football / Fulham v Hull : Match Odds 19-Oct-09 20:00 19-Oct-09 21:55 -5,000.00 Football / Wigan v Man City : Match Odds 18-Oct-09 16:00 18-Oct-09 17:55 11,999.31 Football / Blackburn v Burnley : Match Odds 18-Oct-09 13:00 18-Oct-09 14:57 -5,000.00
another profitable dayFootball: £65,473.88 Football Showing 1 - 20 of 39 markets Market Start time Settled date Profit/loss (£) Football / Portsmouth v Wigan : Match Odds 31-Oct-09 15:00 31-Oct-09 16:58 -5,000.00 Football / Sunderland v West
Market Start time Settled date Profit/loss (£) Football / Portsmouth v Wigan : Match Odds 31-Oct-09 15:00 31-Oct-09 16:58 -5,000.00 Football / Sunderland v West Ham : Match Odds 31-Oct-09 15:00 31-Oct-09 16:57 11,523.01 Football / Everton v Aston Villa : Match Odds 31-Oct-09 15:00 31-Oct-09 16:57 12,250.07 Football / Stoke v Wolves : Match Odds 31-Oct-09 15:00 31-Oct-09 16:56 12,005.01 Football / Burnley v Hull : Match Odds 31-Oct-09 15:00 31-Oct-09 16:55 -5,000.00 Football / Bolton v Chelsea : Match Odds 31-Oct-09 15:00 31-Oct-09 16:54 -5,000.00 Football / Fulham v Liverpool : Match Odds 31-Oct-09 15:00 31-Oct-09 16:52 -5,000.00 Football / Arsenal v Tottenham : Match Odds 31-Oct-09 12:45 31-Oct-09 14:41 -5,000.00 Football / West Ham v Arsenal : Match Odds 25-Oct-09 16:15 25-Oct-09 18:12 18,619.98 Football / Man City v Fulham : Match Odds 25-Oct-09 15:00 25-Oct-09 16:56 17,150.03 Football / Liverpool v Man Utd : Match Odds 25-Oct-09 14:00 25-Oct-09 15:58 -5,000.00 Football / Bolton v Everton : Match Odds 25-Oct-09 13:30 25-Oct-09 15:23 -5,000.00 Football / Chelsea v Blackburn : Match Odds 24-Oct-09 17:30 24-Oct-09 19:23 -2,500.00 Football / Burnley v Wigan : Match Odds 24-Oct-09 15:00 24-Oct-09 16:59 -5,000.00 Football / Tottenham v Stoke : Match Odds 24-Oct-09 15:00 24-Oct-09 16:56 -5,000.00 Football / Birmingham v Sunderland : Match Odds 24-Oct-09 15:00 24-Oct-09 16:55 -5,000.00 Football / Wolves v Aston Villa : Match Odds 24-Oct-09 12:45 24-Oct-09 14:40 12,250.01 Football / Fulham v Hull : Match Odds 19-Oct-09 20:00 19-Oct-09 21:55 -5,000.00 Football / Wigan v Man City : Match Odds 18-Oct-09 16:00 18-Oct-09 17:55 11,999.31 Football / Blackburn v Burnley : Match Odds 18-Oct-09 13:00 18-Oct-09 14:57 -5,000.00
another profitable dayFootball: £65,473.88 Football Showing 1 - 20 of 39 markets Market Start time Settled date Profit/loss (£) Football / Portsmouth v Wigan : Match Odds 31-Oct-09 15:00 31-Oct-09 16:58 -5,000.00 Football / Sunderland v West
Market Start time Settled date Profit/loss (£) Football / Portsmouth v Wigan : Match Odds 31-Oct-09 15:00 31-Oct-09 16:58 -5,000.00 Football / Sunderland v West Ham : Match Odds 31-Oct-09 15:00 31-Oct-09 16:57 11,523.01 Football / Everton v Aston Villa : Match Odds 31-Oct-09 15:00 31-Oct-09 16:57 12,250.07 Football / Stoke v Wolves : Match Odds 31-Oct-09 15:00 31-Oct-09 16:56 12,005.01 Football / Burnley v Hull : Match Odds 31-Oct-09 15:00 31-Oct-09 16:55 -5,000.00 Football / Bolton v Chelsea : Match Odds 31-Oct-09 15:00 31-Oct-09 16:54 -5,000.00 Football / Fulham v Liverpool : Match Odds 31-Oct-09 15:00 31-Oct-09 16:52 -5,000.00 Football / Arsenal v Tottenham : Match Odds 31-Oct-09 12:45 31-Oct-09 14:41 -5,000.00 Football / West Ham v Arsenal : Match Odds 25-Oct-09 16:15 25-Oct-09 18:12 18,619.98 Football / Man City v Fulham : Match Odds 25-Oct-09 15:00 25-Oct-09 16:56 17,150.03 Football / Liverpool v Man Utd : Match Odds 25-Oct-09 14:00 25-Oct-09 15:58 -5,000.00 Football / Bolton v Everton : Match Odds 25-Oct-09 13:30 25-Oct-09 15:23 -5,000.00 Football / Chelsea v Blackburn : Match Odds 24-Oct-09 17:30 24-Oct-09 19:23 -2,500.00 Football / Burnley v Wigan : Match Odds 24-Oct-09 15:00 24-Oct-09 16:59 -5,000.00 Football / Tottenham v Stoke : Match Odds 24-Oct-09 15:00 24-Oct-09 16:56 -5,000.00 Football / Birmingham v Sunderland : Match Odds 24-Oct-09 15:00 24-Oct-09 16:55 -5,000.00 Football / Wolves v Aston Villa : Match Odds 24-Oct-09 12:45 24-Oct-09 14:40 12,250.01 Football / Fulham v Hull : Match Odds 19-Oct-09 20:00 19-Oct-09 21:55 -5,000.00 Football / Wigan v Man City : Match Odds 18-Oct-09 16:00 18-Oct-09 17:55 11,999.31 Football / Blackburn v Burnley : Match Odds 18-Oct-09 13:00 18-Oct-09 14:57 -5,000.00
another profitable dayFootball: £65,473.88 Football Showing 1 - 20 of 39 markets Market Start time Settled date Profit/loss (£) Football / Portsmouth v Wigan : Match Odds 31-Oct-09 15:00 31-Oct-09 16:58 -5,000.00 Football / Sunderland v West
42 games played in this challange to date Missed 1 game that was a 5/2 draw only had 2500 on one game tha was not a draw net net should be 10K further infornt.
but 35% ROI to date, so challange going well
will be a shame if it all goes pear shaped now when on 2-3 draws from completeing this
Football: £73,703.91
Football Showing 1 - 20 of 41 markets
Market Start time Settled date Profit/loss (£) Football / Birmingham v Man City : Match Odds 01-Nov-09 16:00 01-Nov-09 18:00 13,230.03 Football / Man Utd v Blackburn : Match Odds 31-Oct-09 17:30 31-Oct-09 19:25 -5,000.00 Football / Portsmouth v Wigan : Match Odds 31-Oct-09 15:00 31-Oct-09 16:58 -5,000.00 Football / Sunderland v West Ham : Match Odds 31-Oct-09 15:00 31-Oct-09 16:57 11,523.01 Football / Everton v Aston Villa : Match Odds 31-Oct-09 15:00 31-Oct-09 16:57 12,250.07 Football / Stoke v Wolves : Match Odds 31-Oct-09 15:00 31-Oct-09 16:56 12,005.01 Football / Burnley v Hull : Match Odds 31-Oct-09 15:00 31-Oct-09 16:55 -5,000.00 Football / Bolton v Chelsea : Match Odds 31-Oct-09 15:00 31-Oct-09 16:54 -5,000.00 Football / Fulham v Liverpool : Match Odds 31-Oct-09 15:00 31-Oct-09 16:52 -5,000.00 Football / Arsenal v Tottenham : Match Odds 31-Oct-09 12:45 31-Oct-09 14:41 -5,000.00 Football / West Ham v Arsenal : Match Odds 25-Oct-09 16:15 25-Oct-09 18:12 18,619.98 Football / Man City v Fulham : Match Odds 25-Oct-09 15:00 25-Oct-09 16:56 17,150.03 Football / Liverpool v Man Utd : Match Odds 25-Oct-09 14:00 25-Oct-09 15:58 -5,000.00 Football / Bolton v Everton : Match Odds 25-Oct-09 13:30 25-Oct-09 15:23 -5,000.00 Football / Chelsea v Blackburn : Match Odds 24-Oct-09 17:30 24-Oct-09 19:23 -2,500.00 Football / Burnley v Wigan : Match Odds 24-Oct-09 15:00 24-Oct-09 16:59 -5,000.00 Football / Tottenham v Stoke : Match Odds 24-Oct-09 15:00 24-Oct-09 16:56 -5,000.00 Football / Birmingham v Sunderland : Match Odds 24-Oct-09 15:00 24-Oct-09 16:55 -5,000.00 Football / Wolves v Aston Villa : Match Odds 24-Oct-09 12:45 24-Oct-09 14:40 12,250.01 Football / Fulham v Hull : Match Odds 19-Oct-09 20:00 19-Oct-09 21:55 -5,000.00
42 games played in this challange to dateMissed 1 game that was a 5/2 drawonly had 2500 on one game tha was not a drawnet net should be 10K further infornt.but 35% ROI to date, so challange going wellwill be a shame if it all goes pear shaped now wh
did you bet on West Ham v Villa last night? if so you were bloody unlucky with that last minute winner for the hammers
amazing thread - hope you get to the £100kdid you bet on West Ham v Villa last night? if so you were bloody unlucky with that last minute winner for the hammers
was only joking , certainly wouldn't recommend it.bookmark this page :http://news.bbc.co.uk/sport1/hi/football/eng_prem/fixtures/default.stmno regrets that way!
BE A MERLIN AND TAKE THE MONEY,DONT END UP LIKE MICKEY MOUSE THE SAUCERERS APPRENTICE,, YOUVE PROOVED YOUR POINT AND TAKEN THEM TO THE CLEANERS ,DONT GIVE THEM IT BACK
BE A MERLIN AND TAKE THE MONEY,DONT END UP LIKE MICKEY MOUSE THE SAUCERERS APPRENTICE,, YOUVE PROOVED YOUR POINT AND TAKEN THEM TO THE CLEANERS ,DONT GIVE THEM IT BACK
missing the liverpool draw ( stuck at work) was costly.
that makes the PnL impact of missed games +25820, ie I should be 25820 more infront.
real PnL is +71820. (shown below)
making implied challange PnL +98,320
......
so - do I stop;
1) now? 2) When theroretical 100K is reached 3) when actualy 100K is reached.
would be so dissapointing to drop back to nothing, sitting just 1.7% off target???
I'm thinking need to get actual to 100K
Well well well....missing the liverpool draw ( stuck at work) was costly.that makes the PnL impact of missed games +25820, ie I should be 25820 more infront.real PnL is +71820. (shown below)making implied challange PnL +98,320......so - do I stop;1
i can see four draws over the weekend you're in a position now to set a stop loss, go down to 50k and knock it on the head, or break through the barrier. Good luck
i can see four draws over the weekendyou're in a position now to set a stop loss, go down to 50k and knock it on the head, or break through the barrier. Good luck
challange was complete in thoery after liverpool drawn this moring.
one more draw here and it should be complete in rerality also
another game gone drawn...challange was complete in thoery after liverpool drawn this moring.one more draw here and it should be complete in rerality also
An interesting thread but not for the obvious reasons. What has the magician actually done? Won £100,000 ? yes and thats great but hes also won 20 points which while nice doesn't sound so impressive. The same thing happens with tipster ads which boast nice profits to large stakes but when you analyse it turn out to be 20 pts profit or similar . People are dazzled by the cash figure which is just a multiple of points made. One mans unit stake of £5000 is anothers mans £5 obviously to mr magic this is chump change which begs the question why start the thread? I would say ego. For some people being successful is not enough other, people must recognise and applaud their achievements because whats another £100,000 if its what you find down the back of your sofa.
An interesting thread but not for the obvious reasons. What has the magician actually done? Won £100,000 ? yes and thats great but hes also won 20 points which while nice doesn't sound so impressive. The same thing happens with tipster ads which
Totally agree with the above. It's not masisvely impressive at all in terms of return on stake compared with winning days we've all had. What is does prove is that there is serious money to be made at Gambling, if you have a big enough bank and bet at level stakes imo.
Totally agree with the above. It's not masisvely impressive at all in terms of return on stake compared with winning days we've all had. What is does prove is that there is serious money to be made at Gambling, if you have a big enough bank and bet a
Forget all this "5k a pop" and Scoop 6 winings stuff...
Its mine & Viva La Presidente's "paper spread bet" that readers really want to know the latest on! :)
"Viva La Draw"
256 Prem matches remaining. 25 draws already happened.
Viva sold at 83.7
New Quote: 90.0!
Forget all this "5k a pop" and Scoop 6 winings stuff...Its mine & Viva La Presidente's "paper spread bet" that readers really want to know the latest on! :)"Viva La Draw"256 Prem matches remaining. 25 draws already happened.Viva sold at 83.7New Quote
The man has done very well with his trades and deserves credit ..well done..good stuff.. this guy is one of the more brighter fellas on here i'd imagine.
Ron Pillock - jealous are we lolThe man has done very well with his trades and deserves credit ..well done..good stuff.. this guy is one of the more brighter fellas on here i'd imagine.
Withou questioning the Magician's undoubted prowess I do agree with Ron on this- if someone wrote a thread about winning £100 with £5 bets I wouldn't be very impressed. Just putting zeros in the end doesn't make any difference.
Withou questioning the Magician's undoubted prowess I do agree with Ron on this- if someone wrote a thread about winning £100 with £5 bets I wouldn't be very impressed. Just putting zeros in the end doesn't make any difference.
I meant to say.. we could all learn from this guy..
(why are all the best pro punters Australian ??)
Raps, what should we learn from this guy ?
RAPS 23 Nov 22:36 I meant to say..we could all learn from this guy..(why are all the best pro punters Australian ??) Raps, what should we learn from this guy ?
there's a lot of parallels between this challenge and someone who would stand at a roulette wheel, wait for a sequence of blacks, and then bet red
sometimes those people win too, and nobody cares when they do
there's a lot of parallels between this challenge and someone who would stand at a roulette wheel, wait for a sequence of blacks, and then bet redsometimes those people win too, and nobody cares when they do
To be fair to the OP here, his original thinking/question had some merit. As you can see from replies, I wasnt (and still not) convinced there is anything in this but I cant blame him for investigating whether there were any market over-reactions to the early season results and/or any fundamental shifts in the underlying factors.
As for the results, too small a data sample for me to mean anything conclusive no matter what your point of view but I wouldnt knock the guy for at least asking the question.
To be fair to the OP here, his original thinking/question had some merit. As you can see from replies, I wasnt (and still not) convinced there is anything in this but I cant blame him for investigating whether there were any market over-reactions to
JPG, I haven't noticed a market over reaction, and draw prices are something I monitor frequently. There has been a correction in results similar to the roulette table example from another poster IMO, and that was always possible. I still think the whole thread is a wind up.
JPG, I haven't noticed a market over reaction, and draw prices are something I monitor frequently. There has been a correction in results similar to the roulette table example from another poster IMO, and that was always possible. I still think the
If you think its a wind-up then fair enough, thats up to you. However, do you think this purely because the level of stakes that are claimed to be involved or other reasons?
Ken,If you think its a wind-up then fair enough, thats up to you. However, do you think this purely because the level of stakes that are claimed to be involved or other reasons?
JPG, to be honest, I haven't read the whole thread, being away from my computer for about 3 days in the middle of it. I think it's a wind up because, IMO, no one bets to that level on a whim, or if he IS betting on these draws, he is betting to small stakes. Either way, it doesn't seem genuine but I could be wrong. I really don't care.
JPG, to be honest, I haven't read the whole thread, being away from my computer for about 3 days in the middle of it. I think it's a wind up because, IMO, no one bets to that level on a whim, or if he IS betting on these draws, he is betting to small
Magician will you look into pre suspension hoovering on a horse at lingfield today. Flawed Genuis, 1.30 race. 2.16 out to 4 on place mkt just b4 suspend. Horse stays in stalls.
Magician will you look into pre suspension hoovering on a horse at lingfield today. Flawed Genuis, 1.30 race. 2.16 out to 4 on place mkt just b4 suspend. Horse stays in stalls.
I have had a word to betfair already - and they are investigating it very seriously.
I will be checking my data tomorrow morning, and give you some feedback.
this horse has a history of this apparently. which on one hand gives reason for this but on the other hand raises further suspicion.
anyway I am sure betfair will be entirely thorough, and ill keep on them - to make sure
Stringer.I have had a word to betfair already - and they are investigating it very seriously.I will be checking my data tomorrow morning, and give you some feedback.this horse has a history of this apparently. which on one hand gives reason for this
fwiw, i don't for one second think magician was bull$hitting here, the amounts involved were not enormous sums for him, as far as i am aware
my criticism is that he opened with some interesting questions, then appeared to show no desire to delve deeper and see if he could approach some useful, concrete findings - the proposed challenge he set up did not sound illuminating or insightful and the results aren't particularly so either
if there was some data mining that was going on behind the scenes to give a strong suggestion that these were indeed good bets he was having, then that's a different matter - otherwise it just looks like someone blindly betting at the roulette wheel against a streak of weird numbers
fwiw, i don't for one second think magician was bull$hitting here, the amounts involved were not enormous sums for him, as far as i am awaremy criticism is that he opened with some interesting questions, then appeared to show no desire to delve deepe
The horse has done it the 2 times previously but the course players definitely got in before the suspension. Thanks.
Betfair have voided the bets - if you where a backer against the people putting in extremely lays - I understand you will get you money back as the bets have been VOID
a great move by betfair.
"Stringer" Bell 25 Nov 20:57 The horse has done it the 2 times previously but the course players definitely got in before the suspension. Thanks. Betfair have voided the bets - if you where a backer against the people putting in extremely lays -
If a market is scheduled to be turned in-play but Betfair does not suspend the market at the time of the 'off' (so unmatched bets are not cancelled at that time), but the market is intentionally turned in-play at a later time during the event, all bets matched after the time of the 'off' will stand.
I guess you mean betfair are refunding out of their own pocket, rather than voiding those bets?
The Magician isnt that against the rules?If a market is scheduled to be turned in-play but Betfair does not suspend the market at the time of the 'off' (so unmatched bets are not cancelled at that time), but the market is intentionally turned in-play
I am well aware of the above rule - but IMO that rule is in breech of (or at least not compatatble with) the law.
that rule will be tested one day - and found untenable -
perhaps that is partially betfair seem to contradict it on this occasion.
But remember have another far reach rule about interity of the markets and thie product - and I would assume it is this rule that the have allowe dto overide the above rule. I will dig the exact rule out for you tomorrow,
but IMO befiar should be congratulated for this move.
itis a clear aditional step in favour of the casual punter.
Hazel Betfair are voidingI am well aware of the above rule - but IMO that rule is in breech of (or at least not compatatble with) the law.that rule will be tested one day - and found untenable - perhaps that is partially betfair seem to contradict it
a little disapointing, the end of ( or maybe not ) of this challange.
I missed all todays games - was at the races.
dont knwo what price but assume
4 winners at 5/2 = +50 minimum 3 losers -15, so plus 35 today
so now on missed draws I am something like 60K worse off.....
and on the challange I am plus 80K
real +80 theory +140 I guess.
time to call it a day
a little disapointing, the end of ( or maybe not ) of this challange.I missed all todays games - was at the races.dont knwo what price but assume4 winners at 5/2 = +50 minimum3 losers -15, so plus 35 todayso now on missed draws I am something like 6
FYI premier league prices @ 2pm todayBlackburn v Stokeh 1.98a 4.7d 3.45Fulham v Bolton1.865.33.6Man City v Hull1.3212.55.9Portsmouth v Man Utd101.395.2West Ham v Burnley1.835.13.75Wigan v Sunderland2.633.45Villa v Tottenham2.62.983.5
Blackburn v Stoke 3.45 winner (cost 12250) Fulham v Bolton 3.6 winner (cost 13000) Man City v Hul l5.9 winner (cost 24500) Portsmouth v Man Utd loser (saved 5000) West Ham v Burnley loser (saved 5000) Wigan v Sunderland loser (saved 5000) Villa v Tottenham 3.5 winner (cost 12500)
opportunity cost 47250 (minus comission)
slightly depressing new....Blackburn v Stoke 3.45 winner (cost 12250)Fulham v Bolton 3.6 winner (cost 13000)Man City v Hul l5.9 winner (cost 24500)Portsmouth v Man Utd loser (saved 5000)West Ham v Burnley loser (saved 5000)Wigan v Sunderland loser (
The Magician (100) 28 Nov 22:46 slightly depressing new....
opportunity cost 47250 (minus comission)
I'm sure the £1.8M from the scoop 6 will lessen the blow ;) well done btw
The Magician (100) 28 Nov 22:46 slightly depressing new....opportunity cost 47250 (minus comission)I'm sure the £1.8M from the scoop 6 will lessen the blow ;) well done btw
did not play today - was tied up with the scoop and a birthday party tonight.
3 times I have spend 2K doing 10 teams all ways with ladbrokes... that would have returend 200K today I guess
anyway..... cant complain
this challange would be 170-200k by now
so annoying.....did not play today - was tied up with the scoop and a birthday party tonight.3 times I have spend 2K doing 10 teams all ways with ladbrokes... that would have returend 200K today I guessanyway..... cant complainthis challange would be
did a quick calc.... maybe did not miss 200K perhaps more like 125-150k
less agrivating...
7/9 would have been +75K or more on 5K stakes also.
wish I did not finsih this challange so early LOL
did a quick calc.... maybe did not miss 200K perhaps more like 125-150kless agrivating...7/9 would have been +75K or more on 5K stakes also.wish I did not finsih this challange so early LOL
Potential to win about another £350,000 on the draws
2009/10 - A very good year for the magic man!
A good thread from days of old!£80,000 profit on backing the draw£1,800,000 on scoopPotential to win about another £350,000 on the draws 2009/10 - A very good year for the magic man!
96 Draws in total by the end of that season... looks like Viva owes me 13pts.
Making some assumptions from his betting habits posted on this forum, I reckon he would have staked £100 per draw/point on that spread bet..... meaning he owes me £1300!!!
Ill accept a grand Viva :)
Crikey, this thread brings back memories.96 Draws in total by the end of that season... looks like Viva owes me 13pts.Making some assumptions from his betting habits posted on this forum, I reckon he would have staked £100 per draw/point on that spr
This was a good thread at the time....time has flown !! I seem to remember someone else running a similar thread at the time, though the poster only ran it for a few weeks and was betting in multiples.
A lot of punters dont like backing draws, but I happen to have a happy knack of finding them on a regular basis. Interesting that Magician simply backed on what you may call a " Monte Carlo " hunch....
This was a good thread at the time....time has flown !! I seem to remember someone else running a similar thread at the time, though the poster only ran it for a few weeks and was betting in multiples.A lot of punters dont like backing draws, but I h