My £150 conservative betting thread.

Bank remains: 200

10/10 successful bets

Withdrew to date: 37.02 (Not including BF commission)

Bet 11

75 V.Williams to bt Sharapova 1 set up, 3-3, 0-40 3 bp @ 1.12

Potential win: 9.00

Bet 11

75 V.Williams to bt Sharapova, 1 set up, 3-3, 0-40, 3 bp @ 1.12 WON

Cashed in: 9.00 (Not including BF commission)

Bet 12

200 B. Bryan/Stosur to bt Garcia/Suarez (Mixed Doubles), 5-0 games @ 1.03

Potential win: 6.00

Bet 12

200 B. Bryan/Stosur to bt Garcia/Suarez (Mixed Doubles), 5-0 games @ 1.03 WON

Cashed in: 6.00 (Not including BF commission)

New Guy in Town 04 Jul 13:40
" Any Bet under evs is a bad bet imo! you have to get loads more right than wrong to make a profit! but to back at such tiny odds is just unreal! "

I'm not a big fan of betting long odds on shots, I do a few myself. If there's a 1/10 dead cert, get outta me way I'm backing it ! .
But you can make money backing 1/50s.

greatestmoneymaker I think want paying for his 1/50 maximum bets (pml at his blog), I think he's asking a bit much.

http://joe2728.lastminuteliving.com/500_winning_bets_/2007/07/results.html

http://greatestmoneymaker.lastminuteliving.com/my_weblog/2007/07/latest-results.html

I think odwyer is planning a similar kind of service after he has proofed it on here for a while. PMSL.

Bet 13

Vegas Desert Classic Darts, 100 Mawson to bt Holden, 5-2 (first to 6) 100 pts in front @ 1.03

Potential win: 3.00

Bet 13

Vegas Desert Classic Darts, 100 Mawson to bt Holden, 5-2 (first to 6) 100 pts in front @ 1.03 WON

Cashed in: 3.00 (Not including BF commission)

Bank: 200

Bet 14

MLB - Minnesota @ NYY, 150 on Minnesota, winning 6-2, Bottom 9, 1 out @ 1.01

Potential win: 2.00

Correction:

200 on Minnesota, winning 6-2, Bottom 9, 1 out @ 1.01

Potential win: 2.00

Bet 14

MLB - Minnesota @ NYY, 200 on Minnesota, winning 6-2, Bottom 9, 1 out @ 1.01 WON

Cashed in: 2.00 (Not including BF commission)

Bet 15

MLB - Toronto @ Oakland As, 200 on Toronto, winning 8-0, Bottom 7, 2 out, 1 on @ 1.01

Potential win: 2.00

Bet 15

MLB - Toronto @ Oakland As, 200 on Toronto, winning 8-0, Bottom 7, 2 out, 1 on @ 1.01 WON

Cashed in: 2.00 (Not including BF commission)

Bank: 200

Bank remains: 200

15/15 successful bets

Withdrew to date: 59.02 (Not including BF commission)

lol,,

you keep going on about this
Bank remains: 200
&
15/15 successful bets
& this
Withdrew to date: 59.02 (Not including BF commission)
but forget to add the --attempts

;)

Bet 16

200 V.Williams to bt Kuznetsova, 1 set up, 5-4 break, 30 love @ 1.01

Potential win: 2.00

Bet 16

200 V.Williams to bt Kuznetsova, 1 set up, 5-4 break, 30 love @ 1.01 WON

Cashed in: 2.00

Bet 17

100 T.Berdych to bt Bjorkman, 2 sets up, 3-4, 40 love, on serve @ 1.05

Potential win: 5.00

Bet 17

100 T.Berdych to bt Bjorkman, 2 sets up, 3-4, 40 love, on serve @ 1.05 WON

Cashed in: 5.00 (Not including BF commission)

Bet 18

200 Bogdanovic/South to bt Wassen/Chan (Mixed Doubles) 1 set up, 4-1, 2 breaks @ 1.02

Potential win: 4.00

Bet 18

200 Bogdanovic/South to bt Wassen/Chan (Mixed Doubles) 1 set up, 4-1, 2 breaks @ 1.02 WON

Cashed in: 4.00 (Not including BF commission)

so are you in profit?? cant be Arsed to work it out!!??

Bank remains: 200

18/18 successful bets

Withdrew to date: 70.02 (Not including BF commission)

New guy, just on his 'conservative' bets, he is down about 60 in all.

There has been no money lost at all.

Attempt 1 and 2 failed, but it was recovered via the chase bets. The bets lost were lessons learnt.

All in all, I still have the original 150 I initially deposited when I started, which was increased to 200 through winning chase bets.

70.02 profit through this latest attempt.

Bet 19

MLB - Cleveland @ Detroit, 200 Detroit, leading 8-3, bottom 6, 2 men on, none out @ 1.02

Potential win: 3.15

Bet 19

MLB - Cleveland @ Detroit, 200 Detroit, leading 8-3, bottom 6, 2 men on, none out @ 1.02 WON

Cashed in: 3.15 (Not including BF commission)

Bank: 200

Bet 20

Vegas Desert Classic Darts, 75 Manley to bt Vincent van der Voort, leading 5-1 (first to 6) @ 1.04

Potential win: 3.00

Bet 20

Vegas Desert Classic Darts, 75 Manley to bt Vincent van der Voort, leading 5-1 (first to 6) @ 1.04 WON

Cashed in: 3.00 (Not including BF commission)

Bet 21

Vegas Desert Classic Darts, 50 Van Barneveld to bt Painter, leading 3-0, on a finish (first to 6) @ 1.08

Potential win: 4.15

Bet 22

Vegas Desert Classic Darts, 150 Van Barneveld to bt Painter, leading 5-0 (first to 6) @ 1.01

Potential win: 1.50

Bet 21

Vegas Desert Classic Darts, 50 Van Barneveld to bt Painter, leading 3-0, on a finish (first to 6) @ 1.08 WON

Cashed in: 4.15 (Not including BF commission)

Bet 22

Vegas Desert Classic Darts, 150 Van Barneveld to bt Painter, leading 5-0 (first to 6) @ 1.01 WON

Cashed in: 1.50 (Not including BF commission)

Bank: 200

Bank remains: 200

22/22 successful bets

Profit to date: 81.82 (Not including BF commission)

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Bet 23

200 Molik/Santangelo to bt Peng/Yan (Ladies doubles) 1 set up, 4-0, 30 love @ 1.01

Potential win: 2.00

Bet 23

200 Molik/Santangelo to bt Peng/Yan (Ladies doubles) 1 set up, 4-0, 30 love @ 1.01 WON

Cashed in: 2.00 (Not including BF commission)

Bet 24

200 Nadal to bt Tomas Berdych, 2 sets up, leading 3-1, 15-15 @ 1.02

Potential win: 4.00

Bet 24

200 Nadal to bt Tomas Berdych 2 sets up, leading 3-1, 15-15 @ 1.02 WON

Cashed in: 4.00 (Not including BF commission)

just to ask, why don't you just put up what you win after commission?

Bet 25

150 Novak Djokovic to bt Baghdatis, 2 sets up, leading 2-0, 40-00 @ 1.04

Potential win: 6.00

just to ask, why don't you just put up what you win after commission?

Baghdatis wins 5 straight games after I put the bet on. 5th set, in trouble.

Bet 25

150 Novak Djokovic to bt Baghdatis, 2 sets up, leading 2-0, 40-00 @ 1.04 WON

Cashed in: 6.00 (Not including BF commission)

just to ask, why don't you just put up what you win after commission?

Because it takes too long and slows everything down. I'd rather put the actual winnings as it would be on every other betting site.

After the latest Chokovic match, I have to review my own choices. Lesson being - the match is never over against a quality opponent - even if they're a break and 2 sets up.

Bet 26

200 Bryan/Bryan to bt Dlouhy/Vizner (Mens doubles) 2 sets up, 2-2, 15-30 @ 1.02

Potential win: 4.00

Bet 26

200 Bryan/Bryan to bt Dlouhy/Vizner (Mens doubles) 2 sets up, 2-2, 15-30 @ 1.02 WON

Cashed in: 4.00 (Not including BF commission)

Bet 27

200 Henin to bt Bartoli, 3-0 up in games @ 1.02

Potential win: 4.00

Someone explain that loss.

Thanks Henin.

349 matched at Bartoli @ 200.

End of game.

Yer a ** idiot. It wasn't value backing Henin @ 1.02 in that position because 1.02 was still available when she double broke.

You have no concept of value but thank God punters like you are on Betfair lining the shroodies pockets in the long term. :)

odwyer1980 06 Jul 18:58
Someone explain that loss.

Pierce Brosnan in the crowd, apparently...

PML @ last post.

I hope you have enough left for that cardboard box you'll be living in...don't say I didn't warn you

cardboard box? he's only lost just over a 100 net

still a

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though :)

not knocking you odwyer like i said before i want everyone to win,and i genuinely mean that, although i know there has got to be losers. but i just cant get my head round your strategy i said it would creep up and get you in the end it always does,why for the life of me you just didnt do what i thought and accumalate what you had won on to the next bet and so on,until 20 bets say and then withdraw,i would urge you to not go down this road again because as sure as eggs are eggs it will just keep getting you.

So, are you ready to accept that the big favourite doesnt always win?

I was hoping you were going to bet on Roddick at 1.01 as well.

Superb stuff again from the master of "conservative" betting. How many "Banks" is that? I think an overnight 10/1 chance should get you back in front.

I've come to the conclusion that this method cannot be done with Tennis. It will always fail, no matter how safe you think you are.

It will also fail with football when you pick under 4.5 goals left with 10 minutes remaining - even though a team is leading 1-0.

With Darts - you will also fail, even though a player is 5-1 in front and needing 1 more leg to win.

I was not going on value, I was going on when I thought the event was over.

With betting you cannot win. The Henin match has taught me this.

However, I'm quite excited right now. I think through the storms and rain I've worked out a free money method with certain sports and certain situations, which won't be conducted on here at this time.

You have been messing with your mind. Backing short odds (or trading in such a way that you are effectively backing at short odds) gives you lots of small wins, thus bombarding your pleasure centre with positive messages and inducing you to believe that losers are just blips. Once you are in this trap you are in danger of being sucked into a vortex where you brain is convinced that what you are doing wrong is actually right. My advice is to stop betting for at least two weeks and spend your time evaluating your strategies in a rational way. Your subconscious mind is a powerful enemy if you allow it to control your rational mind.

Back and lay instantly on football, you will win 99% of the time ......

It will also fail with football when you pick under 4.5 goals left with 10 minutes remaining - even though a team is leading 1-0.

ridiculous !!

Schalke 04 07 Jul 10:26
" Back and lay instantly on football, you will win 99% of the time ".

How can you give advice S04 ? You've picked more 1/25 - 1/100 losers by a mile. Your on a winning run at the moment like 20 other threads you've started, but you lost all of them. Not having a pop just stating the facts.
People need to wake up and stop dreaming when they get a " winning run ", it's only a few winners, in the end most will lose. How hard is it to pick 20 -30 - 1/10 winners ? ffs. Get a grip people.

I may have picked many losing bets in my time but it's all bout profit SA and I am in profit ...... you can't argue with profit, can you !

Schalke 04 07 Jul 10:26
" Back and lay instantly on football, you will win 99% of the time ......"

now without losing the plot S04 (or anyone), whats wrong with this statment ?

And I havn't lost on all my threads, you obviosly don't pay enough attention SA

Shared Account 07 Jul 10:49


Schalke 04 07 Jul 10:26
" Back and lay instantly on football, you will win 99% of the time ......"

now without losing the plot S04 (or anyone), whats wrong with this statment ?

should have had a full stop at the end instead of six dots

Schalke 04 07 Jul 10:26
" Back and lay instantly on football, you will win 99% of the time ......"

now without losing the plot S04 (or anyone), whats wrong with this statment ?

should have had a full stop at the end instead of six dots.


S04 how can you win doing this ? " Back and lay instantly on football "

You back, then you instantly enter you lay ...... whats hard to read about that?

Now what you are not taking into consideration is that it is not fully explained ..... and you seem to be making up your on conclusions about what it means.

sorry did you mean in the unders market, back @ 1.11 and lay @ 1.1 ?

ok, so you back @ 1.11 for 100 and lay @ 1.1, but you win 99% of the time, so how do you make profit ?

Any market where the bet is good and no, not always for just one point .....

A market can move 3/4 points in an instant you know SA

S04 you know and I know you talk sh1te, tell me these market ffs. Or is it just you that can bet like this ?

Match Odds ----- Over/Under 1.5/2.5/3.5/4.5 ----- Half-time ----- to qualify

Do you not know that the odds go down when the clock tics in football SA?

Try it, although you still don't know exactly the way I would do it ..... so yet again jumping to your usual own conclusions.

Schalke 04 07 Jul 10:49
" I may have picked many losing bets in my time but it's all bout profit SA and I am in profit ...... you can't argue with profit, can you ! "


I'm on here years and I have NEVER seen a winning thread by you NEVER !. So how the f#ck can you be winning ?

one thing I do is if someone wins I say well done, it's great to see people winning but when it come to dreamers like you, I PML at your threads.

SA .......

were you around when I won 3000 in one month using my 1.01-1.05 threads ...... 2006

last month I made over 1K from the snooker and others bets (all on the forum)

Were you paying attention to my laying football threads?

were you watching my laying correct scores on football forum ... won over 1K

---------------------------

seems you just pick the negative from me, yes I had a run losing quite a bit but I am in profit from my threads otherwise I wouldn't be doing this !!

Last two months alone I am up 1,500

The thread title of 'conservative betting' is about as far from the content as possible.

bump

:^0

loooooooooool

odwyer1980 07 Jul 07:25

However, I'm quite excited right now. I think through the storms and rain I've worked out a free money method with certain sports and certain situations, which won't be conducted on here at this time.

2.5 weeks later - I have not lost a bet in over 250 bets.

Page 1 http://i25.photobucket.com/albums/c100/odwyer1980/betfair1.jpg

Page 2 http://i25.photobucket.com/albums/c100/odwyer1980/betfair2.jpg

Page 3 http://i25.photobucket.com/albums/c100/odwyer1980/betfair3.jpg

Something funny dirtboy?

yes....il give you one guess who!

Could you put up a screenshot of this bet please?

odwyer1980 29 Jun 22:35


I know I've made a mug of myself here, but it is swings and roundabouts this betting lark.

As a last resort, I deposited 30 and placed the 30 on the Chicago Cubs when they were 5-0 down to Milwaukee in the 4th and got odds 8.00. Aramis Ramirez only hits a 2 out HR in the bottom of the 9th to win it 6-5, meaning my account now has 229.50.



Thanks

If I had something to prove I'd post that screen shot, but I don't, so there's no need.

;-)

I fully understand ;)

A must read Fred. :^0

A must read Fred. :^0

A must read Fred. :^0

:^0

didn't the first bet lose?

Legendary Stuff

Odwyer has since become a pro with his own blog

http://odwyer1980.blogspot.com/

[;)]

not bad at all - checking his blog now :)

conservative betting = lumping the entire bank on the nearest 1.02 at hand. any sport will do !

You really couldn't make it up.