New Posts For Thread: Gambles on horses that are wronghttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/30294559/gambles-on-horses-that-are-wrongI'm so often really bemused by the horse markets on here - specifically seeing gambles that are totally wrong in terms of the results.Just wondered if anyone else had noticed this a lot and considered it? See huge amounts sometimes pushing a horse inHave to admit I fancied it at 7/1, but still...https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/30294559/gambles-on-horses-that-are-wrong?post_id=543229909#543229909Have to admit I fancied it at 7/1, but still...Fri, 23 Jan 2015 12:52:31 -0600Now there, this just has to be a one of these:6.45 Wolves - Opus Dei, backed on here from around 8.0 into nearer 3.0 just now, huge chunks, bookies prices smashed into 7/4Ran like a complete drain, and beat one horse home in the race.Some mortgages hhttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/30294559/gambles-on-horses-that-are-wrong?post_id=543229901#543229901Now there, this just has to be a one of these:6.45 Wolves - Opus Dei, backed on here from around 8.0 into nearer 3.0 just now, huge chunks, bookies prices smashed into 7/4Ran like a complete drain, and beat one horse home in the race.Some mortgages hFri, 23 Jan 2015 12:51:41 -0600I sometimes think that a market is always both 'right' and 'wrong' at the same time - the bigger prices on a winner were essentially wrong for layers and right for backers, and vice-versa. But in addition to this the higher prices that were matched whttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/30294559/gambles-on-horses-that-are-wrong?post_id=543185019#543185019I sometimes think that a market is always both 'right' and 'wrong' at the same time - the bigger prices on a winner were essentially wrong for layers and right for backers, and vice-versa. But in addition to this the higher prices that were matched wTue, 20 Jan 2015 11:29:43 -0600DFC even, sorry.https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/30294559/gambles-on-horses-that-are-wrong?post_id=543184825#543184825DFC even, sorry.Tue, 20 Jan 2015 11:18:38 -0600Thanks for that DCF, some interesting points there I agree.https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/30294559/gambles-on-horses-that-are-wrong?post_id=543184815#543184815Thanks for that DCF, some interesting points there I agree.Tue, 20 Jan 2015 11:18:12 -0600Betfair SP Overround/Underround: 101%Industry overround: 117%===========================================================The BOOK indicates an efficient market on the race......FACT.Horses drift and also shorten for numerous reasons......The trainer ohttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/30294559/gambles-on-horses-that-are-wrong?post_id=543177151#543177151Betfair SP Overround/Underround: 101%Industry overround: 117%===========================================================The BOOK indicates an efficient market on the race......FACT.Horses drift and also shorten for numerous reasons......The trainer oMon, 19 Jan 2015 18:32:12 -0600Obviously that example is an example of the reverse 'wrongness' of a market, when a horse drifts and then wins..https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/30294559/gambles-on-horses-that-are-wrong?post_id=543161441#543161441Obviously that example is an example of the reverse 'wrongness' of a market, when a horse drifts and then wins..Sun, 18 Jan 2015 18:13:07 -0600Would be interested in anyone's opinion on 3.10 Lingfield 17th Jan.Glastonbury won the race, but proceeded to drift pre race from (approx) 12.00 to 24.0 max.Any view how that could be an 'efficient' market would be welcome, for those who say it alwayhttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/30294559/gambles-on-horses-that-are-wrong?post_id=543161367#543161367Would be interested in anyone's opinion on 3.10 Lingfield 17th Jan.Glastonbury won the race, but proceeded to drift pre race from (approx) 12.00 to 24.0 max.Any view how that could be an 'efficient' market would be welcome, for those who say it alwaySun, 18 Jan 2015 18:09:24 -0600and i thought there was only mehttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/30294559/gambles-on-horses-that-are-wrong?post_id=540962859#540962859and i thought there was only meFri, 15 Aug 2014 14:42:27 -0500Years ago, put up some flags at 15% through 40% around 12 minutes before the off. Found 25% was the best to get some margin to trade out unless I felt it was a lay then would go in-running on the decision.This was years ago and the market movement hhttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/30294559/gambles-on-horses-that-are-wrong?post_id=540947379#540947379Years ago, put up some flags at 15% through 40% around 12 minutes before the off. Found 25% was the best to get some margin to trade out unless I felt it was a lay then would go in-running on the decision.This was years ago and the market movement hThu, 14 Aug 2014 14:42:49 -0500