New Posts For Thread: STATS in sportshttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/30193541/stats-in-sportsI've often said that in betting, the only people that profit from stats are the bookmakers.Perhaps a simple view but on the surface, the past is not the best way to predict the future.I've always taken the view that the 'context' of the stat is mostRoker...cheers for the articlehttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/30193541/stats-in-sports?post_id=537937099#537937099Roker...cheers for the articleWed, 12 Feb 2014 05:10:21 -0600This is a decent article on the different factors that can influence the outcome of a tennis match, as another poster said, a player reaching the latter stages of one tournament and then flying thousands of miles for another has to come into your conhttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/30193541/stats-in-sports?post_id=537851421#537851421This is a decent article on the different factors that can influence the outcome of a tennis match, as another poster said, a player reaching the latter stages of one tournament and then flying thousands of miles for another has to come into your conFri, 07 Feb 2014 08:17:10 -0600Everything you listed, obviously, not in the stats. But this is something that, yes, you can make note of.This would go under the column of 'context'.You can 'overthink' a selection, as well (I'm going through that right now with my racing selectionhttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/30193541/stats-in-sports?post_id=537849739#537849739Everything you listed, obviously, not in the stats. But this is something that, yes, you can make note of.This would go under the column of 'context'.You can 'overthink' a selection, as well (I'm going through that right now with my racing selectionFri, 07 Feb 2014 06:31:32 -0600Do you have any idea the number of players in Tennis who tank matches / tournaments ? it happens a lot and player retiring just after the first set. Betting on lower ranked players is precarious.Also have to factor in other things, players who arrivehttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/30193541/stats-in-sports?post_id=537846831#537846831Do you have any idea the number of players in Tennis who tank matches / tournaments ? it happens a lot and player retiring just after the first set. Betting on lower ranked players is precarious.Also have to factor in other things, players who arriveThu, 06 Feb 2014 20:53:21 -0600People in bookies ....my guess on percentages :_1. Backing horses with their favourite jockeys riding em........15%2. Backing "lucky" numbers.......................................5%.3. Backing favourite............................................10%https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/30193541/stats-in-sports?post_id=537836815#537836815People in bookies ....my guess on percentages :_1. Backing horses with their favourite jockeys riding em........15%2. Backing "lucky" numbers.......................................5%.3. Backing favourite............................................10%Thu, 06 Feb 2014 08:34:08 -0600Three things I have found that decreases the 'frog factor':a)Look at things from a different angle which will give you edge. So when you do create a rating (based on stats), then not just a matter of 'back-checking' but putting them in context of thhttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/30193541/stats-in-sports?post_id=537835159#537835159Three things I have found that decreases the 'frog factor':a)Look at things from a different angle which will give you edge. So when you do create a rating (based on stats), then not just a matter of 'back-checking' but putting them in context of thThu, 06 Feb 2014 06:27:39 -0600Ok giving a more serious response, the bookies benefit from the stats because they generally offer prices worse than true value and stop all the people betting who are able to spot the occasions when the prices offered are actually better than value.https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/30193541/stats-in-sports?post_id=537834123#537834123Ok giving a more serious response, the bookies benefit from the stats because they generally offer prices worse than true value and stop all the people betting who are able to spot the occasions when the prices offered are actually better than value.Thu, 06 Feb 2014 03:40:44 -0600surely you have to kiss a lot of frog stats before you find a prince stathttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/30193541/stats-in-sports?post_id=537829551#537829551surely you have to kiss a lot of frog stats before you find a prince statWed, 05 Feb 2014 16:18:30 -06001. No, not a bookmaker but I'll often take the 'approach' when looking at an event. I will weigh out the risks, etc, and take more than one position on an event. My attitude is if you are going to spend time on researching an event, it's best to mahttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/30193541/stats-in-sports?post_id=537829223#5378292231. No, not a bookmaker but I'll often take the 'approach' when looking at an event. I will weigh out the risks, etc, and take more than one position on an event. My attitude is if you are going to spend time on researching an event, it's best to maWed, 05 Feb 2014 15:52:40 -0600My latest koohttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/30193541/stats-in-sports?post_id=537817859#537817859My latest kooWed, 05 Feb 2014 02:37:47 -0600