New Posts For Thread: My conclusion after time online betting is if you break even you have probably done ok.https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/30192029/my-conclusion-after-time-online-betting-is-if-you-break-even-you-have-probably-done-okThats just how i see it, always seems one game stumps you up in accas, the law of average tells me that if you break even in gambling in a day or a week , month or year you have probably done ok, it aint meant to be easy.I was just reading the thread when I tried it on that 1 race 10% lower than Betfair S/P. I rarely lay horses and it was a bit of fun on a race I had no interest in.https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/30192029/my-conclusion-after-time-online-betting-is-if-you-break-even-you-have-probably-done-ok?post_id=538109413#538109413I was just reading the thread when I tried it on that 1 race 10% lower than Betfair S/P. I rarely lay horses and it was a bit of fun on a race I had no interest in.Sat, 22 Feb 2014 15:53:58 -0600Steamship - bookies SP not Betfair's. never lay horses at Betfair SP you'll go broke.https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/30192029/my-conclusion-after-time-online-betting-is-if-you-break-even-you-have-probably-done-ok?post_id=538105235#538105235Steamship - bookies SP not Betfair's. never lay horses at Betfair SP you'll go broke.Sat, 22 Feb 2014 11:44:06 -0600My post is based on past results going back over 10 years.I expect that the higher priced favourites are the ones that don't get matched so often, so lay them at SP.The short ones you could lay at say -20% eg the difference between 3.0 is 2.7 or 2.6https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/30192029/my-conclusion-after-time-online-betting-is-if-you-break-even-you-have-probably-done-ok?post_id=538105169#538105169My post is based on past results going back over 10 years.I expect that the higher priced favourites are the ones that don't get matched so often, so lay them at SP.The short ones you could lay at say -20% eg the difference between 3.0 is 2.7 or 2.6Sat, 22 Feb 2014 11:38:17 -0600As No Moves says , it works fine when they get beat , but you will lay every single winning fav and won't get matched on enough of the losers to make up the differencehttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/30192029/my-conclusion-after-time-online-betting-is-if-you-break-even-you-have-probably-done-ok?post_id=538104865#538104865As No Moves says , it works fine when they get beat , but you will lay every single winning fav and won't get matched on enough of the losers to make up the differenceSat, 22 Feb 2014 11:15:30 -0600Well theres one inhttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/30192029/my-conclusion-after-time-online-betting-is-if-you-break-even-you-have-probably-done-ok?post_id=538104621#538104621Well theres one inSat, 22 Feb 2014 10:59:56 -0600455 Kemp put a lay of 1.8 on Clondaw Banker BSP 2.07 see if this workshttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/30192029/my-conclusion-after-time-online-betting-is-if-you-break-even-you-have-probably-done-ok?post_id=538104571#538104571455 Kemp put a lay of 1.8 on Clondaw Banker BSP 2.07 see if this worksSat, 22 Feb 2014 10:56:31 -0600Somebody calculated that 93% of runners trade at a shorter price in running but this figure includes horses who are only a couple of percentage points below the Betfair SP, which might still be equal or above bookmakers SP. I suppose this isn't reallhttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/30192029/my-conclusion-after-time-online-betting-is-if-you-break-even-you-have-probably-done-ok?post_id=538103623#538103623Somebody calculated that 93% of runners trade at a shorter price in running but this figure includes horses who are only a couple of percentage points below the Betfair SP, which might still be equal or above bookmakers SP. I suppose this isn't reallSat, 22 Feb 2014 09:51:10 -0600Is it? I thought it meant getting value and that small edge makes a huge difference.use 2.5% ratchet stake to lay in running all uk favs 'at the off' for about 15% of their bookmaker SP eg 3.0 = 2.7about 95+% will be matched and then lose.At the endhttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/30192029/my-conclusion-after-time-online-betting-is-if-you-break-even-you-have-probably-done-ok?post_id=538101591#538101591Is it? I thought it meant getting value and that small edge makes a huge difference.use 2.5% ratchet stake to lay in running all uk favs 'at the off' for about 15% of their bookmaker SP eg 3.0 = 2.7about 95+% will be matched and then lose.At the endSat, 22 Feb 2014 07:58:19 -0600https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/30192029/my-conclusion-after-time-online-betting-is-if-you-break-even-you-have-probably-done-ok?post_id=538096599#538096599Fri, 21 Feb 2014 20:37:07 -0600That's like saying all you need to do is just back winners and don't bother backing losers; ye but how?https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/30192029/my-conclusion-after-time-online-betting-is-if-you-break-even-you-have-probably-done-ok?post_id=538089261#538089261That's like saying all you need to do is just back winners and don't bother backing losers; ye but how?Fri, 21 Feb 2014 13:01:06 -0600