New Posts For Thread: How often can you get matched at higher odds than normal?https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/30156621/how-often-can-you-get-matched-at-higher-odds-than-normalWhat is the probability of getting a bet matched if the odds are 1.5 but you want 2.10 instead. Although i'm sure this is very rare, how often would this actually be traded? And how often could you get this value? Because that's what it is essentiallfrom what people say on here, if bookies see you at hitting them when they are out of line i think they restrict/ban you. others will know betterhttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/30156621/how-often-can-you-get-matched-at-higher-odds-than-normal?post_id=536904271#536904271from what people say on here, if bookies see you at hitting them when they are out of line i think they restrict/ban you. others will know betterSat, 14 Dec 2013 05:49:34 -0600You're right but you won't notice a big difference in your winning/losing streaks. For instance if i was to flat bet @ odds of 1.5 over 100 bets only about 60% of them would win. Even if i got odds of 1.60 i would still probably only win 60% of thosehttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/30156621/how-often-can-you-get-matched-at-higher-odds-than-normal?post_id=536904269#536904269You're right but you won't notice a big difference in your winning/losing streaks. For instance if i was to flat bet @ odds of 1.5 over 100 bets only about 60% of them would win. Even if i got odds of 1.60 i would still probably only win 60% of thoseSat, 14 Dec 2013 05:49:31 -0600Strictly to beat commission, all you need is 5% better than the true odds.https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/30156621/how-often-can-you-get-matched-at-higher-odds-than-normal?post_id=536904227#536904227Strictly to beat commission, all you need is 5% better than the true odds.Sat, 14 Dec 2013 05:46:24 -0600how often can you get on at a price significantly bigger than most/average bookies might be a better question then . I have no idea but I think its probably rare tohttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/30156621/how-often-can-you-get-matched-at-higher-odds-than-normal?post_id=536904219#536904219how often can you get on at a price significantly bigger than most/average bookies might be a better question then . I have no idea but I think its probably rare toSat, 14 Dec 2013 05:45:20 -0600You might get 2 a year Dr kim. If you can put up with the remaining 363 days of non activity then fair play to you.https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/30156621/how-often-can-you-get-matched-at-higher-odds-than-normal?post_id=536904001#536904001You might get 2 a year Dr kim. If you can put up with the remaining 363 days of non activity then fair play to you.Sat, 14 Dec 2013 05:20:51 -0600Yeh i know what you're saying. The more i have bet the more i have found that the only way to win is to find value. ie a 1.5 shot @ 2.0. Some people would say 1.7 for a 1.5 shot is value but to me it really isn't, because at the end of the day the prhttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/30156621/how-often-can-you-get-matched-at-higher-odds-than-normal?post_id=536903965#536903965Yeh i know what you're saying. The more i have bet the more i have found that the only way to win is to find value. ie a 1.5 shot @ 2.0. Some people would say 1.7 for a 1.5 shot is value but to me it really isn't, because at the end of the day the prSat, 14 Dec 2013 05:17:11 -0600rare before ko imo, the price changes pre ko would reflect change in the team perceived chances. So if you got matched at 2.1 when you think its a 1.5 shot then its most probably you who has the "wrong price". Unless you have an edge of course. You chttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/30156621/how-often-can-you-get-matched-at-higher-odds-than-normal?post_id=536903733#536903733rare before ko imo, the price changes pre ko would reflect change in the team perceived chances. So if you got matched at 2.1 when you think its a 1.5 shot then its most probably you who has the "wrong price". Unless you have an edge of course. You cSat, 14 Dec 2013 04:48:31 -0600I'm talking about before the game goes inplay, and football specifcally.https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/30156621/how-often-can-you-get-matched-at-higher-odds-than-normal?post_id=536903131#536903131I'm talking about before the game goes inplay, and football specifcally.Sat, 14 Dec 2013 03:17:16 -0600Somebody posted a few months ago that 93% of runners on a previous day had been a bigger price in play than at SP (this figure of course would include every single loser).https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/30156621/how-often-can-you-get-matched-at-higher-odds-than-normal?post_id=536902989#536902989Somebody posted a few months ago that 93% of runners on a previous day had been a bigger price in play than at SP (this figure of course would include every single loser).Sat, 14 Dec 2013 02:53:18 -0600Per TF LOWESTODDS IP...BF SP..ISP....PLACE odds 2.1 4.8 / 4 (20%) 1.99https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/30156621/how-often-can-you-get-matched-at-higher-odds-than-normal?post_id=536899337#536899337Per TF LOWESTODDS IP...BF SP..ISP....PLACE odds 2.1 4.8 / 4 (20%) 1.99Fri, 13 Dec 2013 18:08:25 -0600