New Posts For Thread: Compiling your own Football ratings help.https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/29238449/compiling-your-own-football-ratings-helpWhat is the best way to compare 2 sets of results together? Or are there other better ways to compare the results?E.G.Home Team Won 7 Drawn 2 Lost 1Away Team Won 3 Drawn 1 Lost 1Would you add Home wins to Away losses etc, resulting in –8 (53%) 3 (Blogger: steeringjobnap's blog No discussion on football odds' compilation can begin without a thorough study of the statistical distribution compound bivariate discussion.Plenty of academic papers available if you're willing to do the work.In additihttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/29238449/compiling-your-own-football-ratings-help?post_id=522488941#522488941Blogger: steeringjobnap's blog No discussion on football odds' compilation can begin without a thorough study of the statistical distribution compound bivariate discussion.Plenty of academic papers available if you're willing to do the work.In additiWed, 01 Aug 2012 03:38:29 -0500Some people can't get enough of looking at matches involving the Big Name Premier League Contender at home to the doomed Championship side spending their barnsley year in the big-time.The truth is matches with this ability gap are fairly few and farhttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/29238449/compiling-your-own-football-ratings-help?post_id=522443209#522443209Some people can't get enough of looking at matches involving the Big Name Premier League Contender at home to the doomed Championship side spending their barnsley year in the big-time.The truth is matches with this ability gap are fairly few and farMon, 30 Jul 2012 16:33:56 -0500No discussion on football odds' compilation can begin without a thorough study of the statistical distribution compound bivariate discussion.Plenty of academic papers available if you're willing to do the work.In addition, the spread firms even do alhttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/29238449/compiling-your-own-football-ratings-help?post_id=522430939#522430939No discussion on football odds' compilation can begin without a thorough study of the statistical distribution compound bivariate discussion.Plenty of academic papers available if you're willing to do the work.In addition, the spread firms even do alMon, 30 Jul 2012 09:57:37 -0500in the long term they would be righthttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/29238449/compiling-your-own-football-ratings-help?post_id=522428357#522428357in the long term they would be rightMon, 30 Jul 2012 08:18:12 -0500Someone will jump in here with a sweeping statement along the lines of "home advantage is worth about 0.4 of goal" as if it is a constant. And they will probably believe it is constant.https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/29238449/compiling-your-own-football-ratings-help?post_id=522426283#522426283Someone will jump in here with a sweeping statement along the lines of "home advantage is worth about 0.4 of goal" as if it is a constant. And they will probably believe it is constant.Mon, 30 Jul 2012 06:49:14 -0500How would you factor in Home advantage?For example Man U at home to the bottom 5 teams in the last 2 seasonsHome win 90% of the time and Away only win 70%Wigan Home to Top 4 last 2 seasons Home lose 75% away lose 88%.There is quite a big gap betweenhttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/29238449/compiling-your-own-football-ratings-help?post_id=522425789#522425789How would you factor in Home advantage?For example Man U at home to the bottom 5 teams in the last 2 seasonsHome win 90% of the time and Away only win 70%Wigan Home to Top 4 last 2 seasons Home lose 75% away lose 88%.There is quite a big gap betweenMon, 30 Jul 2012 06:30:20 -0500joci, when you discover a side, say 'over-achieve' at home,away etc, do you find they continue to 'over-achieve' ?https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/29238449/compiling-your-own-football-ratings-help?post_id=522424975#522424975joci, when you discover a side, say 'over-achieve' at home,away etc, do you find they continue to 'over-achieve' ?Mon, 30 Jul 2012 05:45:47 -0500Doing that is very misleading a lot of the time as 'good home teams' may just have played most of the strong teams in the league Away at the time you are looking at it.One season , about 2004/05 ,Charlton were talked up as being a particulary good awhttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/29238449/compiling-your-own-football-ratings-help?post_id=522408391#522408391Doing that is very misleading a lot of the time as 'good home teams' may just have played most of the strong teams in the league Away at the time you are looking at it.One season , about 2004/05 ,Charlton were talked up as being a particulary good awSun, 29 Jul 2012 14:23:29 -0500I prefer to look at the home form of the home team (relative to the home form for the league as a whole), and compare this to the away form of the away team (relative to the away form for the league as a whole).https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/29238449/compiling-your-own-football-ratings-help?post_id=522406905#522406905I prefer to look at the home form of the home team (relative to the home form for the league as a whole), and compare this to the away form of the away team (relative to the away form for the league as a whole).Sun, 29 Jul 2012 13:40:05 -0500Bongo is spot onHome/Away form is meaningless really, unless there is some special factor (eg plastic pitch) making it significant.Teams should be rated/priced up on their overall abilty, not just how they have played in previous Home matches only, ohttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/29238449/compiling-your-own-football-ratings-help?post_id=522405785#522405785Bongo is spot onHome/Away form is meaningless really, unless there is some special factor (eg plastic pitch) making it significant.Teams should be rated/priced up on their overall abilty, not just how they have played in previous Home matches only, oSun, 29 Jul 2012 13:01:19 -0500