New Posts For Thread: How can make best use of these shortening horses???https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/28947799/how-can-make-best-use-of-these-shortening-horsesI am able to identify horses that will trade shorter in running around 90-95% of the time...How can I best use this to profit???First example is educated evans 3:40 chepstow. All bets will be at BSP...lets see how low this goesjust back em to win and leave it at thathttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/28947799/how-can-make-best-use-of-these-shortening-horses?post_id=517103631#517103631just back em to win and leave it at thatSat, 03 Mar 2012 08:29:58 -0600Sorry a bit all over the place there!https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/28947799/how-can-make-best-use-of-these-shortening-horses?post_id=517032709#517032709Sorry a bit all over the place there!Thu, 01 Mar 2012 14:49:26 -0600Here is the first set of results from this evening and a few from yesterday afternoon.Thoughts ???Horse BSP Win BSP Place I/R Lowest Odds Runners ResultThats the Deal 7.27 3.15 Won 4 WonGolden Firebirdhttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/28947799/how-can-make-best-use-of-these-shortening-horses?post_id=517032673#517032673Here is the first set of results from this evening and a few from yesterday afternoon.Thoughts ???Horse BSP Win BSP Place I/R Lowest Odds Runners ResultThats the Deal 7.27 3.15 Won 4 WonGolden FirebirdThu, 01 Mar 2012 14:48:43 -0600the figs are for 1 day only. when using more data i expect the 10% reduction to move closer to 90%.https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/28947799/how-can-make-best-use-of-these-shortening-horses?post_id=516922667#516922667the figs are for 1 day only. when using more data i expect the 10% reduction to move closer to 90%.Mon, 27 Feb 2012 23:35:00 -0600The stats given do not help to work that out, they just tell you the size of the task.If a 10% reduction happens 86% of the time, therefore you would lose 14% of the time (1 in 7).If the price difference between bet and lay is 10% (inc. charges) youhttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/28947799/how-can-make-best-use-of-these-shortening-horses?post_id=516913075#516913075The stats given do not help to work that out, they just tell you the size of the task.If a 10% reduction happens 86% of the time, therefore you would lose 14% of the time (1 in 7).If the price difference between bet and lay is 10% (inc. charges) youMon, 27 Feb 2012 17:25:08 -0600So just using the 10% price reduction example what percentage do I need to win according the stats that you have given?https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/28947799/how-can-make-best-use-of-these-shortening-horses?post_id=516912227#516912227So just using the 10% price reduction example what percentage do I need to win according the stats that you have given?Mon, 27 Feb 2012 17:04:16 -0600updated figs:10% reduction - 86%20% reduction - 76%30% reduction - 67%40% reduction - 56%these are closer to what I was expecting, as if only 74% drop hit 10% reduction then I'd be looking at a different approach.https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/28947799/how-can-make-best-use-of-these-shortening-horses?post_id=516906937#516906937updated figs:10% reduction - 86%20% reduction - 76%30% reduction - 67%40% reduction - 56%these are closer to what I was expecting, as if only 74% drop hit 10% reduction then I'd be looking at a different approach.Mon, 27 Feb 2012 15:07:55 -0600The honest answer to that is I don't know getintheir!Guess I will get that 100 or so selections under my belt and report backhttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/28947799/how-can-make-best-use-of-these-shortening-horses?post_id=516901097#516901097The honest answer to that is I don't know getintheir!Guess I will get that 100 or so selections under my belt and report backMon, 27 Feb 2012 12:49:45 -0600for uk win markets ip for 25 Feb 96.2% IP odds went below Sp. However only 74.3% dropped 10% below Sp , 64.4% 20% below Sp, 55% dropped 30% below SP and 45% below 40% of sp.nathan can you beat any of those figures?https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/28947799/how-can-make-best-use-of-these-shortening-horses?post_id=516892481#516892481for uk win markets ip for 25 Feb 96.2% IP odds went below Sp. However only 74.3% dropped 10% below Sp , 64.4% 20% below Sp, 55% dropped 30% below SP and 45% below 40% of sp.nathan can you beat any of those figures?Mon, 27 Feb 2012 09:21:54 -0600yes i get a feeling it won't be the last thread of this type.. not sure if I have been officially reeled in or not!my suggestion was to keep a spreadsheet to keep record of where your biggest profits based on varying % reductions. after sufficient nuhttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/28947799/how-can-make-best-use-of-these-shortening-horses?post_id=516869449#516869449yes i get a feeling it won't be the last thread of this type.. not sure if I have been officially reeled in or not!my suggestion was to keep a spreadsheet to keep record of where your biggest profits based on varying % reductions. after sufficient nuSun, 26 Feb 2012 15:48:00 -0600