New Posts For Thread: Question for mathematicians / bookies (scorecast)https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/28849301/question-for-mathematicians-bookies-scorecastHiLet's say that the true odds for a particular first goalscorer are 4.9 and that the true odds for correct score 1-0 (from the same team as the goalscorer) are 9, what would be the true odds for that particular scorecast?I hope it's clear ....THanksThanks Ell for your time.Appreciatedhttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/28849301/question-for-mathematicians-bookies-scorecast?post_id=515203645#515203645Thanks Ell for your time.AppreciatedWed, 18 Jan 2012 16:22:31 -0600BALDBET Man u v bolton - last sat ROONEY 3-0 25-1pathetichttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/28849301/question-for-mathematicians-bookies-scorecast?post_id=515203215#515203215BALDBET Man u v bolton - last sat ROONEY 3-0 25-1patheticWed, 18 Jan 2012 16:13:24 -0600It does.https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/28849301/question-for-mathematicians-bookies-scorecast?post_id=515201441#515201441It does.Wed, 18 Jan 2012 15:42:42 -0600Interesting stuff Ell,and thanks for sharing, does the clean sheet include the goal-less draw?https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/28849301/question-for-mathematicians-bookies-scorecast?post_id=515197577#515197577Interesting stuff Ell,and thanks for sharing, does the clean sheet include the goal-less draw?Wed, 18 Jan 2012 14:30:53 -0600Certainly not a bookie.I look through general betting once in a while looking for ideas and stumbled on your ?.You can see why bookies try to promote this type of bet.https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/28849301/question-for-mathematicians-bookies-scorecast?post_id=515185697#515185697Certainly not a bookie.I look through general betting once in a while looking for ideas and stumbled on your ?.You can see why bookies try to promote this type of bet.Wed, 18 Jan 2012 09:24:32 -0600Thanks for the examples Ell. Your calculations seem to make sense.Did you find that out yourself or are you a bookie?https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/28849301/question-for-mathematicians-bookies-scorecast?post_id=515182899#515182899Thanks for the examples Ell. Your calculations seem to make sense.Did you find that out yourself or are you a bookie?Wed, 18 Jan 2012 07:51:42 -0600Examples for Wolves Birmingham game today.K Doyle FGS 7.2Wolves 1-0 8.2Birmingham Clean Sheet No 1.277.2*8.2/1.27=46.48orM.King 8.2 Birmingham 1-0 13.0Wolves Clean Sheet No 1.58.2*13/1.5=71.06https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/28849301/question-for-mathematicians-bookies-scorecast?post_id=515164309#515164309Examples for Wolves Birmingham game today.K Doyle FGS 7.2Wolves 1-0 8.2Birmingham Clean Sheet No 1.277.2*8.2/1.27=46.48orM.King 8.2 Birmingham 1-0 13.0Wolves Clean Sheet No 1.58.2*13/1.5=71.06Tue, 17 Jan 2012 19:45:19 -0600Fab: The 8/1 (9decimal) on the correct score is Halved becoming 7/2 (4.5 decimal)4.9*4.5 = 22.05 or 21.05/1Rule of thumb and will be a wee bit under bookies offershttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/28849301/question-for-mathematicians-bookies-scorecast?post_id=515159967#515159967Fab: The 8/1 (9decimal) on the correct score is Halved becoming 7/2 (4.5 decimal)4.9*4.5 = 22.05 or 21.05/1Rule of thumb and will be a wee bit under bookies offersTue, 17 Jan 2012 18:04:37 -0600FabThis does work with any scoreline.Using the clean sheet market price is easier to work out than deducting the score to nil suggested by checkboxes.Bear in mind that it is a rough estimate of the true price and will be substantially more than the bhttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/28849301/question-for-mathematicians-bookies-scorecast?post_id=515158087#515158087FabThis does work with any scoreline.Using the clean sheet market price is easier to work out than deducting the score to nil suggested by checkboxes.Bear in mind that it is a rough estimate of the true price and will be substantially more than the bTue, 17 Jan 2012 17:10:02 -0600Using extremes to show it's not a question you can answer in two seconds.0-0 evens1-0 evens0-1 100/11-1 100/1Any other 100/1First goalscorer: evensThen they're completely correlated, so it's evens the double!Other way0-0 1000/11-0 50/10-1 50/11-1 20/https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/28849301/question-for-mathematicians-bookies-scorecast?post_id=515150857#515150857Using extremes to show it's not a question you can answer in two seconds.0-0 evens1-0 evens0-1 100/11-1 100/1Any other 100/1First goalscorer: evensThen they're completely correlated, so it's evens the double!Other way0-0 1000/11-0 50/10-1 50/11-1 20/Tue, 17 Jan 2012 14:38:22 -0600