New Posts For Thread: Arrogance or cofidence ?https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/28800275/arrogance-or-cofidenceadd your message hereBtw Lori, did you hit the ground running successfully, or did it take you a while to find your feet ?https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/28800275/arrogance-or-cofidence?post_id=514286973#514286973Btw Lori, did you hit the ground running successfully, or did it take you a while to find your feet ?Wed, 28 Dec 2011 08:43:17 -0600Was that when you became of age ?Or just when you gave up on " normal" ways of making a living ?.https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/28800275/arrogance-or-cofidence?post_id=514286833#514286833Was that when you became of age ?Or just when you gave up on " normal" ways of making a living ?.Wed, 28 Dec 2011 08:39:46 -0600I realise it's aimed at a wider audience, but just to clarify I've been doing this since 1993https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/28800275/arrogance-or-cofidence?post_id=514283001#514283001I realise it's aimed at a wider audience, but just to clarify I've been doing this since 1993Wed, 28 Dec 2011 07:06:55 -0600Warren Buffet has been quoted as saying that there are the three I's of new Ideas.First there are the Innovators, then come the Imitators, and then follows the mass of Idiots.BF is apparently a honey pot of new gambling ideas.Now I'm pretty sure thathttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/28800275/arrogance-or-cofidence?post_id=514282293#514282293Warren Buffet has been quoted as saying that there are the three I's of new Ideas.First there are the Innovators, then come the Imitators, and then follows the mass of Idiots.BF is apparently a honey pot of new gambling ideas.Now I'm pretty sure thatWed, 28 Dec 2011 06:40:42 -0600Yeah I read somwhere that he has maany, many people researching for him, and he keeps them all separate from one another.None of them know who the others are.Presumably so they can't get together and cut him out of the loop at some future date ?.https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/28800275/arrogance-or-cofidence?post_id=514281603#514281603Yeah I read somwhere that he has maany, many people researching for him, and he keeps them all separate from one another.None of them know who the others are.Presumably so they can't get together and cut him out of the loop at some future date ?.Wed, 28 Dec 2011 06:14:36 -0600Billy Walters wannabe would be better I think!In fairness, his genius is (even) more in his organisational skills than his gambling skills, so I've no chance of that one.https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/28800275/arrogance-or-cofidence?post_id=514281531#514281531Billy Walters wannabe would be better I think!In fairness, his genius is (even) more in his organisational skills than his gambling skills, so I've no chance of that one.Wed, 28 Dec 2011 06:11:52 -0600Good day Lori.Nice to hear from you again.I sort of have issues with using all these cofidence calculators when it comes to sports betting. But thanks for mentioning the links once again.Far too much subjectivity involved and all that.I suppose you chttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/28800275/arrogance-or-cofidence?post_id=514281391#514281391Good day Lori.Nice to hear from you again.I sort of have issues with using all these cofidence calculators when it comes to sports betting. But thanks for mentioning the links once again.Far too much subjectivity involved and all that.I suppose you cWed, 28 Dec 2011 06:06:59 -0600Well is that really correct ?YesIt's no good making lots of what you deem to be quality " value" bets, if your strike rate on those bets is not correpondingly adequate.If you use Kelly, it's fine. how the proponents of the pure " value " betting apphttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/28800275/arrogance-or-cofidence?post_id=514281033#514281033Well is that really correct ?YesIt's no good making lots of what you deem to be quality " value" bets, if your strike rate on those bets is not correpondingly adequate.If you use Kelly, it's fine. how the proponents of the pure " value " betting appWed, 28 Dec 2011 05:53:17 -0600Must be a slow day.Dr J's post and mine both within minutes of each other.I'm not sufficiently qualified in statistics to answer Dr J's queries, but I hope that both our posts attract some interesting and intelligent replies.https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/28800275/arrogance-or-cofidence?post_id=514279493#514279493Must be a slow day.Dr J's post and mine both within minutes of each other.I'm not sufficiently qualified in statistics to answer Dr J's queries, but I hope that both our posts attract some interesting and intelligent replies.Wed, 28 Dec 2011 04:31:30 -0600If you price something up and you appear to come up with a price that is materially out of line with what the market is showing, then you can either proceed on the basis that you are right and all others are wrong, or vice versa.Arrogance or confidenhttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/28800275/arrogance-or-cofidence?post_id=514279371#514279371If you price something up and you appear to come up with a price that is materially out of line with what the market is showing, then you can either proceed on the basis that you are right and all others are wrong, or vice versa.Arrogance or confidenWed, 28 Dec 2011 04:24:14 -0600