New Posts For Thread: Now which is more true in general ?https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/28745893/now-which-is-more-true-in-generaladd your message hereOn a Saturday, about 5 minutes before kick off, a big4 favourite tends to crash about 5-10 ticks if it is on sky.It doesn't always, sometimes you get caught out by bad team news. Generally though the late money brings in the favourite.So earlier backhttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/28745893/now-which-is-more-true-in-general?post_id=513475641#513475641On a Saturday, about 5 minutes before kick off, a big4 favourite tends to crash about 5-10 ticks if it is on sky.It doesn't always, sometimes you get caught out by bad team news. Generally though the late money brings in the favourite.So earlier backTue, 06 Dec 2011 02:58:59 -0600If you wanted me to guess, I'd guess that big favourites away from home losing would be good for the pro punters, but I don't know.https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/28745893/now-which-is-more-true-in-general?post_id=513475591#513475591If you wanted me to guess, I'd guess that big favourites away from home losing would be good for the pro punters, but I don't know.Tue, 06 Dec 2011 02:54:35 -0600In the case of soccer, I don't know.https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/28745893/now-which-is-more-true-in-general?post_id=513475565#513475565In the case of soccer, I don't know.Tue, 06 Dec 2011 02:52:43 -0600Not because you don't know or don't have an opinion I'm sure.Whatever Lori.https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/28745893/now-which-is-more-true-in-general?post_id=513475365#513475365Not because you don't know or don't have an opinion I'm sure.Whatever Lori.Tue, 06 Dec 2011 02:34:30 -0600I'll pass on that one :)https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/28745893/now-which-is-more-true-in-general?post_id=513475197#513475197I'll pass on that one :)Tue, 06 Dec 2011 02:17:10 -0600Well let's be specific then.What is the generally accepted preference of the pros in football betting ?https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/28745893/now-which-is-more-true-in-general?post_id=513475187#513475187Well let's be specific then.What is the generally accepted preference of the pros in football betting ?Tue, 06 Dec 2011 02:16:28 -0600*To clarify, that exact researched principle is only applicable in one type of betting, there are many others where either the fave or the longshot can end up being the better blind play of course.https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/28745893/now-which-is-more-true-in-general?post_id=513475155#513475155*To clarify, that exact researched principle is only applicable in one type of betting, there are many others where either the fave or the longshot can end up being the better blind play of course.Tue, 06 Dec 2011 02:12:06 -0600It's sport and punter dependent.People will quote you favourite-longshot bias (you'll have fun googling that one) in all types of context, but it's only applicable in one type of betting.https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/28745893/now-which-is-more-true-in-general?post_id=513475145#513475145It's sport and punter dependent.People will quote you favourite-longshot bias (you'll have fun googling that one) in all types of context, but it's only applicable in one type of betting.Tue, 06 Dec 2011 02:11:29 -0600ror Nobody is disputing that the best way to make money is to make mkts and get on the right side of the spread ( as your example clearly illustrates).But that's not really my query.What I'm asking is whether the pros favour identifying " value " bethttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/28745893/now-which-is-more-true-in-general?post_id=513472025#513472025ror Nobody is disputing that the best way to make money is to make mkts and get on the right side of the spread ( as your example clearly illustrates).But that's not really my query.What I'm asking is whether the pros favour identifying " value " betMon, 05 Dec 2011 21:45:42 -0600If you do anything "generally" you tend to lose.Crunchyfrog over on the cricket forum runs some amazing threads showing how much you'd win by blindly "backing draw" or "backing fav" or "backing 2nd fav" etc for all the tests.Because of the way it ishttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/28745893/now-which-is-more-true-in-general?post_id=513462273#513462273If you do anything "generally" you tend to lose.Crunchyfrog over on the cricket forum runs some amazing threads showing how much you'd win by blindly "backing draw" or "backing fav" or "backing 2nd fav" etc for all the tests.Because of the way it isMon, 05 Dec 2011 16:28:15 -0600