New Posts For Thread: What drives the price of football matches on Betfair?https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/27501989/what-drives-the-price-of-football-matches-on-betfairWho or what makes a price suddenly contract on a football match here?I'm looking at the Bolton Arsenal game, the price had been steady all week and then it suddenly shortens dramaticallyThis is not infrequentAll relevant information is known, ArsenaLori : It's Schalke04 laying his fave team as a cover bet for one of his challenges Hehe, his account must be shadowed, they saw the 1p go in and jumped in after.https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/27501989/what-drives-the-price-of-football-matches-on-betfair?post_id=493751325#493751325Lori : It's Schalke04 laying his fave team as a cover bet for one of his challenges Hehe, his account must be shadowed, they saw the 1p go in and jumped in after.Tue, 26 Apr 2011 19:33:29 -0500yep - gulf in quality.https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/27501989/what-drives-the-price-of-football-matches-on-betfair?post_id=493730437#493730437yep - gulf in quality.Tue, 26 Apr 2011 15:27:10 -0500Bang on the money this time by the looks of it...https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/27501989/what-drives-the-price-of-football-matches-on-betfair?post_id=493729141#493729141Bang on the money this time by the looks of it...Tue, 26 Apr 2011 15:12:58 -0500It's Schalke04 laying his fave team as a cover bet for one of his challenges.https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/27501989/what-drives-the-price-of-football-matches-on-betfair?post_id=493719717#493719717It's Schalke04 laying his fave team as a cover bet for one of his challenges.Tue, 26 Apr 2011 13:38:26 -0500Agreed, this is most definitely mug money.https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/27501989/what-drives-the-price-of-football-matches-on-betfair?post_id=493719673#493719673Agreed, this is most definitely mug money.Tue, 26 Apr 2011 13:38:05 -0500Godzilla = Asian!Its mug money this time imohttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/27501989/what-drives-the-price-of-football-matches-on-betfair?post_id=493718917#493718917Godzilla = Asian!Its mug money this time imoTue, 26 Apr 2011 13:30:25 -0500one thing to consider is the possibility of a kind of stampede effect. if you have a lot of heavy hitters waiting to get on, either for value or risk management reasons, then seeing the price start to crash on large volume may trigger all of them tohttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/27501989/what-drives-the-price-of-football-matches-on-betfair?post_id=493718901#493718901one thing to consider is the possibility of a kind of stampede effect. if you have a lot of heavy hitters waiting to get on, either for value or risk management reasons, then seeing the price start to crash on large volume may trigger all of them toTue, 26 Apr 2011 13:30:23 -0500Interesting how, once clobbered like that, it tends to sit there - i.e. it's not recovering much, now stabilised on 2.22 verusus 2.32 before godzilla stomped in and whacked it with 100s of k.https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/27501989/what-drives-the-price-of-football-matches-on-betfair?post_id=493717709#493717709Interesting how, once clobbered like that, it tends to sit there - i.e. it's not recovering much, now stabilised on 2.22 verusus 2.32 before godzilla stomped in and whacked it with 100s of k.Tue, 26 Apr 2011 13:18:15 -0500well, that makes more sense to me. presumably a combination of heavyweights whose models have identified value contingent on team news and major sports books from europe and further afield laying off.https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/27501989/what-drives-the-price-of-football-matches-on-betfair?post_id=493716721#493716721well, that makes more sense to me. presumably a combination of heavyweights whose models have identified value contingent on team news and major sports books from europe and further afield laying off.Tue, 26 Apr 2011 13:08:19 -0500It has to be asian money, that sort of money doesn't exist anywhere in europe.Oh and it's super-smart money as well.https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/27501989/what-drives-the-price-of-football-matches-on-betfair?post_id=493716253#493716253It has to be asian money, that sort of money doesn't exist anywhere in europe.Oh and it's super-smart money as well.Tue, 26 Apr 2011 13:03:10 -0500