New Posts For Thread: Need help with some seemingly simple maths + staking query (Tennis).https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/27443757/need-help-with-some-seemingly-simple-maths-staking-query-tennisHow do I work out which is on average, the most profitable option and with that information, how to stake on it? I will give you the exact example I was using:Tennis game, first player to two sets, wins.Player 1 on the handicap, +1.5 sets is decimalOk never mind my bad...i read it all wrong as if you were talking about two players but you were takling about one.....disregardhttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/27443757/need-help-with-some-seemingly-simple-maths-staking-query-tennis?post_id=492445861#492445861Ok never mind my bad...i read it all wrong as if you were talking about two players but you were takling about one.....disregardWed, 13 Apr 2011 16:45:23 -0500If player one is 4.6 to win first set and player two handicap is 3 and if he wins one set then it is ok already then there must be sth wrong here because you could dutch these and make a profit whoever wins the first set...https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/27443757/need-help-with-some-seemingly-simple-maths-staking-query-tennis?post_id=492445701#492445701If player one is 4.6 to win first set and player two handicap is 3 and if he wins one set then it is ok already then there must be sth wrong here because you could dutch these and make a profit whoever wins the first set...Wed, 13 Apr 2011 16:43:53 -0500Hello there Wicked Whisper, i'll give this a go.It's best to look at the opposite price assuming around 100% book.So in the first instance if player 1 is 3 to win a set then player 2 must be 1.5 to win 2-0.In the second example if player 1 is 4.6 tohttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/27443757/need-help-with-some-seemingly-simple-maths-staking-query-tennis?post_id=492430321#492430321Hello there Wicked Whisper, i'll give this a go.It's best to look at the opposite price assuming around 100% book.So in the first instance if player 1 is 3 to win a set then player 2 must be 1.5 to win 2-0.In the second example if player 1 is 4.6 toWed, 13 Apr 2011 14:33:50 -0500your handicap bet is the same as laying player B to win 2-0.based on set odds of 4.6 for player 1, and assuming independence (which you can't) the probability for player 2 to win 2-0 is 61.2%, so 38.8% he doesn't = 2.58.the handicap bet appears to behttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/27443757/need-help-with-some-seemingly-simple-maths-staking-query-tennis?post_id=492429881#492429881your handicap bet is the same as laying player B to win 2-0.based on set odds of 4.6 for player 1, and assuming independence (which you can't) the probability for player 2 to win 2-0 is 61.2%, so 38.8% he doesn't = 2.58.the handicap bet appears to beWed, 13 Apr 2011 14:30:06 -0500No because he could either lose both, win both, or win one.https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/27443757/need-help-with-some-seemingly-simple-maths-staking-query-tennis?post_id=492397677#492397677No because he could either lose both, win both, or win one.Wed, 13 Apr 2011 09:02:14 -0500Is is not dutched 4.6 and 4.6 = 2.3 which is smaller than 3.0, so the handicap is the better bet?https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/27443757/need-help-with-some-seemingly-simple-maths-staking-query-tennis?post_id=492375637#492375637Is is not dutched 4.6 and 4.6 = 2.3 which is smaller than 3.0, so the handicap is the better bet?Wed, 13 Apr 2011 03:45:33 -0500How do I work out which is on average, the most profitable option and with that information, how to stake on it? I will give you the exact example I was using:Tennis game, first player to two sets, wins.Player 1 on the handicap, +1.5 sets is decimalhttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/27443757/need-help-with-some-seemingly-simple-maths-staking-query-tennis?post_id=492346989#492346989How do I work out which is on average, the most profitable option and with that information, how to stake on it? I will give you the exact example I was using:Tennis game, first player to two sets, wins.Player 1 on the handicap, +1.5 sets is decimalTue, 12 Apr 2011 18:34:08 -0500