New Posts For Thread: odds complier on deal or no dealhttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/27420053/odds-complier-on-deal-or-no-deala girl contestant has 8 boxes leftthe 1p is still on the boardnoel edmunds asks the girls dad what are the odds of her having the 1p in her boxmassive , the dad sayswhat odds, replies noelgirls dad, about 3000-1The Investor, I see what you mean about the advantage to the show of having poor offers turned down.Kenilworth, the bm' 'deal or no deal' game is a good one to play when you get a 25 quid or set free bet for turning over a certain amount of games. Ithttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/27420053/odds-complier-on-deal-or-no-deal?post_id=492052749#492052749The Investor, I see what you mean about the advantage to the show of having poor offers turned down.Kenilworth, the bm' 'deal or no deal' game is a good one to play when you get a 25 quid or set free bet for turning over a certain amount of games. ItSun, 10 Apr 2011 01:17:05 -0500603 when worth 667 is silly no matter how rich u are!https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/27420053/odds-complier-on-deal-or-no-deal?post_id=492035573#492035573603 when worth 667 is silly no matter how rich u are!Sat, 09 Apr 2011 19:54:31 -0500The videos of the relevant DoND show (contestant turns down offer of $603k) that I viewed seem to have been edited in a misleading manner. These videos, on first viewing, seem to imply that the contestant declined the $603k offer whilst there was onlhttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/27420053/odds-complier-on-deal-or-no-deal?post_id=492031557#492031557The videos of the relevant DoND show (contestant turns down offer of $603k) that I viewed seem to have been edited in a misleading manner. These videos, on first viewing, seem to imply that the contestant declined the $603k offer whilst there was onlSat, 09 Apr 2011 19:00:28 -0500Turning down $600k was the most barmy decision of all time. That's effectively securing $600k and then going to a big boy casino and saying I'll have $600k on a flip of a coin, but I won't take evens I'm happy with 4/6!! !!! !!!!https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/27420053/odds-complier-on-deal-or-no-deal?post_id=492021113#492021113Turning down $600k was the most barmy decision of all time. That's effectively securing $600k and then going to a big boy casino and saying I'll have $600k on a flip of a coin, but I won't take evens I'm happy with 4/6!! !!! !!!!Sat, 09 Apr 2011 16:56:51 -0500Of course, because for most of the players the sums involved are relatively large, so the law of diminishing marginal utility applies. If they have two boxes left: 1p and £250k, it is probably rational for someone earning the average UK wage to accehttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/27420053/odds-complier-on-deal-or-no-deal?post_id=492016425#492016425Of course, because for most of the players the sums involved are relatively large, so the law of diminishing marginal utility applies. If they have two boxes left: 1p and £250k, it is probably rational for someone earning the average UK wage to acceSat, 09 Apr 2011 16:04:49 -0500Damn I meant to say "Say it increases your chance of getting cancer by 3% that's not an increase in the chances of dying by 3%"https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/27420053/odds-complier-on-deal-or-no-deal?post_id=492006733#492006733Damn I meant to say "Say it increases your chance of getting cancer by 3% that's not an increase in the chances of dying by 3%"Sat, 09 Apr 2011 14:33:51 -0500Perception :It's like the stats this week about alcohol being linked to cancer. Say it increases your chance of getting cancer by 3% that's not an increase in the chances of dying of cancer by 3% as some might think, as only some of us die of cancer.https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/27420053/odds-complier-on-deal-or-no-deal?post_id=492006641#492006641Perception :It's like the stats this week about alcohol being linked to cancer. Say it increases your chance of getting cancer by 3% that's not an increase in the chances of dying of cancer by 3% as some might think, as only some of us die of cancer.Sat, 09 Apr 2011 14:32:59 -0500Very good Investor.https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/27420053/odds-complier-on-deal-or-no-deal?post_id=491998041#491998041Very good Investor.Sat, 09 Apr 2011 13:14:36 -0500The perceived difference between 0% and 1% is far greater than 89% and 90%.You'd also find that people would be willing to pay a lot more to reduce the risk of some calamitous event from 1% to 0% than from 90% to 89%.https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/27420053/odds-complier-on-deal-or-no-deal?post_id=491965921#491965921The perceived difference between 0% and 1% is far greater than 89% and 90%.You'd also find that people would be willing to pay a lot more to reduce the risk of some calamitous event from 1% to 0% than from 90% to 89%.Sat, 09 Apr 2011 07:48:53 -0500Value is to an extent a far less meaningful term here, as you only ever get one go.If you've 5k of debt, and got to 250k/1p, I'd imagine you'd play it differently if that was just the first game of 3 say.Also, it would depend if box 4 was your brothehttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/27420053/odds-complier-on-deal-or-no-deal?post_id=491965285#491965285Value is to an extent a far less meaningful term here, as you only ever get one go.If you've 5k of debt, and got to 250k/1p, I'd imagine you'd play it differently if that was just the first game of 3 say.Also, it would depend if box 4 was your brotheSat, 09 Apr 2011 07:39:48 -0500