New Posts For Thread: Calculating goal supremacyhttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/27297441/calculating-goal-supremacyBetween 2 teams, does anyone know the formula and maybe show an example please?Solution ? There isn't an exact solution IMO, but I wouldn't disagree with anything posted by tobermory. He is a realist.https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/27297441/calculating-goal-supremacy?post_id=490281965#490281965Solution ? There isn't an exact solution IMO, but I wouldn't disagree with anything posted by tobermory. He is a realist.Thu, 24 Mar 2011 18:54:11 -0500The usual way of calculating goal supremacy is:HGoals = Home team goals scoredAGoals = Away team goals scored. We take one away from the other to arrive at one figure, GS. Then, to derive 1X2 odds from this:Home =(0.0156*GS+historical_home_win)Away =https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/27297441/calculating-goal-supremacy?post_id=490275861#490275861The usual way of calculating goal supremacy is:HGoals = Home team goals scoredAGoals = Away team goals scored. We take one away from the other to arrive at one figure, GS. Then, to derive 1X2 odds from this:Home =(0.0156*GS+historical_home_win)Away =Thu, 24 Mar 2011 17:53:41 -0500Well post your solutioin up then. That's the question ^https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/27297441/calculating-goal-supremacy?post_id=490274617#490274617Well post your solutioin up then. That's the question ^Thu, 24 Mar 2011 17:39:44 -0500Rocket, I don't differentiate between home form and away form.I don't accept that teams good home teams or good away teams.Have a look at sides that have seemingly poor home form for the first half of the season and see how they perform in the secondhttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/27297441/calculating-goal-supremacy?post_id=490271277#490271277Rocket, I don't differentiate between home form and away form.I don't accept that teams good home teams or good away teams.Have a look at sides that have seemingly poor home form for the first half of the season and see how they perform in the secondThu, 24 Mar 2011 17:08:21 -0500Rocket to the FACE Joined: 28 Oct 08Replies: 9965 24 Mar 11 16:39 Avg Goals Home Team at Home Avg Goals Conceded Away Team Away Avg Goals Away Team Away Avg Goals Conceded Home Team at Home This gives you Home Team expeted goals and Away Tehttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/27297441/calculating-goal-supremacy?post_id=490270321#490270321Rocket to the FACE Joined: 28 Oct 08Replies: 9965 24 Mar 11 16:39 Avg Goals Home Team at Home Avg Goals Conceded Away Team Away Avg Goals Away Team Away Avg Goals Conceded Home Team at Home This gives you Home Team expeted goals and Away TeThu, 24 Mar 2011 17:00:11 -0500Sorry I made a mistake. The Supremacy is the difference between the Home team and Away Team GE. GE is the Home team Goals + the Away Team goalshttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/27297441/calculating-goal-supremacy?post_id=490238661#490238661Sorry I made a mistake. The Supremacy is the difference between the Home team and Away Team GE. GE is the Home team Goals + the Away Team goalsThu, 24 Mar 2011 11:41:54 -0500Avg Goals Home Team at Home Avg Goals Conceded Away Team Away Avg Goals Away Team Away Avg Goals Conceded Home Team at Home This gives you Home Team expeted goals and Away Team expected goals.The GE is the difference between the two. Ifhttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/27297441/calculating-goal-supremacy?post_id=490238453#490238453Avg Goals Home Team at Home Avg Goals Conceded Away Team Away Avg Goals Away Team Away Avg Goals Conceded Home Team at Home This gives you Home Team expeted goals and Away Team expected goals.The GE is the difference between the two. IfThu, 24 Mar 2011 11:39:54 -0500Kevin P would be proudhttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/27297441/calculating-goal-supremacy?post_id=490202645#490202645Kevin P would be proudThu, 24 Mar 2011 03:45:06 -0500If you changed your view about a team, say in the example above you felt Wolves were better than you originally thought, you would just calcualte it on them scoring , say, 44 goals, rather than 38 .Though you would consider 38 games from now, not whahttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/27297441/calculating-goal-supremacy?post_id=490171213#490171213If you changed your view about a team, say in the example above you felt Wolves were better than you originally thought, you would just calcualte it on them scoring , say, 44 goals, rather than 38 .Though you would consider 38 games from now, not whaWed, 23 Mar 2011 19:29:44 -0500Cheers tober you're a good man, one thing though their must be away to calculate this as the season unfolds I.E. Liverpool goal supremacy different now than at the start of the season. I think goal difference in the prem is approx a half goal iirc.Byhttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/27297441/calculating-goal-supremacy?post_id=490165517#490165517Cheers tober you're a good man, one thing though their must be away to calculate this as the season unfolds I.E. Liverpool goal supremacy different now than at the start of the season. I think goal difference in the prem is approx a half goal iirc.ByWed, 23 Mar 2011 18:37:44 -0500