New Posts For Thread: Real life probability questionhttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/26967445/real-life-probability-questionImagine a gym open 18 hours a day. I go to the gym 1 hour a day, and someone I want to avoid goes 1 hour a day.Then imagine this person to avoid is extremely irregular and can show up anytime from the first hour to the last.Therefore, if I go everyanother dayanother successful avoidancethanks all for your helphttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/26967445/real-life-probability-question?post_id=485718453#485718453another dayanother successful avoidancethanks all for your helpSat, 12 Feb 2011 20:18:42 -0600Just checking,Yes, exactly.https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/26967445/real-life-probability-question?post_id=485633537#485633537Just checking,Yes, exactly.Sat, 12 Feb 2011 06:04:07 -0600Contrarian if it IS truely random, we are surely correct here?IF the hours are truely random, then the hour chosen on a given day does not matter. They are just possible events, and the fact they are hours, IF I understand this question correctly, dohttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/26967445/real-life-probability-question?post_id=485633189#485633189Contrarian if it IS truely random, we are surely correct here?IF the hours are truely random, then the hour chosen on a given day does not matter. They are just possible events, and the fact they are hours, IF I understand this question correctly, doSat, 12 Feb 2011 05:59:18 -0600The original question is: is he more likely to bump into her if he goes at the same time, or he goes at different times.I was merely stating that if he goes at the same time, there is a 1/18 chance, and if he goes at different times, whatever time thhttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/26967445/real-life-probability-question?post_id=485628069#485628069The original question is: is he more likely to bump into her if he goes at the same time, or he goes at different times.I was merely stating that if he goes at the same time, there is a 1/18 chance, and if he goes at different times, whatever time thSat, 12 Feb 2011 04:43:31 -0600Thats a conditional statement."Whats the probability of meeting her given I am already there"... which is similar and not the same as "whats the probability of meeting her".https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/26967445/real-life-probability-question?post_id=485627169#485627169Thats a conditional statement."Whats the probability of meeting her given I am already there"... which is similar and not the same as "whats the probability of meeting her".Sat, 12 Feb 2011 04:26:43 -0600Zola,That's not true.To simplify matters, suppose that X and Y can only attend from the start of one hour to the end of that hour (and there are 18 hours). If X goes at 1pm everyday, the probability of meeting Y is 1/18.If X goes at a random hour, thhttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/26967445/real-life-probability-question?post_id=485625353#485625353Zola,That's not true.To simplify matters, suppose that X and Y can only attend from the start of one hour to the end of that hour (and there are 18 hours). If X goes at 1pm everyday, the probability of meeting Y is 1/18.If X goes at a random hour, thSat, 12 Feb 2011 03:44:57 -0600if he randomises his time he is less likely to meet her.https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/26967445/real-life-probability-question?post_id=485624109#485624109if he randomises his time he is less likely to meet her.Sat, 12 Feb 2011 03:20:43 -0600say he randomises the timethe probability of him being there at 1pm (or any other time) is p1 is less than 1.the probability of them both being there is p1 x p2 is less than p2https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/26967445/real-life-probability-question?post_id=485624065#485624065say he randomises the timethe probability of him being there at 1pm (or any other time) is p1 is less than 1.the probability of them both being there is p1 x p2 is less than p2Sat, 12 Feb 2011 03:19:37 -0600just checking, is he better randomising his time?say he goes every day at 1pm.the probability of him being there at 1pm is p1=1.the probability of them both being there is p1 x p2 = p2https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/26967445/real-life-probability-question?post_id=485624041#485624041just checking, is he better randomising his time?say he goes every day at 1pm.the probability of him being there at 1pm is p1=1.the probability of them both being there is p1 x p2 = p2Sat, 12 Feb 2011 03:18:35 -0600just checking, is he better randomising his time?say he goes every day at 1pm.the probability of him being there at 1pm is p1=1.the probability of her being there at 1pm is p2https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/26967445/real-life-probability-question?post_id=485623981#485623981just checking, is he better randomising his time?say he goes every day at 1pm.the probability of him being there at 1pm is p1=1.the probability of her being there at 1pm is p2Sat, 12 Feb 2011 03:17:39 -0600