New Posts For Thread: How much of a 'dip' when a system goes live?https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/26963733/how-much-of-a-dip-when-a-system-goes-liveHello, I haven't posted on here for a long time. I used to play the horses but now I have turned my attention to football. I have been working on a system for 3 months now involving the scores at half-time. I based my original ideas on the percentageThanks Sun, your help and advice is much appreciated, I wish you all the best too.https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/26963733/how-much-of-a-dip-when-a-system-goes-live?post_id=485701657#485701657Thanks Sun, your help and advice is much appreciated, I wish you all the best too.Sat, 12 Feb 2011 16:58:32 -0600Best of luck to you and I hope you succeed.https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/26963733/how-much-of-a-dip-when-a-system-goes-live?post_id=485685833#485685833Best of luck to you and I hope you succeed.Sat, 12 Feb 2011 14:04:02 -0600Thanks Viva, I had missed that trevh was talking about correct score, which I don't do. While I am still testing I will now try to monitor what happens to prices during half-time to see when it is best for my particular system.https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/26963733/how-much-of-a-dip-when-a-system-goes-live?post_id=485632889#485632889Thanks Viva, I had missed that trevh was talking about correct score, which I don't do. While I am still testing I will now try to monitor what happens to prices during half-time to see when it is best for my particular system.Sat, 12 Feb 2011 05:55:25 -0600note that what trev says is about the CS markets. can't comment on that as I don't do them. but for MO markets, there's no set direction prices move in at half time.but theory would suggest that the longer HT goes on, the more "correct" the prices wihttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/26963733/how-much-of-a-dip-when-a-system-goes-live?post_id=485631029#485631029note that what trev says is about the CS markets. can't comment on that as I don't do them. but for MO markets, there's no set direction prices move in at half time.but theory would suggest that the longer HT goes on, the more "correct" the prices wiSat, 12 Feb 2011 05:31:00 -0600SW - Thanks again, I had a good 'gut feeling' about this system but it's nice to know it's backed up with some statistics. I don't worry about long losing streaks as I am making so many selections that they are swallowed up without me having time tohttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/26963733/how-much-of-a-dip-when-a-system-goes-live?post_id=485626965#485626965SW - Thanks again, I had a good 'gut feeling' about this system but it's nice to know it's backed up with some statistics. I don't worry about long losing streaks as I am making so many selections that they are swallowed up without me having time toSat, 12 Feb 2011 04:22:31 -0600White Sock Offender, that basically means that there is a 95.954% possibility that your system will behave like it has, that is produce those results. But have in mind you sort of 'aftertimed'. I would start placing real bets but with minimum stakeshttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/26963733/how-much-of-a-dip-when-a-system-goes-live?post_id=485624093#485624093White Sock Offender, that basically means that there is a 95.954% possibility that your system will behave like it has, that is produce those results. But have in mind you sort of 'aftertimed'. I would start placing real bets but with minimum stakesSat, 12 Feb 2011 03:20:34 -0600Your being you're :)https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/26963733/how-much-of-a-dip-when-a-system-goes-live?post_id=485614277#485614277Your being you're :)Fri, 11 Feb 2011 22:40:30 -0600If your backing in the C/S market, White Sock, then yes without any doubt. As the first half is drawing to a close, the MMB will be offering [say] 4.2 and 5.0, sometimes a larger spread than that. Backers will be backing the 4.2 at poor value in thehttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/26963733/how-much-of-a-dip-when-a-system-goes-live?post_id=485613941#485613941If your backing in the C/S market, White Sock, then yes without any doubt. As the first half is drawing to a close, the MMB will be offering [say] 4.2 and 5.0, sometimes a larger spread than that. Backers will be backing the 4.2 at poor value in theFri, 11 Feb 2011 22:33:36 -0600Thanks for your time and patience Sun Wukong. I have tried your formula and after a lot of messing about with my spreadsheet, and between yourself and Punterslounge I have managed to come up with the following........drum roll................0.04067.https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/26963733/how-much-of-a-dip-when-a-system-goes-live?post_id=485598541#485598541Thanks for your time and patience Sun Wukong. I have tried your formula and after a lot of messing about with my spreadsheet, and between yourself and Punterslounge I have managed to come up with the following........drum roll................0.04067.Fri, 11 Feb 2011 18:39:37 -0600If march results generally show large variances from the norm, then this will be an ideal time for me to start Fwiw, March results don't stand out in any way in my footy records.https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/26963733/how-much-of-a-dip-when-a-system-goes-live?post_id=485562381#485562381If march results generally show large variances from the norm, then this will be an ideal time for me to start Fwiw, March results don't stand out in any way in my footy records.Fri, 11 Feb 2011 12:41:31 -0600