New Posts For Thread: Fading the publichttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/26764957/fading-the-publicOr opposing the public for us non-americans. Anyone do this as there sole strategy, be it blindly ir selectively?The favourite-longshot bias also pertains to bookmaker odds in the sense that on (for instance) UK horse racing you might be 10% on stakes down at the end of the season if you only backed favourites and 25% down if you backed selected 20-1 shots.Thehttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/26764957/fading-the-public?post_id=484245089#484245089The favourite-longshot bias also pertains to bookmaker odds in the sense that on (for instance) UK horse racing you might be 10% on stakes down at the end of the season if you only backed favourites and 25% down if you backed selected 20-1 shots.TheMon, 31 Jan 2011 13:26:53 -0600*Every gamehttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/26764957/fading-the-public?post_id=484168269#484168269*Every gameSun, 30 Jan 2011 15:48:33 -0600It certainly used to be (and no longer is) the case that you could oppose the New York Yankees every week and make a profit.https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/26764957/fading-the-public?post_id=484168201#484168201It certainly used to be (and no longer is) the case that you could oppose the New York Yankees every week and make a profit.Sun, 30 Jan 2011 15:47:40 -0600I certainly think for certain bets the name means the odds are lower than they should be. Like liverpool pretty much all this season. I've not calced it but I wonder if you'd be significantly in profit for laying them every game, Id imagine you wouldhttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/26764957/fading-the-public?post_id=484167989#484167989I certainly think for certain bets the name means the odds are lower than they should be. Like liverpool pretty much all this season. I've not calced it but I wonder if you'd be significantly in profit for laying them every game, Id imagine you wouldSun, 30 Jan 2011 15:45:57 -0600Fading the public more applies to American Handicaps where people like to bet the favourite (the team giving points) and neglect to pay attention to the detail of the actual odds.You'd have to do your own research to see how this applies to other spohttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/26764957/fading-the-public?post_id=484167645#484167645Fading the public more applies to American Handicaps where people like to bet the favourite (the team giving points) and neglect to pay attention to the detail of the actual odds.You'd have to do your own research to see how this applies to other spoSun, 30 Jan 2011 15:42:52 -0600Favourite/Longshot bias only applies to pool betting (tote) as far as I understand it.https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/26764957/fading-the-public?post_id=484167433#484167433Favourite/Longshot bias only applies to pool betting (tote) as far as I understand it.Sun, 30 Jan 2011 15:41:04 -0600So if the weight of money is very heavy on the fav would you be inclined to back them and assume an informed market or would you be more inclined to lay them and assume a public bias? Similarly if there was weight was on the underdog would you assumehttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/26764957/fading-the-public?post_id=484158105#484158105So if the weight of money is very heavy on the fav would you be inclined to back them and assume an informed market or would you be more inclined to lay them and assume a public bias? Similarly if there was weight was on the underdog would you assumeSun, 30 Jan 2011 14:12:01 -0600Also if this does work as a strategy, then how does this work alongside the favourite/longshot bias? Surely the two can't exist together? You either have too much money on the fav pushing the odds in or not enough on the fav because of the f/l bias.https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/26764957/fading-the-public?post_id=484153457#484153457Also if this does work as a strategy, then how does this work alongside the favourite/longshot bias? Surely the two can't exist together? You either have too much money on the fav pushing the odds in or not enough on the fav because of the f/l bias.Sun, 30 Jan 2011 13:39:25 -0600Or opposing the public for us non-americans. Anyone do this as there sole strategy, be it blindly ir selectively?https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/26764957/fading-the-public?post_id=484062901#484062901Or opposing the public for us non-americans. Anyone do this as there sole strategy, be it blindly ir selectively?Sat, 29 Jan 2011 16:57:53 -0600