New Posts For Thread: Predicting the future with ESPhttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/26602233/predicting-the-future-with-espI see that the academic world of psychology has gone into meltdown with the agreed publishing of Prof Daryl Bem’s paper “Feeling The Future” in the highly respected Journal of Personality and Social Psychology.Daryl Bem is no crackpot – but aI think i've seen it all on this forum now .https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/26602233/predicting-the-future-with-esp?post_id=480876593#480876593I think i've seen it all on this forum now .Sat, 08 Jan 2011 12:15:42 -0600is this how tipping lines workhttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/26602233/predicting-the-future-with-esp?post_id=480856281#480856281is this how tipping lines workSat, 08 Jan 2011 08:45:43 -0600Well, you are only four assuming you don't want to film it or you are not doing it in front of the Buckingham palace, the knowledge remains known only to you. Imagine on the other hand the tons of people who will read that article and apply it the vehttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/26602233/predicting-the-future-with-esp?post_id=480850453#480850453Well, you are only four assuming you don't want to film it or you are not doing it in front of the Buckingham palace, the knowledge remains known only to you. Imagine on the other hand the tons of people who will read that article and apply it the veSat, 08 Jan 2011 07:51:49 -0600kef4oReading your approach back, could you please clarify an important point of sequence detail: is the lamb raped alive or dead?https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/26602233/predicting-the-future-with-esp?post_id=480849937#480849937kef4oReading your approach back, could you please clarify an important point of sequence detail: is the lamb raped alive or dead?Sat, 08 Jan 2011 07:46:46 -0600kef4oI can see this approach could have a lot going for it. The challenge is, once Futuros has spoken everyone will lump on and the market will quickly move to discount what he has said. Those employing the Bem techniques will know 53% of the time(https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/26602233/predicting-the-future-with-esp?post_id=480849157#480849157kef4oI can see this approach could have a lot going for it. The challenge is, once Futuros has spoken everyone will lump on and the market will quickly move to discount what he has said. Those employing the Bem techniques will know 53% of the time(Sat, 08 Jan 2011 07:39:20 -0600Amateurs, it's not how you do it:1. You need a lamb.2. Build an alter in the form of a heart.3. There must be exactly four of you. Dress yourselves as teletubbies.4. A very important part is a druid's knife. Break into a museum, it's the best chancehttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/26602233/predicting-the-future-with-esp?post_id=480847897#480847897Amateurs, it's not how you do it:1. You need a lamb.2. Build an alter in the form of a heart.3. There must be exactly four of you. Dress yourselves as teletubbies.4. A very important part is a druid's knife. Break into a museum, it's the best chanceSat, 08 Jan 2011 07:26:14 -0600Suppose unless the clairvoyant was very rich & understood nothing about betting and was going all in each time they would have trouble moving a liquid market.Might invest in tea leaves instead of tea bagshttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/26602233/predicting-the-future-with-esp?post_id=480845597#480845597Suppose unless the clairvoyant was very rich & understood nothing about betting and was going all in each time they would have trouble moving a liquid market.Might invest in tea leaves instead of tea bagsSat, 08 Jan 2011 07:01:03 -0600Interesting - would there perhaps be a tussle between the clairvoyant (53:47) and the stats modellers (50:50)? If it were me and I saw anything other than 50:50, having done my best to ensure it wasn't a bent coin, I'd take what I saw to be the valuhttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/26602233/predicting-the-future-with-esp?post_id=480843353#480843353Interesting - would there perhaps be a tussle between the clairvoyant (53:47) and the stats modellers (50:50)? If it were me and I saw anything other than 50:50, having done my best to ensure it wasn't a bent coin, I'd take what I saw to be the valuSat, 08 Jan 2011 06:33:03 -0600Maybe market would be formed as 50:50 by stats modellers. Could a gut instinct-er be long term profitable is the question. if they are long term profitable they should move the odds, imohttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/26602233/predicting-the-future-with-esp?post_id=480841105#480841105Maybe market would be formed as 50:50 by stats modellers. Could a gut instinct-er be long term profitable is the question. if they are long term profitable they should move the odds, imoSat, 08 Jan 2011 06:05:05 -0600Brendanuk1 - that was my first thought. But lets say there was a market on the tossing of a fair coin which should be a straight forward 50:50 shot. If ESP had been factored in taking Bem's 53% as an example it should be priced 53:47.https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/26602233/predicting-the-future-with-esp?post_id=480836757#480836757Brendanuk1 - that was my first thought. But lets say there was a market on the tossing of a fair coin which should be a straight forward 50:50 shot. If ESP had been factored in taking Bem's 53% as an example it should be priced 53:47.Sat, 08 Jan 2011 05:07:25 -0600