New Posts For Thread: Would it be logical and/or correcthttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/26568609/would-it-be-logical-andor-correctto say that over a reasonably long sequence of wagers that if you were greening up " good value " bets placed on a strong favourite " good value prices" if and when they shorten considerably, with the lay off prices also being considered to be " goIf you back a horse at any price because you perceive it to be good value and the price shortens you have a real bargain and would be a real wooseto green up and unlikely in the long term to make as much profit.Three scenarios where it may be laid athttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/26568609/would-it-be-logical-andor-correct?post_id=480308673#480308673If you back a horse at any price because you perceive it to be good value and the price shortens you have a real bargain and would be a real wooseto green up and unlikely in the long term to make as much profit.Three scenarios where it may be laid atMon, 03 Jan 2011 21:32:39 -0600I sure wish I understood your point cpfc.If something shortens to 1.10 from 1.80 ( say) during a game, it doesn't make the original bet at 1.80 any less a good value bet does it?Probably the contrary.So why lay it off ?https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/26568609/would-it-be-logical-andor-correct?post_id=480306601#480306601I sure wish I understood your point cpfc.If something shortens to 1.10 from 1.80 ( say) during a game, it doesn't make the original bet at 1.80 any less a good value bet does it?Probably the contrary.So why lay it off ?Mon, 03 Jan 2011 20:54:43 -0600So you're both saying that if I've bet on a favourite at ( say) 1.8 and it shortens to ( say) 1.10, both prices considered to be " good value", it still makes sense to green up always ?A price isn't value period. It's value either to back OR to lay,https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/26568609/would-it-be-logical-andor-correct?post_id=480301849#480301849So you're both saying that if I've bet on a favourite at ( say) 1.8 and it shortens to ( say) 1.10, both prices considered to be " good value", it still makes sense to green up always ?A price isn't value period. It's value either to back OR to lay,Mon, 03 Jan 2011 19:51:56 -0600So you're both saying that if I've bet on a favourite at ( say) 1.8 and it shortens to ( say) 1.10, both prices considered to be " good value", it still makes sense to green up always ?Any difference if this happens pre-off or IP ?https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/26568609/would-it-be-logical-andor-correct?post_id=480301173#480301173So you're both saying that if I've bet on a favourite at ( say) 1.8 and it shortens to ( say) 1.10, both prices considered to be " good value", it still makes sense to green up always ?Any difference if this happens pre-off or IP ?Mon, 03 Jan 2011 19:43:14 -0600They might mostly be going on to win but they could still be good value to Layhttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/26568609/would-it-be-logical-andor-correct?post_id=480298205#480298205They might mostly be going on to win but they could still be good value to LayMon, 03 Jan 2011 19:07:05 -0600I would say the opposite, if you're greening at value the lays would cumulatively show a profit. Just because the favourites mostly go on to win is relative to the odds, at say 1.1 you would expect them to, but that doesn't make the lay value, it's ohttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/26568609/would-it-be-logical-andor-correct?post_id=480298177#480298177I would say the opposite, if you're greening at value the lays would cumulatively show a profit. Just because the favourites mostly go on to win is relative to the odds, at say 1.1 you would expect them to, but that doesn't make the lay value, it's oMon, 03 Jan 2011 19:06:54 -0600I'll find out for, you meet me under the clock at midnighthttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/26568609/would-it-be-logical-andor-correct?post_id=480290997#480290997I'll find out for, you meet me under the clock at midnightMon, 03 Jan 2011 17:48:22 -0600to say that over a reasonably long sequence of wagers that if you were greening up " good value " bets placed on a strong favourite " good value prices" if and when they shorten considerably, with the lay off prices also being considered to be " gohttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/26568609/would-it-be-logical-andor-correct?post_id=480290481#480290481to say that over a reasonably long sequence of wagers that if you were greening up " good value " bets placed on a strong favourite " good value prices" if and when they shorten considerably, with the lay off prices also being considered to be " goMon, 03 Jan 2011 17:42:02 -0600